ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (ETF) (NYSEMKT:TBT)
ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (ETF)
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Recs
luremaster
(< 20)
Submitted: 6/18/2013 3:31:08 AM :
Start Price:
$69.58
TBT Score:
+1.62
interest rates going up
Recs
panda72
(99.27)
Submitted: 5/4/2013 9:23:23 PM :
Start Price:
$59.81
TBT Score:
-11.79
This is a daily tracking double leverage short bias instrument - about as toxic as you can get. I still can't believe the SEC doesn't put the people who bundle and sell these sorts of instruments in jail.
Recs
bIlluminati
(31.16)
Submitted: 4/23/2013 3:57:37 PM :
Start Price:
$60.20
TBT Score:
-13.10
Leverage.
Recs
limadude
(< 20)
Submitted: 3/22/2013 6:48:36 PM :
Start Price:
$67.00
TBT Score:
+0.08
Interest rates have no where to go but up... I am going to hedge a little with this ETF.
Recs
pbtoau78
(60.16)
Submitted: 2/20/2013 6:08:38 PM :
Start Price:
$67.44
TBT Score:
-4.11
FED fired its first shot today... good chance this outperforms as the threat of rising interest rates will drag on the S&P in the short-term.
Recs
Jognils
(90.70)
Submitted: 2/5/2013 4:17:02 PM :
Start Price:
$68.02
TBT Score:
-5.31
Treasuries as a safety haven is an illusion. Rates can only go up from here.
Recs
rfccac2003
(< 20)
Submitted: 1/2/2013 4:40:01 PM :
Start Price:
$65.20
TBT Score:
-4.21
bond bust still waiting
Recs
Grahdodd34
(52.61)
Submitted: 11/26/2012 3:49:38 PM :
Start Price:
$60.44
TBT Score:
+0.14
Best way to play bursting of the bond bubble
Recs
Wade32ru
(< 20)
Submitted: 10/17/2012 1:45:02 PM :
Start Price:
$65.23
TBT Score:
-4.39
Rates have nowhere to go but up...
Recs
Loxia
(< 20)
Submitted: 9/25/2012 8:59:52 AM :
Start Price:
$63.80
TBT Score:
-1.87
TBT anticipates on the biggest bubble the financial system is still facing (end of the 30Y bond market).
Recs
TerryHogan
(99.82)
Submitted: 9/20/2012 11:42:10 PM :
Start Price:
$66.00
TBT Score:
+5.02
I'm actually pretty bearish on treasuries, especially from these interest levels and with the rising spectre of inflation. But this is a 2X leveraged ETF, so as long as we some sort of volatility and Treasuries don't drop like rocks, this thing should stink in the long term.
Recs
tichtalk
(27.23)
Submitted: 7/29/2012 10:24:22 AM :
Start Price:
$59.60
TBT Score:
-0.13
As economy turns around, the premium for 'safe' bond returns will go down. Fed seems quiet, so natural pricing shift should occur. I'm not necessarily bearish on bonds, but I think they are overpriced and due for a correction.
Recs
MFBriguy
(99.87)
Submitted: 6/20/2012 1:38:41 PM :
Start Price:
$63.48
TBT Score:
-9.90
Equities are cheap compared to bonds. This will correct at some point.
Recs
prstout
(82.77)
Submitted: 5/10/2012 7:56:32 PM :
Start Price:
$70.84
TBT Score:
-21.75
Interest rates may be stuck in a trading range for a few years. But the risk-reward is for higher interest rates. The TBT will benefit from higher interest rates.
An increase in interest rates could be a sign of an improving economy, or like 1987 foreign investors lossing faith. Hopefully Congress doesn't create another October 1987 in the treasury market. Once in a lifetime should be enough.
Recs
H20Ryder
(< 20)
Submitted: 5/4/2012 9:45:36 AM :
Start Price:
$73.28
TBT Score:
-22.25
interest rates will eventually go up
Recs
dneedle1
(29.05)
Submitted: 4/15/2012 7:50:21 PM :
Start Price:
$75.00
TBT Score:
-24.91
Despite the huge problems with leveraged ETF, with rates about to absolutely soar, this is all but a sure thing to significantly outperform.
Recs
rd80
(99.12)
Submitted: 3/29/2012 8:36:32 AM :
Start Price:
$80.83
TBT Score:
-30.17
Rolling the dice on rising interest rates.
Recs
Lancinator13
(< 20)
Submitted: 2/8/2012 6:40:31 PM :
Start Price:
$77.96
TBT Score:
-30.60
I'm expecting a bond crash resulting from a Euro collapse spreading to North America
Recs
campwt00global
(37.00)
Submitted: 2/1/2012 12:30:10 PM :
Start Price:
$74.24
TBT Score:
-28.31
in August, "treasuries have no where to run but up....25.60 8/29/2011", i closed this one recently as a reset. I still beleive they have no where to go but up, however, it may take a little time.
Recs
Jafarnie
(36.55)
Submitted: 1/18/2012 9:34:02 PM :
Start Price:
$139.76
TBT Score:
+70.21
it costs approximately 7% annually for this ETF to maintain a short position in treasuries. Although there are many reasons to be pessimistic about treasuries, at the cost of 7% annually, treasuries would have to decline quickly to score any points with a long position in this ETF. That is to say, that if it takes a long time for treasuries to realize the expected decline, any gains in TBT from shorting treasuries will be wiped out by the cost of holding a short position. Further, it is even less likely that TBT will out preform the S&P 500 index because the performance of treasuries and stocks have a strong negative correlation. So even if TBT gains, due to a decline in treasuries, the S&P index is likely to gain even more, because it does not have the 7% annual cost that TBT has. In sum, a position in TBT is only worthwhile if you believe treasuries will fall quickly. Any long term gains from shorting TBT will be offset by the cost of holding a short position in treasuries. I do not short TBT in real life, because my cost to short TBT will offset TBT's cost to short treasuries. However, in the Fool world, where there is no cost to short an investment, shorting TBT is a no brainer.
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