Omnicom Group, Inc. (NYSE:OMC)
A holding company which provides professional services to clients through multiple agencies. Its agencies provide these services in the following disciplines: traditional media advertising, CRM, public relations and specialty communications.
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M* ultimate stockpickers
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Magic Formula pick
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Good historical sales and earnings growth.
Current valuation attractive compared to 10-year averages.
(i.e. Relatively low PEG, EV/EBITDA, P/CASH, P/FCF, P/B, P/E)
Forward-looking models based on EPS growth and sustainable growth projected excellent (7% - 11%) annualized returns -- even when using very conservative (-1, -2, and -3 standard deviations) growth assumptions.
Risks:
stewardship / institutional selling / SG&A spending
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This account tracks the performance of the investment firm Ruane, Cunniff, and Goldfarb - the investment manager of Sequoia Fund.
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great business, high margins and low chance of default/bankruptcy. technology may change the game a little bit for them but company brands will always need to created, designed and managed.
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Don't think estimates have come down enough, given uncertainty with the Big Three and likely cuts to marketing spend generally. Think its "real" forward multiple is more like 12x which isn't low enough in this environment.
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Market not giving credit to OMC's ability to defend its digital advertising business (vs. YHOO, GOOG).
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Recent stock split makes it more enticing to smaller investors. While not as much at the forefront of the interactive space like WPP, their media buying arm OMD has won a passel of awards this year. The Chicago office has brand behemoths McDonald's and Anheuser-Busch, two companies doing very well lately and who spend billions on marketing.
CAVEAT EMPTOR: I'm an Omnicom employee (though not with OMD, nor in Chicago).
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Core business is now being challenged by IPG and other ad holding companies. However, it's proven to be resilient in holding on to its clients. It's pitching for the business of JNJ on a holding company basis against IPG, WPP, and Publicis. In the US, it has a strong chance of keeping it - and in China, a significant chance of winning the n-way pitch.
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Insiders are unloading this one and a lot of reshuffling seems to be in progress at management. Although, the s&p says it has a fair value of -$108- a few more dollars than its current price and it is trading below the avg. industry multiple so it would seem somewhat of a safe bet.
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Omnicom won Lipton Tea products
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It's time for a correction here
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The #1 Ad Agency in the world, just keeps rolling along with new companies, and great ads.
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