iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Fund (ET (AMEX:SHY)
iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Fund (ETF)
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U.S. stock bull 3/17/2008.
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Love dividend paying ETFs.
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Easy points for a newbie
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Pure simple bond fun:)
Take the low hanging fruit.
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Bonds outperforming the S&P? Once again, not likely, but better chances than the peso.
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The day I buy T-bills is the day I've forgotten to put on my big boy pants.
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Throughout the yield scare that recently roiled the market, the major indexes never fell that far from their heights. A bond ETF might be nice to hold for its yield, but I doubt the performance of its market price will exceed that of the SPY.
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US consumer spending is slowing. If the Fed cuts rates (and we think they will have to), folks will applaud claiming the Fed has averted recession. We predict long term rates, however, will stay static and investors will bid up the short-end of the curve. (Ironically, however, we believe recession is inevitable. In this scenario, lower rates will cause another wave of private equity/M&A. But, with the US consumer hurting, revenue estimates will be overstated and deals will implode. Private equity investors will have nowhere to turn, in the illiquid market, and drag down the financial markets.)
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iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the short-term sector of the United States Treasury market as defined by the Lehman Brothers 1-3 Year U.S. The Net Asset Value of the fund currently is $80.43, while the total net assets are worth $5.66 billion.
For the six months ended August 2006, iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Fund's investment income increased by 58% to $96.9 million due to increase in dividend income. Effective duration of the fund is 1.79 years with a weighted average maturity of 1.90 year while the fund has an effective duration of 1.65 years with the weighted average maturity of 1.83 years. The fund has a weighted average coupon of 4.08% while for the index it is 4.27%.
Some of the risks associated with investing in the bond are that the bond prices may go down because of a rise in interest rate or other such economic consideration. It may even fall in response to any economic trends or events. Moreover longer the maturity, the greater the risk that its value may fall in response to these factors.
Recently the Federal Reserve held the key short-term interest rate steady and added that future policy adjustments will depend on the outlook for both inflation and economic growth. Economists and investors widely expected the Fed to leave rates alone but there has been hope that central bank would cut rates later this year due to concerns of rising mortgage defaults, weakened consumer spending and signs of an economic slowdown. This view was only to know that later the Fed chairman repeated to lawmakers that the central bank remains focused on inflation, which not only dimmed hopes for a rate cut but also pushed yields a bit higher and treasury prices closed lower. Thus the current scenario proves to be highly speculative as well as volatile and the scope of the bond prices going up seems miniscule.
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bonds loose to stocks, longterm
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I think the the S&P 500 will outperform 1-3 year treasury bonds over the next 5 years and beyond.
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