PriceSmart, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSMT)
Owns and operates U.S.-style membership shopping warehouse clubs through majority or wholly owned ventures operating in Central America and the Caribbean using the trade name 'PriceSmart.'
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Growth is good for Latin America
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Tracking the number 1 fool rec for 2012
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Fool rec: "the costco of Latin America"
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market position, solid earnings
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Previously tested business model in emerging market
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I think 2011 should have taught investors to never overpay for a stock. All of the high-flyers with extreme valuations crashed hard. Pricesmart is another hot stock right now with a truly crazy valuation. This company has tiny profit margins (free cash flow/revenues). Return on capital (free cash flow/tangible invested capital) is also in the low single digits. This company has a 5-year average free cash flow of $17.8 million, and that's before even taking out stock based compensation expense. The current price of $66.56 per share divided by the 5 year average free cash flow of $0.6138 per share gives us a ratio of 108.5. In other words, investors are willing to pay 108.5 times the company’s 5-year average free cash flow. The current growth simply doesn't justify this huge valuation. I think 2012 will be no different than 2011, and some people will be forced to learn the same lessons all over again.
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I didn't buy this well for my CAPS list. So I used my limit orders to stop me out at cost, or sell close to the high.
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Membership has its privilege
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A latin american Costco
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The opening of new warehouses should bring more revenue and balance out the extra operational cost that lowered the earning last quarter.
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The FOOL said it would. That's good enough for me--for now.
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Could be the cheapest way for COST to expand into Latin America.
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PE 34.90, trouble with earnings. Meteoric rise through 2011; won't be the 2012 star it's tagged to be.
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MF recommendation for 2012
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Latin America is growing at twice the rate as the developed market. With the middle class expanding and more individuals owning cars, I expect this trend to continue.
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COST of Latin America. If it is run as well as Jim Sinegal ran COST this will be a winner.
Long term outperform.
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Costco of South America...when are they going to expand to Ecuador...it's currency is pegged to the dollar?
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PriceSmart will increase market share as it exspand in Latin America and create a large moat / barrier for other retailers to cross.
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