FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ:RAIL)
The Company is a manufacturer of aluminum-bodied railcars in North America, based on the number of railcars delivered.
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Sitting Fat!
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Just looks under-valued. Has good earnings growth.
(magic formula)
I'm beginning to think that I'm the Shleprock of stock-pickers though. Most of the time when I give a stock the green-thumb, it immediately drops.
Let's see what happens this time.
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Demand strength is lessening.
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carefully culled from Magic Formula
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Magic Formula Pick
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Magic Formula screen (and checked w/ Greenwald's EPV framework). Appears to have great ROIC (77% assuming 100% value of all assets plus brand spending); ROE is 84.8%. Franchise / economies of scale? $170M in excess cash (wow).4 years of growth history. Trading at a 47% discount at zero growth. My target price: $102.76. What is their market share / overall market potential? [Note: bearish issues include CEO departure, uncertainty re: closure of johnstown plant, backlog issues?, business cyclicality, and am looking for other reasons...]
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P/E a little over 6%, good growth company in a boring industry. Everyone is talking about expanding the electricity generation in the US. Which in the short term means coal. The bottleneck with coal is getting it from the mine to the power plant. This means more rail (which the RR's are slowly working on) and more coal railcars. This isn't going to be overnight, but undervalued company for growth in the next 1 - 2+ years.
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Magic Formula. Low P/E, high earnings growth.
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magic formula investing pick
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Long-term value play
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Coal is going to lose to newer sources of power in the next five years. Solar, wind, geothermal and magnetic will surpass oil and coal.
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PE close to 6, EV/EBITDA of 2.75. Very little debt. Opportunity to grow. Too cheap to ignore.
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This hobo's going to ride this rail.
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As oil prices increase, the need for coal as a fuel source is going to place more demand on new rail cars.
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ROIC is out of sight. They are generating tons and tons of cash. 86% of the market share for coal cars, not an easy market to enter. 4 overseas joint ventures are on the way. 1 new production plant early 07 with new product lines. Strong market for coal transportation in both distance, volume growth, and replacement for the next 10 years.
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will benefit from rising coal demand, and energy efficient rail cars-overlooked w/little analyst coverage
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Great ROE. Surprisingly valued. Good new contracts, should be good enough to see great growth the next two years.
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Undervalued stock with high return on equity. Rail transport on the rise means more rail cars getting purchased.
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