Olin Corp (OLN)
A manufacturer concentrated in three business segments: Chlor Alkali Products, Metals, and Winchester.
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This met a high level screen to indicate a buy and strong outperform against its peers (other tickers in its industry). My 1st version of this spreadsheet devles deep into the company's balnace sheet and recent income statements, combined with other relevant price data for the company including insider/institutional holdings, short interest, debt levels, etc.
Testing capabilities of this 1st version of my automated, valuation spreadhseet matched with my personal criteria and see how it holds up.
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good company...stable, has multiple divisons.
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Showed up on a screen for solid 5 year growth with low debt, cash on hand and still at attractive P/E ratios.
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http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=279866&t=01000225485554971513&source=itxsitmot0000001
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Earnings miss coming - see my blog.
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It was starting to get better for a little while, but now the ammo shortage is moving into cheaper standard chamber rifle ammo and is spreading every day. There's probably a lot of retailer hoarding for the upcoming hunting season, but if another consumer panic sets in it could be like this for awhile. Wholesale inventories are extremely low. Not only that but because of the shortage prices are as high or higher as they were during the peak of the metal boom, despite lower costs, which should mean lots of profits.
And if their chemical and acid and whatnot picks up too, well, this could be a good one.
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price to book gets you Winchester free?!
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PEGDY screen 9_18_2009
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I first noticed that they were selling a ton of Winchster ammuntion. I am keeping because of good financials and sound management.
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Feels like one of those diversified American staples companies that has a strong competitive (and with Winchester: branded) edge in its market niches. Not a lot of research backing this one up -- so I'm just expressing initial interest and taking a flyer. CAPS is for fun, too. --DG
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It's been beat up. Agood solid co. the Economies on the uptick.
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Found with Ben Graham screen.
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Took a beating...but this one for the slow and steady income players. Some key numbers:
2008 ROE: 26.0% (S&P data)
2008 LTD/Cap: 26.2% (S&P data)
2008 Div Payout Ratio: 39% (S&P data)
Current Price/Book < 3
Current Price/Sales < 1
PEG Ratio < 1
Current Net Margin: Approx. 9%
and
Just declared their 331st quarterly dividend...awesome.
Throw in the fact that it's an early cyclical and this may be a beautiful income generating stock...growth (not a whole lot), dividend (over 6% yield) and the potential to sell covered calls against it to really turbo-charge that dividend yield.
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Net debt balance decreasing to 'zero'
continuous dividends for 82 years = 6.9% yield = only 38% payout ratio
eliminated pension plan > now 401(k)
1.2 X Book
P/E of <5
EPS 5 yr G R > 23%
EV/EBITDA = 3
They have been reducing costs while increasing sales. They will be profitable and have plenty of additional capacity to grow.
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Olin was one of my first stocks. My dad taught me about selling covered calls so that I could earn a little income between jobs. I did that for years without getting excercised, collecting nice dividends all along. When it got up around $30, I sold half my position, simply because that seemed so unusual. I bought it back again the other day, for the same reason. Olin below $12 has just got to be a bargain!
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great stock, economy unstable, americans tend to like their guns & AMMO which Olin is part of.
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This company is diversified and has a solid track record on dividends. It also is down enough on historical price to make substantial gains. Winchester
Arms should remain profitable and the materials part
should figure in on the recovery.
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Their Winchester business should continue to outperform.
Also, producing a 6% + dividend.
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Like the early cyclicals here and the yeild should be safe.
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This is an internally-diversified company with a clean balance sheet on sale after old-fashioned lousy earnings during a down economy. Like this bet.


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