Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

Paychex provides payroll, human resource, and employee benefits outsourcing for small and medium-sized businesses.

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Member Avatar wilibear (45.19) Submitted: 5/14/2015 2:02:17 PM : Underperform Start Price: $49.72 PAYX Score: +1.94

Crazy PE on a slow growing company

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Member Avatar Lindbc (37.33) Submitted: 3/27/2015 10:13:06 AM : Outperform Start Price: $48.65 PAYX Score: -3.07

Don't know if Paychex can outperform the market long term or not. Predicting a short term jump at least. Small to medium sized business should do well as more people have jobs. Higher wages and lower fuel prices will let people have more discretionary spending money.

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Member Avatar AdamGalas (< 20) Submitted: 3/3/2015 1:20:10 AM : Outperform Start Price: $49.62 PAYX Score: -2.02

A Grand Adventure Dividend Holding:

http://boards.fool.com/the-grand-adventure-121197.aspx

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Member Avatar CmpsVktr (< 20) Submitted: 12/28/2014 11:57:33 AM : Outperform Start Price: $46.29 PAYX Score: +3.37

I expect PAYX to outperform the S&P 500 on a total return basis over the next 5 years. From a capital appreciation standpoint, PAYX and the market appear to be even. Both have a P/FV ratio that is between 1.00 to 1.02 at current levels. However, I expect PAYX to return 17% on average per year over the next 5 years as compared to 9.7% for the overall market. I make the following assumptions about PAYX's value and return: Current EPS is $1.80. Fair PE is 26. WACC is 10.8%. Fair PE implies a 13.9% CAGR during stage 1 of my 3-stage DCF model. Using these inputs PAYX's FV is about $47. Its current price is $47.19. The sum of PAYX's current dividend yield (3.2%), CAGR (13.9%) and change in PE Multiple (-0.1%) yields an ROI of 17%. Not bad. This is an example of a fairly valued firm with the potential (at least according to the PE placed on it by investors) of generating outsized returns, owing to its highly fortified economic castle and wide moat.

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Member Avatar wmansvelt (51.80) Submitted: 11/4/2013 11:45:45 AM : Outperform Start Price: $39.98 PAYX Score: +1.64

No debt, well managed and growing steadily with conservative management.

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Member Avatar jjh1419 (< 20) Submitted: 11/1/2013 1:21:56 PM : Outperform Start Price: $39.91 PAYX Score: +1.32

Companies are hiring employees and this directly affect revenue without increasing operations cost

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Member Avatar chris293 (79.88) Submitted: 6/11/2013 8:28:41 PM : Outperform Start Price: $34.53 PAYX Score: +11.73

Payx has all good numbers, its in a rough business that might be the reason it performs almost the same as the s&p.

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Member Avatar Teacherman333 (84.53) Submitted: 5/18/2013 4:29:11 PM : Outperform Start Price: $35.16 PAYX Score: +8.49

For reference point and to allow for comments by others. As of the end of March, 2013.

ROE 35.53%
Trailing PE 24.69
PB 8.60
Div yield 3.50%

As of Feb, 28

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Member Avatar suecowell66 (< 20) Submitted: 4/16/2013 10:54:38 AM : Outperform Start Price: $33.27 PAYX Score: +10.42

Used to own this stock and it continually performed well.

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Member Avatar JorgeAura (< 20) Submitted: 2/2/2013 5:28:31 PM : Underperform Start Price: $30.79 PAYX Score: -16.81

Nasdaq in maximums.

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Member Avatar scrooge007 (50.89) Submitted: 2/1/2013 9:15:29 PM : Outperform Start Price: $30.79 PAYX Score: +16.81

As the economy improves, so will payx numbers.

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Member Avatar dlibner (< 20) Submitted: 9/14/2012 12:44:04 PM : Outperform Start Price: $31.22 PAYX Score: +12.12

High growth potential

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Member Avatar Milo107 (31.41) Submitted: 7/18/2012 1:25:11 PM : Outperform Start Price: $29.88 PAYX Score: +8.68

mf pick

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Member Avatar DebbyDo101 (30.46) Submitted: 3/25/2012 4:18:04 AM : Outperform Start Price: $28.45 PAYX Score: +20.07

At 32 dollars a share and a 4% dividend, besides the fact that it appears the 95 % of fools vote it will outperform st spy, and it appears from the graph that 95% of the time it does just that

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Member Avatar lnsksr (< 20) Submitted: 3/10/2012 11:23:46 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.96 PAYX Score: +19.58

Good Dividend stock with no debt.

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Member Avatar Wifeb123 (22.85) Submitted: 3/2/2012 11:13:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $28.05 PAYX Score: +19.02

more employment = WIN

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Member Avatar oregonpb (41.95) Submitted: 2/8/2012 2:47:27 PM : Outperform Start Price: $28.06 PAYX Score: +16.35

dividend & positive employment outlook make this a good pick, imo

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Member Avatar shayangol (92.58) Submitted: 12/22/2011 7:00:31 PM : Underperform Start Price: $26.12 PAYX Score: -17.41

might be an outperformer someday.... but thats not today sorry

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Member Avatar mbelval (< 20) Submitted: 12/11/2011 8:27:20 PM : Underperform Start Price: $26.30 PAYX Score: -14.77

Solid business
Wide moat/durable competetive advantage(s)
Persistent/predictble FCFs, returns on capital and profit margins
Strong balance sheet (cash, no debt, Current Ratio, etc)
Managers are competent stewards of owner capital
Currently trading well above FV
Fair value = 25.85
Low-Moderate FV uncertainty
Buy with 20% MOS below 20.90
Sell above 30.80

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Member Avatar TMFHelloNewman (92.21) Submitted: 11/8/2011 10:41:55 AM : Outperform Start Price: $25.89 PAYX Score: +20.43

No debt, declining cost of sales, insider ownership, and a quality product.

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