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Recs
Will lose tracking accuracy if held more than 1 day, so definitely will underperform in the long run. No brainer.
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The leverage in these along with rebalancing and management costs, plus the long-term upward trend in markets makes them poor performers over the long term. Easy red thumb points.
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Hedged leverage cost bet
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Yeah, because Rydex Inverse funds have performed so well over their existence.... *sarcasm* At nearly $200 this was absolutely silly. Even at its current price its tracking toward an eventual reverse split, upon which it may begin a downtrend again.
UltraLong
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tmfeldrehed
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bullish babo
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Ultra-shorts and Ultra-pros are all bad investments due to daily rebalancing
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Stocks go up.
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Might be early but I won't be too late. From Marketwatch 8/17/09 "Two 2008 crash survivors getting worried again"...
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-2008-crash-survivors-getting-worried-again-2009-08-16
Depending on risk tolerance, Eliades is currently recommending cash, Rydex Inverse 2x S&P 500 ETF, or shorting the September S&P 500 e-mini contract.
Crawford is even more worried. Twice recently, he has put out major sell/ short signals, most recently on August 5 because of (he said) the lunar eclipse. He writes in his August letter:
"We are expecting an immediate fall, then a rally attempt which may make some good gains, then a complete capitulation to the forces of division, retribution and chaos! Drama begins with the final Lunar Eclipse this Wednesday (Aug. 5). On the 24th-26th, arguments lead to violence as international incidents get out of control and make news. Diplomacy fails....We say: 'Corporate, governmental and international conflicts tank world markets!'"
For good measure, Crawford adds loudly: "SEPTEMBER IS A TRULY UGLY MONTH RIGHT FROM THE START -- OVERWHELMING NEGATIVE ASPECT COUNT. WORST LOOKING DAYS ARE THE 3rd, 15th-17th AND THE 23rd; MERCURY RETROGRADE FROM 6 TO 29TH."
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RYDEX INVERSE 2X S&P (RSW)
RSW basically goes two times the opposite direction of the S&P, which will be down. So I get the amount of points that the S&P drops 2x. Easy pick. What a good deal!
Love thy neighbor as thy loves thyself, but choose your neighborhood,
assafer
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The housing bubble (which is _still_ the real problem) looks like it will have evaporated by the end of the year or so but there is still on the order of $2,000,000,000,000 to go. We're far from done with this mess yet. Worse still, the "Stress Tests" assumed _way_ too rosy a picture and the "profits" banks are showing are a sham due to changes in mark-to-market. They're still bankrupt and getting more so by the day.
I changed from SDS to RSW because, long-term, RSW seems to come a little closer to the 1/ X^2 a "2x Inverse" fund should really approximate.
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Fading every pick made by Ultralong
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2X SHORT s&p 500
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c'mon now - unsustainable bear market rally.
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bear market rally should end soon
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market wont rebound until 4th quarter
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Expecting a rally in the next few weeks to bump my caps up a bit.
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Bad news has battered the market and it is time for a rally. I recommend shorting this etf. Over the long term the expenses of this etf alone will eat away at gains. A combination of this and the fact that at some point the market will move higher will result in this etf under-performing dramatically.
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