SPDR Barclays Capital Long Term Treasury (ETF) (AMEX:TLO)
SPDR Barclays Capital Long Term Treasury (ETF)
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The yield curve is getting less steep recently, which means bond investors are fearing a slowdown in the economy. Either way, this baby will underperform the zippy market after just a short while.
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Long term treasury interest rates are near the end of a long term secular bull market. There is simply too much supply and too much potential for rising interest rates.
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Treasuries are at near record low yields, and thus at record high prices... Thus this ETF can't go much higher, and won't keep up with the S&P500 over the long term.
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QE2 ending; who will pay for government spending now? "Not I, said turkey lurkey." The sky is falling, at least on the days of easy money.
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Can I downthumb this ten times please?
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The Federal Reserve usually intervenes in the treasury market to push down interest rates during recessions and increase them when the economy improves.
While yields may fall slightly in the short term, they will almost certainly be higher in 18 months, and it is likely that interest rates will be significantly higher at some point during the next 5 years.
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Bernake is going to make shorting this oh so sweet!
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Cash is King
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Long-term Treasuries = return-free risk.
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Fixed income market is in a bubble, the yields are too low and do not reflect the reality of rising worldwide inflation. Get ready for a long term bear market in bonds
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U.S. stock bull 3/17/2008.
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