UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (SRS)
Exchange traded fund
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1 week or less
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Cake Dex test run
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Cougarboard told me to.
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Depression
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When the first time home buyer credit expires, the real estate market will tumble quickly again. This will help push us along into our second dip of recession.
The buyers will dry up. Why? What about great deals on foreclosures?
Sure, existing home owners could put in offers on a foreclosure, but they can not have a sale of home contingency. So who is going to buy their current home??
In a normal market, when a home sold, that seller could take their money and put it right back into buying another home from someone else... and so the chain would continue.
Not with foreclosures. When they sell, they do nothing but injure the market and take a buyer away from home owners who have been good with their finances and have paid their bills.
Before years end.... the real estate market will be it's coldest ever!
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This may go a bit lower, but the commercial real estate market is getting ready for a big crash.
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High unemployment will spur foreclosures with eventual rising interest rates removing interest in getting in cheap
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trying to predict market turn
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The Fed will eventually raise interest rates and the foreclosures will go through the roof.
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Nice camp for a temporary pullback
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Should outperform in the next few weeks as the market corrects itself.
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real estate, commercial and retail, will plummet
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This one is going to break out as soon as the reality sets in regarding the CMBS.
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Commercial real estate is a disaster. Banks are not lending..The best banks may do will be restructure paltry amounts of outstanding CRE loans..That's the best case scenario. Tenancy will continue to fall in malls across the country. Renegotiating be landlords will be forced due to cotenancy clauses which will permit retail chains to renegotiate lower rents. A bleak scenario for CRE.
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Market is pointing down for now so I believe this is a short term play only.
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come to papa
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I really don't see why this ETF should be trading near it's 52 week lows....
It's like a full and speedy recovery is being priced in with this...
I'm going to use an extremely leveraged (with call options),but very small position on SRS to serve as a hedge in case of a sizeable downturn in the market over the summer.
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expecting comercial real estate to vaporize

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