Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:RCL)
Operate two brands, Royal Caribbean International and Celebrity Cruises, in the cruise vacation industry. Ships operate on a selection of worldwide itineraries that call on approximately 200 destinations.
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People will always pay for a quality product.
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Increased cash flow, continued expansion in Europe, Revenue up, 3Q profit up 14%,
Efficiencies down the line including new fuel efficient engines, fuel price hedging, route planning, hull cleaning.
Q4 bookings exceeding last year at this time. seems strong and cheap.
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less $$ for fun
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* Headed into a consumer driven recession equals less people that can afford to take cruises.
* Very high debt load, with large servicing costs.
* Huge line items in their expenses for fuel and food, two items seeing experiencing heavy inflation.
Earnings are going to be hit hard in the next year...
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Second only to Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) in the industry, Royal Caribbean continues to expand its fleet. They are introducing massive vessels that will be producing income for the company for years to come. Barring any events that may curtail travel and a continued weak dollar, the leisure industry continues to grow. While Carnival remains way ahead of the pack, Royal Caribbean is increasing fleet capacity to keep up and continue grow their chunk of the business.
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Just got off of their ship and they will pass carnival as the industry leaders!!!
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American consumers will have less discretionary spending and access to credit will become more limited. The company has added new ships and long term debt which it may have trouble repaying.
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Tourism is on the rise globally. If you want to go for a cruise chances are that you'll choose either RCL or CCL. RCL is arguably undervalued. It expands internationally.
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Excellent management and a great ship building plan. Very efficient in its distribution plan with an easy to understand product that continues to over deliver on promise..
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Baby Boombers
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I see MorningStar likes this one, but I have concerns that one terrorist attack on any cruise ship wouldl sting the whole industry. This wouldn't stop me from taking a RCL cruse - I have and I loved it, but it makes me hesitant to invest serious money.
A new concern I have about RCL is that I've seen several cases lately of this line having lots of passengers get sick. I don't know if the food tampering angle of these cases has been adequately investigated. Holland has a big radical Islamist problem, but the Dutch would rather be dead than politically incorrect. You can see plenty of Muslim name tags on the ships' food service workers - I wonder how good the screening process is.
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Major player. Should take advantage of baby boomers in retirement. Major cap. expense for ships during period of historically low interest rates. Long term outlook should be good.
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This is pure consumer discretionary. As the housing and economy slow over the next 6 months this company will see a serious decline in bookings
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Great earnings growth. Low price per earnings and book. A lot more room to grow compared to Carnival, but large enough to be a relatively safe security. Ben Graham would approve.
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Cruise line looks to be undervalued right now . . . time to pop it on the game card.
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