$3.14 -0.10 (-3.09%)
11/27/2009 1:02 PM

Standard Pacific Corp. (SPF)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

The Company is a geographically diversified builder of single-family attached and detached homes and constructs homes within a range of price and size targeting a range of homebuyers.

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Member Avatar cecamado1 (52.47) Submitted: 11/24/2009 8:24:56 AM : Underperform Start Price: $3.08 SPF Score: -3.24

Shorting all almost all Household goods (durables) and all homebuilders. with high unemployment, how do you expect people to buy houses or hold onto their mortgages? Because of tax credit, numbers are looking decent, but we'll be back to normal in no time... Short this !!!

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Member Avatar TMFBuck (81.58) Submitted: 11/6/2009 3:25:39 PM : Underperform Start Price: $3.36 SPF Score: +8.98

Premature housing recovery based on season uptick. I'll be happy to take the downside from here.

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Member Avatar mrolfers (78.59) Submitted: 11/5/2009 2:53:40 PM : Underperform Start Price: $3.51 SPF Score: +13.22

Exhibit A would be the fact that the average new home has been on the market for 12.9 months. Exhibit B is that we have about 2-3 years of existing home sales just to absorb the vacancies that exist. According to T2, about 6% of all homes built this decade are vacant.

Exhibit C is that the home builders themselves have too much debt and too much inventory relative to their thin equity cushions. The home builders are in the position of trying to hold up a bowling ball with a sheet of paper...in the rain.

Lastly, the home builder stocks are almost universally expensive on a price-to-book basis." (NVR, SPF and KBH have the highest )
- quoted from The Daily Reckoning newsletter 11/5/09

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Member Avatar EclecticRecluse (75.45) Submitted: 11/5/2009 2:26:53 AM : Underperform Start Price: $3.47 SPF Score: +13.21

Weak and Deteriorating Cashflow

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Member Avatar BicaChica (82.01) Submitted: 10/30/2009 5:04:04 PM : Underperform Start Price: $3.03 SPF Score: +1.59

fransgeraedts

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3
Member Avatar DarthMaul09 (98.58) Submitted: 10/23/2009 12:04:52 AM : Underperform Start Price: $3.43 SPF Score: +8.35

I hope to catch this stock on the pop before investors realize that this short-term stimulus will be like the cash for clunkers program, resulting in a limited sales increase now followed by lower sales in the months to come.

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Member Avatar pjani06 (98.15) Submitted: 10/9/2009 2:06:02 AM : Underperform Start Price: $3.51 SPF Score: +13.29

per floridabuilder

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Member Avatar stockfreak1 (< 20) Submitted: 10/8/2009 3:38:36 PM : Underperform Start Price: $3.56 SPF Score: +14.55

short the pop

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Member Avatar jstegma (99.72) Submitted: 8/13/2009 6:36:03 PM : Underperform Start Price: $1.68 SPF Score: -58.87

The housing turnaround just keeps looking farther and farther away. At this point I'm pretty sure that it is beyond the lifetime of SPF and some of the other builders. They simply won't live to see it. So I'll suffer along with my red thumb on this stock waiting for it to die. It will eventually.

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Member Avatar OtherOracleOfOMA (99.61) Submitted: 6/11/2009 7:27:34 PM : Underperform Start Price: $2.39 SPF Score: -14.10

Interest rates...

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Member Avatar firetiger77 (28.04) Submitted: 4/17/2009 3:21:33 PM : Underperform Start Price: $1.72 SPF Score: -56.33

specbear rec

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Member Avatar Netteligent09 (< 20) Submitted: 4/15/2009 7:26:02 PM : Underperform Start Price: $1.62 SPF Score: -64.99

Housing market demand is low for the next 24 months to digest its inventory. SPF stucks with its current projects.

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Member Avatar TDRH (99.98) Submitted: 4/15/2009 2:32:14 PM : Underperform Start Price: $1.57 SPF Score: -68.83

Floridabuilder

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Member Avatar cashsage (96.87) Submitted: 2/9/2009 4:45:38 PM : Underperform Start Price: $1.64 SPF Score: -62.23

SPF has an illiquid balance sheet. It is also one of the most loss making companies.

Recs

6
Member Avatar floridabuilder2 (99.67) Submitted: 2/6/2009 4:00:48 PM : Underperform Start Price: $1.75 SPF Score: -51.23

SPF had the opportunity to buy TOA assets for nothing... zilcho... through the bankruptcy courts... yet it appears this isn't going to come to fruition....

you cannot buy assets cheaper than through bankruptcy... this is a big tell....

and why aren't the other publics buying the assets of TOA? Because they weren't positioned to do it like SPF/MP... plus, the other publics will buy assets piecemeal.. so there is an unwillingness to take all the assets of TOA

One cannot equate other publics inability and unwillingness to buying all of TOAs assets the same way as SPF.....

I would close this pick to an outperform if SPF closed on TOA

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Member Avatar paintjockey (47.12) Submitted: 11/6/2008 1:07:13 AM : Underperform Start Price: $2.75 SPF Score: +4.79

This company may survive to 2010 and make a come back but as it stands it is losing ground badly on fundamentals. Generally, is a weak hold to moderate sell. It is of note, builders are suffering from collapse of housing bubble but SPF is not well set for long-term slump. If this cycle goes beyond 2010 it is unlikely this company can survive at all.

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Member Avatar lllchicalll (82.38) Submitted: 10/2/2008 12:32:14 AM : Underperform Start Price: $5.07 SPF Score: +35.77

tdrh

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1
Member Avatar HardMoneyLender (< 20) Submitted: 6/19/2008 4:22:44 AM : Underperform Start Price: $3.20 SPF Score: -13.41

I think this stock will test its lows again and they are too weighted in markets that are still crashing hard.

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Member Avatar JustAnerd (< 20) Submitted: 5/27/2008 9:01:05 PM : Underperform Start Price: $3.69 SPF Score: -3.35

lol

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Member Avatar SpaceMonkey01 (83.47) Submitted: 5/21/2008 7:42:54 AM : Underperform Start Price: $2.46 SPF Score: -47.52

I have 5+ years time frame on this stock, but it won't be around that long.

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