Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI)
The Company is a manufacturer of packaging products and glass containers. It also manufactures health care packaging including plastic prescription containers and medical devices and plastic closure systems.
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This stock has always ran in a cycle of this time frame and has always stayed strong even when the market is week. Money to be made in next few years.
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Ken Fischer had a couple good points about this one about being the largest bottle maker, monopoly in a few countries, and selling for 8x earnings.
Con: Institutional ownership is quite high. i.e, downside pressure. If 2008 taught me anything, it's very easy for a 10 PE to go to a 1 PE (a 90% decline)
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Just recovering from the market collapse in share price.
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Low relative PE, good star ranking, PEG & 09 PE still below normal - bottom fishing 4/27 picks.
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Market price is at a large discount to analyst estimates
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Might have a bad quarterly report on the 29th due to lower sales and the possibility that their nat gas hedges have hurt them. I doubt it. This company has increased margins on declining sales, the lower price of nat gas can only help in the long run. They grew last year everywhere but North America and especially were kicking butt in South America. Hopefully they will deliver good news, but longterm I think they will be fine.
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Up on HUGE volume New Years' Eve; nearly 20% of the float! Hard to say what triggered it, but it was, of course, added to the S&P 500 last week. They've spent 2008 improving their balance sheet and streamlining their business, and look to be running lean in 2009. We should see it continue to rebound in the first quarter of next year.
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Produces products which are more necessary than other products produced by the other companies in the S&P. At least, I like to think so.
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WOW! what a bummer for this one, but my oh my is it cheap. OI has made some moves to change its business around. Tough economy but we are not going to stop purchasing food products. grocery stores are where it is at, no one is going to eat out, and this company has already been over walloped, buy now hold and what it go. let it have a few months and if it goes down, buy a little more.
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Recent sell-off of plastic containers business, plant closures and layoffs will damage earnings in the short term, but were the right move to sustain operations long-term. Cash flows and debt levels remain healthy. May continue to bleed out for a while in the short term, but I believe they've positioned themselves well for a comeback long-term.
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Two Words...Energy Costs
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Near monopoly on glass bottle production. Glass bottles aren't buggy whips. At least not yet.
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There will still be shipping and so containers and packaging will still be needed even with a contracting economy. Steady increasing annual earnings that beat the analysts' estimates for last four qtrs.
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Good overseas exposure will keep earnings up and price should rebound after recent reduction due to Sam Adam's recall which appears to be precautionary.
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Glass is better than plastic as oil goes sky high
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CAPS is the testing ground for my investment newsletter.
Not in love with the huge run up of this one, but I like the idea of a company that manufactures "health care packaging" as everyone starts taking more and more medication.
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Well positioned in global growth story.
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FactSet Screener Test
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Here's a stable one for a market that has been all over the board. OI has a tremendous grasp on margin structure, and the manufarcturer seems to be expanding it's business internationally. Not to mention it's got a div yield pushing 5%...always attractive!

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