$7.00 0.10 (+1.45%)
11/9/2009 10:20 AM

Rubio's Restaurants, Inc. (RUBO)

CAPS Rating: 5 out of 5

The Company positions its restaurants in the fresh and distinctive fast-casual Mexican cuisine segment of the restaurant industry.

Current Price $7.00 Mkt Cap $70.25M
Open $6.94 P/E Ratio 69.00
Prev. Close $6.90 Div. (Yield) N/A (N/A)
Daily Range $6.94 - $7.00 Volume 4,168
52-Wk Range $2.16 - $7.89 Avg. Daily Vol. 59,000

RUBO News and Commentary

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Caps

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All Members

19 Outperform
4 Underperform
 

All-Star Members

6 Outperform
1 Underperform
 

Wall Street

1 Outperform
0 Underperform
 

Top RUBO Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

ikkyu2 (92.81)
Submitted August 29, 2007

PROS:a) I love this place. I make a point of eating here every time I'm near one.b) It's affordable, kid-friendly, fast, and healthy. Name me one other publically-traded chain you can think of that meets all of these criteria. (Can't think of any?… More

koona (53.60)
Submitted October 07, 2007

The Bullish pitch is that they are revamping their restaurants to a Chipotle or Panera dining experience vs the former Cal-Surf aka Taco Bell look ...basically going upscale. If you happen to follow restaurants; this is a tall order -- if successful… More

RUBO VS S&P 500 (SPY)

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from members about RUBO.

Recs

0
Member Avatar koona (53.60) Submitted: 10/7/2007 12:56:06 PM : Underperform Start Price: $10.69 RUBO Score: +7.67

The Bullish pitch is that they are revamping their restaurants to a Chipotle or Panera dining experience vs the former Cal-Surf aka Taco Bell look ...basically going upscale. If you happen to follow restaurants; this is a tall order -- if successful you keep your old customers and get new ones. Rubios has been around for so long and the idea of upscaling it seems problematic. If they actually had franchises opening up in a totally new market that never heard of Rubios and execute this plan -- it might actually work. With the present plan they have to show it works and bring in some good numbers and offset the expenses they occur for their stock to move upward.

Recs

0
Member Avatar richmouse (46.85) Submitted: 10/6/2007 2:52:45 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.69 RUBO Score: -7.67

I got to get Money together to bid on this one . Darn all the good go up before this stock surf can catch a good wave.

Recs

2
Member Avatar ikkyu2 (92.81) Submitted: 8/29/2007 3:48:06 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.76 RUBO Score: -12.82

PROS:

a) I love this place. I make a point of eating here every time I'm near one.

b) It's affordable, kid-friendly, fast, and healthy. Name me one other publically-traded chain you can think of that meets all of these criteria. (Can't think of any? Neither can I.)

c) People are becoming really unwilling to poison their kids with McD's, and there are billions spent by the Federal government - CDC, NIH - on public awareness campaigns to encourage healthier eating for kids. Those billions help RUBO and hurt the bigger chains.

d) No debt. That's right, no debt on the sheet.

e) Founder CEO Ralph Rubio. I like a man who puts his name on the Nasdaq ticker. That takes guts.

CONS:

a) 158 restaurants - margins are razor thin (<2% operating margin) and falling over TTM. Comps are flat. That's not great but their new branding/look scheme is outperforming the corporate average by 18% and it shouldn't take too much capex to institute that in all the restaurants.

b) Earnings are barely break-even at this point; numbers such as margins, comps and earnings are pretty volatile. To their credit, management isn't cooking the books to make these look better. I think it's way too early in the history of this company to make any judgements on these early numbers.

c) Zack's criticizes them for expanding aggressively while the economy is slowing. I dunno about that - I can fill up here for $8 and the food's great. I think people who have to feed kids, pretty much have to feed kids. They'll probably do it here.

Right now the market cap is right above the $100m limit. That means that, for the purposes of CAPS, there will never be a better time to green-thumb this company; if the numbers change to suggest a better buying opportunity, CAPS won't let me have it. So I'm putting the green thumb on these fish tacos right now!

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in RUBO.

Score Leader

DiscoJohn

DiscoJohn (99.76) Score: +17.63

HULK SAD

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score Commentary
DiscoJohn 99.76 3/28/2007 Underperform 1Y $10.98 -36.25% -19.20% +17.05
sjvbcl 70.88 5/10/2007 Underperform 3W $11.74 -40.37% -23.93% +16.45
alphadawgcapital < 20 11/6/2007 Underperform NS $10.64 -34.21% -24.65% +9.56
koona 53.60 10/8/2007 Underperform 1Y $10.69 -34.52% -26.85% +7.67 1 Comment
tmac3100 68.25 7/3/2007 Outperform 5Y $10.18 -31.24% -24.95% -6.29
rd80 99.18 7/10/2007 Outperform 3Y $10.20 -31.37% -24.61% -6.76 8 Comments
sliderdrape < 20 10/17/2007 Outperform 3Y $10.52 -33.46% -25.91% -7.55
mait77er 85.61 10/8/2007 Outperform 5Y $10.69 -34.52% -26.85% -7.67
richmouse 46.85 10/8/2007 Outperform 1Y $10.69 -34.52% -26.85% -7.67 1 Comment
Ollieisnumbaone < 20 10/8/2007 Outperform 5Y $10.69 -34.52% -26.85% -7.67

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackRothCapital 76.01 5/10/2007 Outperform NS $12.65 -45.14% -23.87% -21.27
TrackNCPI < 20 4/18/2007 Outperform NS $11.20 -12.41% +0.74% -13.15 12/3/2007 @ $9.81

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