Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SBH)
The Company is a distributor of professional beauty supplies in the United States based on store count and operates primarily through two business units, Sally Beauty Supply and BSG.
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From what I see in store sales seem to be increasing instead of falling. Sales seem to be strong and steady.
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Salons are pricey. Doing your own pedicure or highlights isn't, especially if you can buy "professional" supplies. Certainly not endorsing the "do-it-yourself" method. Orange hair doesn't look good on anyone.
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beauty company
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The next quarter's earnings should blow away last years because of their move into online sales.
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chart pick on ma xover and rising trend.
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Sally has an excellent management team in place and they have come up with a strategy to make-up for the L'oreal loss in its BSG division. I believe that the they will increase the number of non-L'oreal lines because these manufacturers do not want to be distributed by a company that is owned by L'oreal. L'oreal also has a big problem with the salon industry in that it is the most diverted product out there, meaning that it is sold in non-salon entities. L'oreal is losing their creditability with salons. The new lines that BSG is adding are more poised for growth and are not diverted.
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With all the bad news, this company's price haven't really changed during the last year or so . This is a great sign of a good business in some distress. Now the question is this: do you believe the management is going to bring a change? I do. Even a small growth with push the stock 40% percent higher.
By the way, they control more than 30% percent of the market. This is the closest thing you can get to a monopoly in such a fragmented market.
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Spun off of Alberto Culver. Beauticians spend a lot of money in these stores. They shop frequently for their products and having a brick and morter store close by is a necessity.
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While I believe this is a solid company with a strong competitive position in an attractive niche, I think the current stock price incorporates overly rosy expectations. Although results in the recent quarter were good, the company has yet to report a full quarter reflecting the loss of the L'Oreal. Additionally, the high level of debt incurred will result in less free cash flow.
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Just recently spun off and has a large distribution network for beauty products. The market is highly fragmented, and SBH has a strong network.
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A value proposition
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should catch hold and take off
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Sally Beauty is the largest consolidator in a very fragmented business. Whenever a stylist sells a bottle of shampoo or conditioner to a salon customer, she has to get resupplied. She can't go to Wal-Mart or a drug store, so she has to get product directly from the manufacturer or from a middle-person like Sally. (Beauty product companies work hard to promote "salon-quality" products and they would loose their cachet if they could be bought just anywhere.) Sally's biggest competitor is Regis, which is attempting to consolidate the highly-fragmented salon business. I think Sally Beauty will be more successful since shampoo is a commodity and stylists aren't.
This is your chance to participate in LBO mania. Usually, leveraged buyouts remove a stock from the public markets for a few years while management restructures, which means the public sees little of the investment gains. Fortunately, CD&R has left a slice of equity on the market for you and I to invest in. The huge debt is scary looking, but if viewed in terms of an LBO it should be seen as mostly positive.
Also, see my ACV pitch.
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Spin off opportunity. Will allow this distributor to expand product lines.
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