Pacific Ethanol Inc (NASDAQ:PEIX)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

The Company is engaged in the production, marketing and sale of ethanol and other renewable fuels in the Western United States.

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Member Avatar AnsgarJohn (99.08) Submitted: 4/8/2014 4:41:10 PM : Underperform Start Price: $14.05 PEIX Score: -3.66

Pacific Ethanol Inc (PEIX)
The Company is engaged in the production, marketing and sale of ethanol and other renewable fuels in the Western United States. Enterprise Value = 36 x FCF . End at $10 .

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Member Avatar TSIF (99.96) Submitted: 2/27/2014 3:06:17 PM : Underperform Start Price: $14.35 PEIX Score: -2.06

I saw biofuels in general creeping up of late, and thought about taking them for a techical ride, but wimped out as usual. The rumors centered around a higher Ethanol Mix requirement, which would boost production, but the problem is that most of these can't make money no mater what the requirements are for the mix. Corn prices are erratic, distribution costs high, etc. Pacific Ethanol had closed one refinery, but based on the improved economic outlook, (AKA a small profit), they were able to pay down some debt and reopen the refinery. IF volume is good, this will be good for them, but again, they have to make a profit. Companies that swing from very bad to slightly profitable generally get a HUGE boost from the markets, but the short side/speculators/computer trading generally kick in and this should level below a 55% pop. Overall, however, these often spike again a second day and short covering gets into a frenzy, so my calls back down are usually early. I do question if the Ethanol content can be mandated higher yet, it's rough on old engines and doesn't hold up as well for other intermittantly used equipment.

Checking my timing/luck. Short term call unless it spikes higher and I get stuck with it.

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Member Avatar F007 (< 20) Submitted: 1/23/2014 6:34:20 AM : Outperform Start Price: $8.05 PEIX Score: +81.33

PEIX is on the way up

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Member Avatar nonzerosum (91.76) Submitted: 11/22/2013 10:28:03 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.24 PEIX Score: +351.15

ethanol margins are improving and PEIX will benefit because it is highly leveraged.

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Member Avatar nightowlal (88.26) Submitted: 11/18/2013 2:36:54 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.68 PEIX Score: +446.07

PEIX has the potential to be lucrative in the fuel industry. It is currently somewhat volatile, but I think with the purchasing of production facilities, PEIX should be able to bring respectable profits to investors.

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Member Avatar SqwiiTrader (37.30) Submitted: 11/14/2013 12:51:29 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.57 PEIX Score: +469.02

Flush out bottom ?

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Member Avatar DCvsRJ (73.39) Submitted: 9/14/2012 4:34:42 PM : Outperform Start Price: $7.80 PEIX Score: +62.00

DC pick

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Member Avatar SIDRWC (56.53) Submitted: 3/30/2012 2:25:54 PM : Outperform Start Price: $16.20 PEIX Score: -41.36

Getting control of debt levels, extreme revenue growth year over year, larger ownership of plants put into place last December.

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Member Avatar nvcrader (49.47) Submitted: 1/15/2012 7:25:01 PM : Outperform Start Price: $18.00 PEIX Score: -61.46

If Natural gas is the way to go, then going from deisel stations to NT Gas stations will also be necessary.

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Member Avatar ctsolomonmd (< 20) Submitted: 1/6/2012 8:31:05 PM : Outperform Start Price: $16.20 PEIX Score: -54.69

i think they will once again be a major contributor in this industry. They have been through a lot in the last 3 years but i wonder if they survived and will thrive. On the Daily Graphs volumes are way up since late Oct. and on nov 11 they had 1.85 high on strong volumes. This is not my area of expertise but i am looking for the underdog.

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Member Avatar rajnishman (61.48) Submitted: 12/31/2011 11:23:57 AM : Outperform Start Price: $16.05 PEIX Score: -56.13

Gasoline might become $5.00/gallon soon.

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Member Avatar BeLikeMike23 (47.13) Submitted: 12/29/2011 12:22:23 AM : Outperform Start Price: $17.08 PEIX Score: -62.41

Input of fuel is far greater than the output of ethanol.

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Member Avatar labmi (< 20) Submitted: 12/18/2011 10:01:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.80 PEIX Score: -45.96

clean energy is on the way

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Member Avatar gangaridi (< 20) Submitted: 11/18/2011 4:40:46 PM : Outperform Start Price: $17.55 PEIX Score: -71.13

-Coming back from bankruptcy.

-Replacing debt with equity effectively increasing the risk capital and reducing debt service pressure on cash flow. Traditionally replacing debt with equity is taken as sign of lack of confidence on expected return on capital. But it is just my opinion that in current situation it is a prudent move. Look at big banks buying back preference shares from Buffet...........they are also taking the same decision.

-Rising crude oil price will provide scope of increasing realization on ethanol.

-yes it is a bit early but outsized returns are made from identifying the tide early.

-got in immidiately after earnings release @ 0.38. accumulating more on each dip. Technically first resistance is around $2. Will take partial profit there.

-stock is hard to borrow. There is strong short interest. Translating into high interest rate you can earn by lending this stock. I received 19% interest yesterday by lending my peix to short sellers. High rate will make it hard for shorters to carry over short position too long.

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Member Avatar charlys1973 (< 20) Submitted: 4/17/2011 10:58:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $56.70 PEIX Score: -116.75

Ethanol is future.

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Member Avatar StarWitchDoctor (99.44) Submitted: 1/8/2011 3:35:52 AM : Underperform Start Price: $85.05 PEIX Score: +129.93

ethanol is the buisness of that company, it is that simple, quote eldrehad, i need some points to get back up to 95.

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Member Avatar unklegeorge (< 20) Submitted: 11/12/2010 3:39:08 PM : Underperform Start Price: $90.77 PEIX Score: +139.03

Oh look they made money in June ... err, nope. >10% mpg hit on E10. I'd rather pay 10% more and not have to deal with Ethanol's problems.

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Member Avatar jimbendt (32.44) Submitted: 11/10/2010 7:04:44 PM : Outperform Start Price: $88.20 PEIX Score: -137.28

Turnaround play?

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Member Avatar tim2pac (97.49) Submitted: 10/27/2010 4:34:02 PM : Underperform Start Price: $89.25 PEIX Score: +140.05

I will thumbs down ethanol until it goes the way of dowsing rods and phrenology.

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Member Avatar ibitegirls (< 20) Submitted: 8/1/2010 3:51:25 PM : Outperform Start Price: $63.00 PEIX Score: -143.05

rolling the dice. pick and pray

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