Panera Bread Company (NASDAQ:PNRA)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

Company deals in meeting consumer dining needs by providing high quality food, including fresh baked goods, made-to-order sandwiches on freshly baked breads, soups, salads, custom roasted coffees, and other cafe beverages.

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Member Avatar LoveMeSomeGreen (98.94) Submitted: 11/11/2014 1:34:34 PM : Outperform Start Price: $168.39 PNRA Score: -2.57

2015 Outperformer Screen. It's never too early to think about next years returns! One of my top choices for 2015.

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Member Avatar TMFSeeker (49.23) Submitted: 11/3/2014 2:35:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $161.39 PNRA Score: +0.62

I believe that the PNRA story will play out well in 2015.

Same-store sales improve gradually, followed by a recovery in EBITDA, and eventually earnings leverage, as 2.0 stores gain traction. I was encouraged by the same- store sales trend improvement in the third quarter (up 2.1%), along with a 1.4% higher transaction growth (the second consecutive quarter, following six consecutive declines), and expense management, even with just 43 Panera 2.0 stores open.

The company plans on putting up 100 of the 2.0 stores by the end of the year, and I see fourth-quarter results showing another round of improved data points. Not everything will be better, but the same-store sales figure is the key to the stock starting to work, and I believe it is on its way in seeing such performance.

The important point is that I believe the product is still a desired one, and as management improves the experience (through-put, menu simplification, digital emphasis), as well as new product introductions and national marketing efforts, the results will accelerate.

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Member Avatar dcgatlanta (44.37) Submitted: 10/22/2014 3:20:53 PM : Underperform Start Price: $167.80 PNRA Score: +7.66

Too many good choices in fast casual. I don't see strong enough differentiators at PNRA.

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Member Avatar benyboy (< 20) Submitted: 10/21/2014 1:10:25 AM : Outperform Start Price: $172.54 PNRA Score: -11.38

cramer

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Member Avatar GenZStocks (32.70) Submitted: 9/10/2014 8:09:50 PM : Outperform Start Price: $155.09 PNRA Score: +3.58

A fast casual restaurant Gen Z loves

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Member Avatar Kimer62 (33.16) Submitted: 9/5/2014 7:39:56 AM : Outperform Start Price: $152.10 PNRA Score: +6.14

Still plenty of growth left! Decent value!

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Member Avatar anindakumars (24.09) Submitted: 7/30/2014 2:50:48 PM : Outperform Start Price: $151.54 PNRA Score: +4.84

One of my fav restaurants to visit. Lot of new stores can open in the future as healthier eating gains traction and economy recovers

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Member Avatar jds47 (56.88) Submitted: 7/4/2014 12:21:14 PM : Underperform Start Price: $148.04 PNRA Score: -7.93

Operational problems (long wait times) are not yet under control and will take time to fix. Longer term, I think they will do better.

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Member Avatar mitchelr (< 20) Submitted: 6/25/2014 1:52:14 PM : Outperform Start Price: $150.05 PNRA Score: +5.12

Panera 2.0 rolling out, revamped menu ingredients, changes to ordering and pick up

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Member Avatar ishamj (91.32) Submitted: 6/20/2014 9:27:58 AM : Outperform Start Price: $150.29 PNRA Score: +5.29

price beat down to point where it's attractive. Good margins and ROE. Fool favorite, and feel-good company.

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Member Avatar OKwarrior (35.71) Submitted: 6/7/2014 5:18:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $159.75 PNRA Score: -1.63

buying a great company on a pullback. PNRA trades right now w/ a high PE (28) but earnings & ROE are increasing. A little bit of a concern right now (and why I am not putting real $$ in right now) is the level of insider sales over the last 6 months. Bottom line is everywhere I go, their restaurants are full, all the time.

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Member Avatar Rexius77 (< 20) Submitted: 5/28/2014 9:16:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $145.95 PNRA Score: +8.90

New food offerings, good tasting, healthy meals, appeals to all ages.

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Member Avatar jtallenmd (99.52) Submitted: 5/3/2014 8:17:54 AM : Outperform Start Price: $158.33 PNRA Score: -5.34

I think Panera is fairly valued at the current price. While I have personally been disappointed by the decline in food quality during my most recent visits to Panera stores, I think there is still a fair amount of goodwill among the general public.

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Member Avatar hisaw100 (< 20) Submitted: 2/10/2014 4:27:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $174.23 PNRA Score: -19.21

every time i go--i'm amazed--people just pour in. if they don't slip---future growth is very bright--go see for yourself.

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Member Avatar mandyji (< 20) Submitted: 2/3/2014 6:11:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $168.36 PNRA Score: -19.29

Panera offers good value food but, more importantly, offers healthy food. This is an ethical investment given that obesity and related conditions are the #1 public health concern. Companies that peddle unhealthy food are unethical and are not riding the wave of the future.

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Member Avatar jpimp (< 20) Submitted: 1/25/2014 6:51:51 PM : Outperform Start Price: $170.76 PNRA Score: -15.27

When it comes to quick service and healthy options Panera Bread is in a league of their own. I wish they would open locations in Quebec.

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Member Avatar KPucci (56.26) Submitted: 1/22/2014 8:39:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $170.76 PNRA Score: -15.27

Underpriced based on past EPS and P/E ratio averages. Lasting brand with good management

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Member Avatar MacAndrews (82.01) Submitted: 1/16/2014 1:03:59 AM : Outperform Start Price: $173.96 PNRA Score: -16.50

Everyone in my family likes this place. Recent dip provides good entry point.

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Member Avatar investorpoet2 (94.19) Submitted: 12/27/2013 12:30:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $167.64 PNRA Score: -17.77

Panera has grown sales at 15% and earnings at 25% for the past five years. Returns on equity have averaged 19% and returns on capital have been 19%. Earnings are projected by analysts to grow at 17% for the next five years.

To value Panera, I start with 2013 projected earnings of $6.69, grow them at 17% for five years, then at 15% for five years. I end up with $29.50 in earnings in 10 years. Assuming a P/E of 30 at that time, I get a share price of $885. Discount that back at 15% and I get a value of $220 or so. At $175 or so, that's a decent enough discount on a company that can likely grow faster than projected.

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Member Avatar laveartw (41.47) Submitted: 12/23/2013 2:03:11 PM : Outperform Start Price: $174.93 PNRA Score: -18.18

Good fast eat in restaurant that attracts a lot of attention. It also has great leadership.

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