UltraShort QQQ ProShares (ETF) (QID)
Close end exchange traded fund
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Once more with feeling.
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PE of over 21 for top tech firms seems like good consumer news is baked in. Any disappointment will bring down firms like AAPL which are trading at bubble era multiples.
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ProShares UltraShort QQQ seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to twice (200%) the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index.
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Bill Gross loading up on TIPS...Meredith Whitney warning of another crisis in housing and the undercapitalization of banks...Skyrocketing gold and oil prices from a year-over-year basis...Unemployment still going up...Commercial real estate bubble about to burst (witness CapMark bankruptcy case) -- assets are being fire sold and the secondary market is on the verge of freezing up again when the need to refinance commercial loans is high...All-in-all, I see DOW 8,000 and NASDAQ $1,600 in the next six months to a year.
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Technical reflects that bull run has exhausted and will start posing for a while now.
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shorting all ultrashorts, bears, and other "leveraged" funds.
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I wouldn't try this with *real* money!!
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I'm "all in" betting on a correction sometime over the next 2 Quarters.
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I hate to do this but....
This is not an attempt to score points with market timing. I am not calling a top, nor do I believe I have the ability to time the market. I attempt to make this account match my real account which I have recently hedged for the near to intermediate term. Unfortunately, green thumbing an ultra is the only way to hedge a CAPS account. I hope to lose points on this pick.
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tmfeldrehed
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Depression
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NASDAQ strong lately -- besting .618 (1982) and .786 (1996) ... may take out 10 day high (2014) and set up new bullish trend.
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I think this rally has run its course so I'm going long the ultrashort shares
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I think this rally has run its course so I'm going long the ultrashort shares
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Tech stocks are due for a correction.
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nasdaq has run too far too fast... time for a pullback and QID to outperform
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I recently ran into this article on an Ultra oil ETF strategy:
http://www.howtowriteoptions.com/ultra-covered-call-strategy-fails/
By shorting each side of the Long/Short ETFs I will eventually come up on the positive end. Not sure how effective this will be in real life but long term on CAPs combo-ing these ETF is a sure winner.

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