$72.22 0.05 (+0.07%)
11/25/2009 4:01 PM

Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

A self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust, engaged primarily in the ownership, development, and management of retail real estate, primarily regional malls, Premium Outlet® centers and community/lifestyle centers.

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Member Avatar Scorpioray (< 20) Submitted: 10/31/2009 10:21:12 AM : Outperform Start Price: $67.70 SPG Score: -0.28

Increasing relative price strength

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Member Avatar wuff3t (93.17) Submitted: 10/28/2009 6:04:09 PM : Underperform Start Price: $64.91 SPG Score: -5.38

Overvalued and under-funded.

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Member Avatar libertybrewcity (< 20) Submitted: 10/26/2009 5:30:39 AM : Underperform Start Price: $68.40 SPG Score: -2.64

Loss of tenants, crappy economy, people beginning to live within their means, no work and no money=end of Simon Property Group

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Member Avatar hud500 (85.47) Submitted: 10/15/2009 3:17:32 AM : Underperform Start Price: $69.22 SPG Score: -1.94

Found this from a screen on high debt levels and high PE.

Company seems to be consistently paying out higher dividends than earnings, which looks bad. Given the amount of debt they have, it looks incompetent. Thumbs down.

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Member Avatar Displacement (92.15) Submitted: 9/25/2009 7:20:43 PM : Underperform Start Price: $68.29 SPG Score: +0.48

Heavily leveraged retail portfolio

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Member Avatar PdoBear (93.36) Submitted: 9/11/2009 8:04:15 AM : Underperform Start Price: $67.21 SPG Score: -0.86

Visualize the meteor that killed the dinosaurs heading towards earth. Now picture a SPG logo on it. That's how hard this stock is going to crater.

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Member Avatar WeenTang (85.11) Submitted: 8/14/2009 1:56:16 PM : Underperform Start Price: $61.31 SPG Score: -5.89

Shrinking revenue and increasing share price, somethings got to give.

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Member Avatar MDKirby (98.04) Submitted: 8/8/2009 6:15:21 PM : Underperform Start Price: $65.24 SPG Score: +0.40

The multiples for this stock are ridiculous, and there is not going to be any good news for owners of shopping malls in the near future:

"In the first quarter of 2009, retail tenants “have vacated 8.7 million square feet of commercial space,” which “exceeds the 8.6 million square feet of retail space that was vacated in all of 2008.” Further, as CNN reported, “vacancy rates at malls rose 9.5% in the first quarter, outpacing the 8.9% vacancy rate registered in all of 2008.” Of significance for those that think and claim the crisis will be over by 2010, “mall vacancies [are expected] to exceed historical levels through 2011,” as for retailers, “it's only going to get worse.”[5] Two days after the previous report, “General Growth Properties Inc, the second-largest U.S. mall owner, declared bankruptcy on [April 16] in the biggest real estate failure in U.S. history.”[6]"
Source: http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig10/marshall1.1.1.html

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Member Avatar SimonSaysSell (57.33) Submitted: 7/7/2009 1:28:56 PM : Underperform Start Price: $47.48 SPG Score: -26.19

I believe that more pain is coming in the commercial real estate market.

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Member Avatar QUICKflip24 (81.00) Submitted: 7/6/2009 11:21:50 AM : Underperform Start Price: $47.83 SPG Score: -25.41

The commercial real estate market will soon have its day or reckoning.

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Member Avatar ACMIP (99.67) Submitted: 6/30/2009 12:00:11 PM : Underperform Start Price: $50.81 SPG Score: -19.75

GGWPQ.PK Hedge

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Member Avatar cashout1 (64.37) Submitted: 6/29/2009 7:32:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $24.35 SPG Score: +129.81

Simon says keep buying in the down market.

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Member Avatar limeonaire (97.39) Submitted: 6/23/2009 4:32:22 PM : Underperform Start Price: $49.51 SPG Score: -21.76

Mass mall failure predicted, even for fairly recently opened ones.

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Member Avatar stevesurfing (< 20) Submitted: 6/8/2009 12:45:13 AM : Underperform Start Price: $52.17 SPG Score: -18.51

no financing/property values are down+income down. higher cap rates and no comps for values

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Member Avatar Scotbgaw (94.97) Submitted: 6/2/2009 2:03:59 PM : Underperform Start Price: $53.78 SPG Score: -15.55

Commercial REITs such as SPG are about to get hammered. Declining sales due to high and rising unemployment will beget declining earnings, which will, in turn, shrink dividends. Investors will be fleeing investments like this once they found out they are being paid much less to hold them. My biggest risk here is that the company will find a way to continue dividend payments (although it will likely come in the form of some sort of share dilution, making it a temporary risk) negatively impacting my red thumb call.

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Member Avatar donmartin65 (95.47) Submitted: 6/2/2009 11:29:38 AM : Underperform Start Price: $54.14 SPG Score: -14.36

http://xderivatives.blogspot.com/2009/06/simon-property-group-inc.html

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Member Avatar sohmah42 (48.78) Submitted: 5/18/2009 8:47:14 PM : Underperform Start Price: $50.13 SPG Score: -20.63

worst yet to come for reits, Since when dilutions is a good thing !! estimates are too high , depriciations on assets yet to be realized.

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Member Avatar MystixX (99.46) Submitted: 5/18/2009 12:12:58 PM : Underperform Start Price: $49.05 SPG Score: -22.36

No turnaround for commercial real estate in sight, property values continue to plummet as more and more stores are forced to close. All the unemployed have yet to really affect the economy once the last remnants of their equity are used up in the coming months. This death spiral has a ways to go before unwounding.

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Member Avatar yooperking (92.35) Submitted: 5/11/2009 4:21:21 PM : Underperform Start Price: $45.87 SPG Score: -24.53

Trading at over 4 times book value and having a Debt/Equity ration of 5.9:1. this is an accident waiting to happen, especially in the economic and political climate we are in.

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Member Avatar firetiger77 (28.50) Submitted: 4/20/2009 3:38:40 PM : Underperform Start Price: $43.11 SPG Score: -32.99

specbear rec; in after 8% fall, but still will go further

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