Seadrill, Ltd. (NYSE:SDRL)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

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Member Avatar monopole (< 20) Submitted: 11/26/2014 5:13:19 PM : Outperform Start Price: $16.12 SDRL Score: -8.87

The falling knife thing ...

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Member Avatar BigFatBEAR (29.23) Submitted: 11/26/2014 10:57:19 AM : Outperform Start Price: $16.42 SDRL Score: -10.66

Just providing fake support at this apparent new all-time low. Probably about 6 months too early. This one should survive, right?

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Member Avatar AtomicBlicky (21.83) Submitted: 11/26/2014 10:12:29 AM : Outperform Start Price: $17.05 SDRL Score: -14.00

17% drop today and oil will be higher next year!

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Member Avatar Pathfinder (37.48) Submitted: 11/24/2014 4:12:05 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.27 SDRL Score: -31.09

Original start price; $21.27
Not a pitch. Just a record for my personal edification. The start price will adjust down as dividends are paid.
And I'll want a quick reference in the future as I look back on this pick.

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Member Avatar Horsemonkey (< 20) Submitted: 11/16/2014 1:30:50 PM : Outperform Start Price: $20.84 SDRL Score: -31.30

I'm going long on SDRL at $21. I believe the dividend cut is already priced in and will be temporary. The longer crude stays below $81 a barrel, the more drillers will disappear. Seadrill has the resources and the tenacity to emerge victorious. I expect SDRL to kiss a 52 week high in Q2 2016.

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Member Avatar Cent78 (52.17) Submitted: 11/13/2014 10:26:04 PM : Outperform Start Price: $20.95 SDRL Score: -31.49

While the stock price has been pummelled due to low oil prices, I do not expect the situation to worsen much further than this as there should be some support for oil prices going forward at around $70. As such, I believe most of the bad news has been priced in, and this level is a pretty attractive entry point for the tasty quarterly dividend.

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Member Avatar JackCaps (25.53) Submitted: 11/12/2014 3:58:40 AM : Outperform Start Price: $21.58 SDRL Score: -33.96

But low, sell high; Seadrill's fundamentals are still solid. Its dividend has grown from $0.25 in 2007 to $1.00 in 2014. Per Yahoo Finance, the payout rate is 45%, meaning it is earning more than the dividend payment. At a $1.00 quarterly dividend and a current share price of $22 translates to a 18% dividend yield. If sales growth stalls to 0%, the dividend alone should sustain this stock. This is a huge buy opportunity now.

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Member Avatar pmvflyer (< 20) Submitted: 11/10/2014 1:24:10 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.96 SDRL Score: -34.88

Dividends, advantage of newer vs. older rigs, oil demand.

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Member Avatar anindakumars (25.70) Submitted: 11/6/2014 12:14:53 PM : Outperform Start Price: $17.94 SDRL Score: -18.27

best in class and that oil is cyclical and will certainly rebound

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Member Avatar tradeseeker14 (27.42) Submitted: 11/5/2014 7:16:26 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.54 SDRL Score: -34.91

Confidence CEO with a new fleet and commitments. Says dividend safe

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Member Avatar LovinMe (56.73) Submitted: 11/3/2014 11:38:58 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.54 SDRL Score: -34.91

Long term div play, contrarian.

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Member Avatar BrentNie (< 20) Submitted: 11/1/2014 10:24:43 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.26 SDRL Score: -33.87

Insanely low P/E ratio compared to peers and to historical average P/E solid market sector and the negativity in the industry and world politics have depressed the stock in the short term.

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Member Avatar foolishmountain (< 20) Submitted: 10/8/2014 5:26:51 PM : Outperform Start Price: $25.21 SDRL Score: -47.39

In view of lower oil prices and less spending by big oil companys on deepsea drilling, the stock price got crushed in the last couple months.
I dont know how low exactly oilprices will go in the short run, but I think it is likely they will rebound sooner or later, and i am convinced that they will go up over time, so deep sea drilling will be profitable.
Seadrill has the youngest fleet and the highest percentage of ships under contract, so they are in an ok position now and in a great position for the long run.
I think we will see large capital gains from this pricepoint and the dividend really pays you for waiting. Put those two together and you will likely beat the S&P over the next 2-4 years.

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Member Avatar rfaramir (29.35) Submitted: 10/7/2014 1:02:00 PM : Outperform Start Price: $25.66 SDRL Score: -49.26

ikkyu2's rec

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Member Avatar truman1987 (84.03) Submitted: 10/6/2014 11:22:22 PM : Outperform Start Price: $24.78 SDRL Score: -46.94

Although the drilling industry is suffering a downturn, the best companies will survive and then prosper. Seadrill is the best company in the industry.

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Member Avatar mtnbower (< 20) Submitted: 10/2/2014 12:00:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $24.40 SDRL Score: -45.58

Seems to be beaten down at the moment due to a number of factors (oil price, fear of dividend cut, oversupply of rigs in sector, falling day rates, etc) but I'm betting that sentiment is the biggest driver of it's stock price decline. Taking a very long term view, SDRL is undervalued and will capitalize on oil's cyclical march upward.

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Member Avatar nelsonic72 (< 20) Submitted: 10/2/2014 10:40:32 AM : Outperform Start Price: $24.86 SDRL Score: -48.02

The massive downturn this year has put SDRL in oversold territory. The years of rig building have put SDRL in an unfortunate position of bad debt-to-equity and free cash flow numbers and have beaten down the stock price as a result. The ensuing dividend cut (profits don't support the current dividend) will just be noise as the dividend will still be sizable and support a higher stock price. This is a pure upside value play at this price.

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Member Avatar saunafool (98.68) Submitted: 10/1/2014 7:55:55 AM : Outperform Start Price: $26.36 SDRL Score: -49.72

P/E of 3 and a dividend yield of 14% for a profitable company. The downside has to be very low with a significant upside. The earnings can (and probably will) be cut in half and Seadrill will still be fairly valued at this price.

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Member Avatar thelongviewman (56.90) Submitted: 9/26/2014 8:32:54 PM : Outperform Start Price: $26.92 SDRL Score: -51.15

Drilling stock shave been hammered, but oil prices will rise again - they always do. And I get nice dividend to wait until this sector falls in favor again.

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Member Avatar PearlandTX (45.63) Submitted: 9/24/2014 2:32:06 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.63 SDRL Score: -50.88

Oil industry is quite cyclical. Shares of most of the drillers are hitting multi-year lows. This is probably too early to jump in (09/24/2014), but the long-term prospects are great. Look for some strong buying opportunity beginning in the first half of 2015.

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