Radian Group, Inc. (RDN)
A global credit risk management company which offers products and services through three business segments- mortgage insurance, financial guaranty and financial services.
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This met a high level screen to indicate a buy and strong outperform against its peers (other tickers in its industry). My 1st version of this spreadsheet devles deep into the company's balnace sheet and recent income statements, combined with other relevant price data for the company including insider/institutional holdings, short interest, debt levels, etc.
Testing capabilities of this 1st version of my automated, valuation spreadhseet matched with my personal criteria and see how it holds up.
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Bankruptcy soon.
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Ho ho ho, your shares are worth zero.
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Declining margins and earnings willl lead price down.
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udervalued
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All the doom and gloom and low year end stock prices seem to be "HOGWASH" its 200 day moving average has turned the corner the 50 day is climbing. The stock price has climbed from below 2 to over 10 in only 2 months. I can see no reason why it will not continue to climb to at least 20-25 by years end.
BOOK VALUE 25.00
REVENUE 1st qtr 11 million
2nd qtr 577 million this shows a huge increase with more growth to follow.
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RDN will recover as Housing Recovers.
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I don't care what anyone says, these MI companies are in a bunch of trouble. The only one with a decent hope of surviving is GNW who has the ability to capitalize its MI write downs from other insurance businesses. Even GNW is projecting a lower RBC by the end of the year. The risk to capital ratios on these companies is way out of whack. At the end of this year, there will be some consolidation in this industry and maybe some new players. Until then, I give it a big fat ugly red thumb.
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technical bounce off of the trend line
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trend PS test
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Just guessing here, but this will probably go to zero.
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short slope of hope
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In the red for now, but I will close this pick in the green when garbage company's stock is no longer rateable [unless the market tanks more than a German Blitzkrieg]
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Time to go up
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I know, I shouldn't be talking financials during this mess but this company needs some attention. Since the begining of this crisis this company has worked hard to raise capitol and help people stay in thier homes. Once the smoke clears in 6 more months this stock will start to take off. RDN shocked everyone with a profit last quarter and will be one of the survivors of this mess. I would scope up some shares here and there when they fall below $3. In 2 to 4 years you will be nicely rewarded. Be patient and go long on this one.
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One of the few insurers with positive earnings in this market, currently trading way below book value.
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very big risk
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IF you could buy a Ps3 for the price of a Nintendo would you do it?
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I like their capitol position. It looks like they may have enough to weather the mortgage storm. Especially where Fannie and Freddie are once again solid. Look for Radia and OIld Republic to be the only ones left standing. I look for MGIC and PMI to drop out.

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