Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD)

gas liquids

Little overbought.

TSA S&P 20+ percent growth '12.

Increasing production capacity bodes very well.

PXX now MD;

Current Quarter vs. Prior Year: For the third quarter 2011, analysts estimate MD will earn $1.18 per share, an increase of 11.39% over the prior year third quarter results.
+19.0%Annualized 5 Year growth rate
Growth Rates
1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr
+13.9% +14.9% +19.0%

Longleaf

Great company with solid growth and returns. PEG ratio is a little high. Look for this to continue climbing for at least the next few months before it ultimately contracts.

Covestor Model Manager D5 Advisors sold Short PXD in his Oil and Gas Producers Covestor Model ( http://covestor.com/D5-Advisors )

Alright, couple of reasons I'm marking this as outperform, none of them related to the specific company at hand. Typically, about twice a year, I'll go to the finviz heatmap:

http://finviz.com/map.ashx?t=sec&st=ytd

From there I'll check the trending 6 months, 1 year, and YTD to find lagging sectors.

Once I find the lagging sectors, I'll do a quick analysis of the macro variables at hand and determine whether the secto is warranted to be under performing the market or whether I think the market has undervalued these sectors. In this case, I think O&G exploration and development as well as utilities are undervalued.

If you notice, pharmas are also undervalued, but I think the new healthcare law makes their underperformance relevant at this time - if they continue to be undervalued at the time of my next review, I may pick up some in the sector.

I digress, the reason I think O&G and utilities are a good buy at this time:

1. Winter is fast approaching
2. Energy prices are still comparatively low and will go up
3. The economy is rebounding
4. The oil spill worries are becoming something of the past for the majority of Americans (Personally, I hate that recency plays a factor in this at all)
5. Likely republican majority in one chamber will make it difficult to pass major energy reform, thus old energy wins and new energy loses. (Much to our malevolence)

After I determine which sectors to buy, I'll review each individual stock in CAPS. Anything less than 3 stars gets filtered out. 4 and 5 star picks are most preferable, as these quintiles usually gains points in a year's time.

I expect to remove 90% of these stocks by March/April. Typically, this nets me a few hundred caps points (read: profit), and roughly 75% accuracy. Some will be bombs or laggards. Those that barely lag will be kept on my portfolio in hopes that I may eke out a slight gain at a later date. The bombs will be dropped.

I want to emphasize, this is not a judgment call on this specific stock. I didn't even check the financials. Do your DD if you buy in RL. In fact if you like the sector and want to buy in RL, I recommend you buy a sector ETF - one of my personal faves is FCG.

Oil is about to take off. It will soar

I think they outperform the sector at least in the next few. I also have long felt that (contrary to most analyst on Wall Street), oil prices are going to be above $110 this summer.

Very diverse country natural gas selection.

Domestic exploration and expansion plus existing international operations will drive this company to excel beyond the S&P 500 in the mid-term to long-term. At least, that's what I think!

More than 13% above its 50-Day Moving Average.

We can always use the fuel these guys are exploring for

with 980 mmboe of reserves and a market cap of 1.5 bln each barrel of oil in the ground is valued at 1.5$. the exploration cost, however, was 13.8$ per barrel last quarter. this company should be a takeover target once the oil price (and/or the credit markets) stabilizes.

New SP 500 addition. Excellent growth in recent years expected to continue

Trading well below NAV

great asset position