Tracon Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:TCON)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

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24 Outperform
4 Underperform
 

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zzlangerhans (99.81)
Submitted December 14, 2015

The last time I bought Tracon I started off with 1000 shares at 9.71 in September. In November I added another 1000 shares at 9.27 for a total of 2000 cost basis 9.49. Shortly after that, the stock declined as low as 8.58. The stock then rebounded to… More

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Member Avatar zzlangerhans (99.81) Submitted: 12/13/2015 10:49:35 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.80 TCON Score: -83.80

The last time I bought Tracon I started off with 1000 shares at 9.71 in September. In November I added another 1000 shares at 9.27 for a total of 2000 cost basis 9.49. Shortly after that, the stock declined as low as 8.58. The stock then rebounded to 10.16, where I sold all my shares for a profit of $1340. A few days after that the stock hit a high of 12.18. As of now, ten days from that time, the share price is at 9.4 and I'm considering buying it back. During that entire time period, there were no particularly notable catalysts related to Tracon's operations or pipeline. The few minor developments that did take place had no correlation whatsoever with the changes in price direction.

According to one way of looking at things, I spent about $2000 too much for my stock and left $4000 on the table when I sold. Looking at the trades another way, I made $1340 on an investment of $20000 in two months, for an annualized return of 48%, on a stock that is currently lower than where I first bought it. That looks a lot better. Despite eight years of trading biotech stocks, I still have no idea whether to pat myself on the back or kick myself in the butt after a sequence of trades like this. If there's a way of reading the tea leaves to improve my returns on trades like this, I'd sure love to figure it out.

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Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
PAGEBOY73 99.11 9/1/2016 Underperform 3W $6.19 -41.84% +14.83% +56.67 0 Comment
efarev 98.96 7/5/2017 Outperform 5Y $2.37 +52.16% +2.81% +49.35 0 Comment
hayrettin 70.55 8/30/2017 Outperform 5Y $2.40 +50.00% +1.61% +48.39 0 Comment
hicksjmu567 80.02 1/17/2017 Underperform 5Y $5.50 -34.55% +10.22% +44.77 0 Comment
portefeuille 98.66 9/1/2017 Outperform 5Y $3.10 +16.13% +0.52% +15.61 0 Comment
portefeuille2 99.44 9/1/2017 Outperform 5Y $3.15 +14.29% +0.53% +13.76 0 Comment
clangmead 64.93 9/7/2017 Outperform 5Y $3.38 +6.37% +0.89% +5.48 0 Comment
gcaderas 77.25 4/24/2017 Underperform 1Y $3.60 0% +5.17% +5.17 0 Comment
HDTVBG < 20 9/21/2017 Underperform 3W $3.73 -3.50% -0.18% +3.33 0 Comment
beecha 61.91 9/19/2017 Outperform 5Y $3.70 -2.70% -0.22% -2.48 0 Comment

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