$151.78 0.00 (0%)
2/10/2012 4:00 PM

Panera Bread Company (NASDAQ:PNRA)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

Company deals in meeting consumer dining needs by providing high quality food, including fresh baked goods, made-to-order sandwiches on freshly baked breads, soups, salads, custom roasted coffees, and other cafe beverages.

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Member Avatar Pockits (< 20) Submitted: 2/9/2012 10:04:56 AM : Outperform Start Price: $148.92 PNRA Score: +2.43

I would rather eat at PNRA than dunkin donuts or Starbucks. They just opened their first location in manhattan this week. For the first time, I heard radio ads during my commute. Unless they screw up, they will continue to trend upwards until there are enough/too many locations, and that won't be for a few years.

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Member Avatar ltecato (30.19) Submitted: 2/8/2012 10:38:07 PM : Outperform Start Price: $149.14 PNRA Score: +2.54

Buying on a dip.

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Member Avatar captious (< 20) Submitted: 2/7/2012 10:14:00 PM : Outperform Start Price: $156.25 PNRA Score: -2.49

Growing it's stores in North America and increasing same store sales in the fast casual segment & health conscious.

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Member Avatar cisaak (37.18) Submitted: 2/5/2012 9:31:29 PM : Outperform Start Price: $157.91 PNRA Score: -4.09

More and more men are eating at Panera!

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Member Avatar power1234 (99.79) Submitted: 1/28/2012 4:26:21 AM : Outperform Start Price: $145.50 PNRA Score: +1.37

mf sa

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Member Avatar 4QCAPS (65.33) Submitted: 1/27/2012 7:41:59 PM : Outperform Start Price: $145.50 PNRA Score: +1.37

Yummy keep on growin baby

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Member Avatar Wakester0 (69.70) Submitted: 1/27/2012 8:41:20 AM : Outperform Start Price: $146.24 PNRA Score: +1.41

Maintaining sustainable growth

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Member Avatar TMFMT (57.20) Submitted: 12/29/2011 1:55:18 PM : Outperform Start Price: $139.74 PNRA Score: +1.33

The next Chipotle. Price will be above $300 in the next few years.

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Member Avatar hrmtcrb (88.38) Submitted: 12/25/2011 2:16:30 PM : Outperform Start Price: $140.11 PNRA Score: +1.84

The more I've checked into Panera Bread the more I see to like. Measured consistent growth, forward-looking acquisitions and innovations, and a socially responsible attitude. DG certainly has influenced this pick, and it was my last buy of 2011 for my personal portfolio.

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Member Avatar Afghan1 (79.93) Submitted: 12/23/2011 1:38:25 AM : Outperform Start Price: $139.35 PNRA Score: +2.00

Pener bread has good product and a strong balance sheet. A nice combination. It has a return on assets of 15% and a return on equity of 22%. Both are strong numbers.

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Member Avatar GoDawsGo (72.17) Submitted: 12/16/2011 7:32:55 AM : Underperform Start Price: $135.87 PNRA Score: -1.78

nice p/e

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Member Avatar sylance (< 20) Submitted: 11/29/2011 1:27:15 PM : Outperform Start Price: $138.99 PNRA Score: -2.61

Panera's leadership are creating a unique culture and I believe the concept will continue to grow.

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Member Avatar lsickler (52.05) Submitted: 11/16/2011 12:57:27 PM : Outperform Start Price: $136.15 PNRA Score: +4.52

Good management and room to grow in the market

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Member Avatar ctrivermouth (47.85) Submitted: 11/10/2011 1:55:19 PM : Outperform Start Price: $134.27 PNRA Score: +5.29

Becoming a consistent growth story, quarter after great quarter. Yum.

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Member Avatar papsrus (65.31) Submitted: 11/2/2011 6:12:17 PM : Outperform Start Price: $131.55 PNRA Score: +3.68

Expanding company offering an in-demand product: healthy fast food. Reasonably priced for a company sitting in the sweet spot of its growth story.

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Member Avatar deon918 (51.63) Submitted: 10/26/2011 8:31:16 PM : Outperform Start Price: $135.07 PNRA Score: +7.10

that chipotle chicken sandwich on french is awesome

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Member Avatar icebox40 (91.53) Submitted: 10/12/2011 4:55:50 PM : Outperform Start Price: $109.37 PNRA Score: +26.85

A great place to eat, and a great company with alot of growth still ahead of it!!

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Member Avatar mjtri (51.91) Submitted: 9/27/2011 1:05:30 PM : Outperform Start Price: $117.89 PNRA Score: +15.78

Panera Bread seems a little pricey short term, but they have still have a lot of room to grow. Great restaurant.

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Member Avatar mwlove (45.67) Submitted: 9/23/2011 12:15:56 PM : Outperform Start Price: $109.98 PNRA Score: +19.69

Panera is a stock I bought because I love the restaurants. I've been to over a dozen Paneras all over the country and every one I visit is packed. They have tremendous customer loyalty, and their customers are mostly affluent, so they don't mind when prices go up just a bit due to higher commodities. Panera is well-managed and has a well-contemplated policy of expansion. Panera will become the thinking person's McDonald's. Like Starbucks, I think they will eventually go international. I've bought at perhaps a dozen price points over the past year, and I will continue to buy as I'm able. It's off the summer low, but well below the highs of last spring. It's still a bargain now.

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Member Avatar TMF1000 (99.79) Submitted: 9/23/2011 11:47:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $110.31 PNRA Score: +19.24

Panera was added on Caps at $110.31 - the PE ratio is 26.14

The Company has 1493 restaurants which include 703 company-owned stores and 790 franchised. They opened 47 new bakery cafes in the first half of the year. This is one reason capital expenditures went up. But these new unit average weekly sales were 43,449 year to day which is up from last year. New units that are franchised units had average weekly sales of 44,550 up 13% from last year. They plan on opening 100 to 100 units in 2012. Analysts believe they can build over 3,000 restaurants so there is plenty of room for growth. There are definitely no signs of cannibalization yet.

The last report was excellent. Earnings per share were $1.18 up 38.8% from $0.85 last year. TTM earnings were $4.22 up 30.7% from $3.23. The PE ratio is 26.14.

Commodity prices were higher when that report was announced. With oil prices down to $79 a barrel, energy expenses will be down, plus food commodities are going down too which should make for a better 3Q report. Food commodity prices are still higher than last year, but lower than last quarter.

The next report will be reported at the end of October and it should be a good report. They have a lot of growth potential and they have grown their store base without debt. They have $236 million in cash and no debt.

They have similar growth potential as CMG but the valuation is much better.

I added to my Panera position twice in my portfolio this year, once at $121 and once at $101. I think those prices will prove cheap in the years ahead.

I also think beside the growth of their store base, they can take market share, by expanding their menu into bakery goods that in time could create more streams of revenues. The growth areas in which they could expand are numerous. It may not happen until store base growth slows, but in time, they could expand into bakery goods. Their size would give them many economy of scale advantages.

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