Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

Designs, builds, markets & arranges financing for single-family detached & attached homes in luxury residential communities. Also involved in projects building, or converting existing rental apartment buildings into, high-, mid- & low-rise luxury homes.

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Member Avatar skullchemist (< 20) Submitted: 10/15/2006 3:52:57 PM : Outperform Start Price: $30.24 TOL Score: -10.19

housing sell off is overdone. . interview on cramer revealed that this is likely selling for less than the real book value

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Member Avatar MarkosKaminis (71.92) Submitted: 10/13/2006 2:44:53 PM : Underperform Start Price: $29.45 TOL Score: +7.14

Toll Brothers has run up on speculation, but the housing market continues to look soft and is weakening. Expect capital to flow out of TOL on its poor earnings and guidance.

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Member Avatar ashlanding (72.64) Submitted: 10/11/2006 4:02:36 AM : Outperform Start Price: $30.04 TOL Score: -10.11

Everyone wants a luxury house - many will get one. Plus a p/e of 6+

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Member Avatar chasking1 (39.03) Submitted: 10/10/2006 3:57:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $30.26 TOL Score: -10.40

housing moving

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Member Avatar TheRogueWave (< 20) Submitted: 10/5/2006 4:19:52 PM : Outperform Start Price: $28.23 TOL Score: -4.07

When everybody hates something (housing market) this much, it's time to buy.

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Member Avatar Newbie112 (54.54) Submitted: 10/5/2006 11:05:49 AM : Outperform Start Price: $27.65 TOL Score: -4.27

Good profits even in bad times. Highest bond rating for homebuilders in the country.

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Member Avatar GDPcycle (35.35) Submitted: 10/4/2006 4:45:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $28.00 TOL Score: -4.73

The housing stocks have bottomed and will take off once the FED lowers rates.

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Member Avatar shirleyb123 (71.21) Submitted: 9/27/2006 7:08:20 PM : Underperform Start Price: $28.24 TOL Score: +5.01

Building of homes has slowed. Interest rates are up more than income. Sure the CEO's are still making good money but there are fewer of them to buy the luxury homes built by this company. They will have to meet the challenge probably by changing their business model.

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Member Avatar yanks1969 (36.60) Submitted: 9/25/2006 9:43:11 PM : Underperform Start Price: $28.20 TOL Score: +5.83

The soft housing market will continue to affect the demand for new housing starts.

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Member Avatar notimeforZEROs (< 20) Submitted: 9/21/2006 9:31:36 PM : Underperform Start Price: $26.98 TOL Score: +1.99

this stock is in trouble over the long haul...their assets will melt away....as housing prices slump a lot further...they will eventually not be solvent...possibly

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Member Avatar SCVPhD (86.04) Submitted: 9/21/2006 3:16:20 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.39 TOL Score: -3.89

Toll Brothers is a luxury homebuilder operating in many states. Their median home price is roughly half a million dollars, and therefore the majority of people that they sell homes to will not be as affected in general by the general downturn in the housing market seen in recent months.

The company is also extremely undervalued aleready, as all of the bad news of the last year in the homebuilding sector has already been priced in.

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Member Avatar cleverdanman (47.57) Submitted: 9/21/2006 3:22:27 AM : Outperform Start Price: $27.17 TOL Score: -1.94

Housing stocks are a leading indicator of the real estate industry. That means that what is likely to occur in the future has already occurred in the share prices of housing companies. For instance, high-quality home-builders have seen their share prices go down to microscopic P/E's over the past year, meaning that the housing industry is going to be bad for the next year or so. But with that already priced into the stocks, the inevitable housing market recovery will be anticipated in the housing stock prices before the recovery even begins - probably by late 2007. (I have no real-world financial interest in this company.)

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Member Avatar staffier (51.10) Submitted: 9/20/2006 6:18:17 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.52 TOL Score: -4.06

Beat-down to a PE of under 6. Plus no one else at fool.com seems to like this one, which, to me, makes it even more appealing...

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Member Avatar richogtx (< 20) Submitted: 9/16/2006 8:55:11 PM : Outperform Start Price: $28.34 TOL Score: -6.90

HOUSING COMEBACK

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Member Avatar willib71 (91.80) Submitted: 9/16/2006 5:42:32 PM : Underperform Start Price: $28.34 TOL Score: +6.90

housing, interest rates, oil prices all play big and will slowtol margins. inventory will be the major factor

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Member Avatar laservisor (22.71) Submitted: 9/15/2006 8:17:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $28.10 TOL Score: -5.23

Niche market, good balance sheet, smart strategies--will outlast the housing market slump and will be excellently position to take advantage of bounceback.

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Member Avatar abadiam (69.12) Submitted: 9/13/2006 3:21:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.53 TOL Score: -4.48

Solid balance sheet, targets the high-income segment of the population, should be well positioned for when the housing cycle booms again. Expectations of a cycle bust are already reflected on the stock price.

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Member Avatar mikeinmadrid (87.29) Submitted: 9/12/2006 5:09:46 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.81 TOL Score: -5.86

.Bill Mann says homebuilders are cheap. I believe him enough to buy a basket of homebuilders in CAPS!!

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Member Avatar sleuniss (< 20) Submitted: 8/31/2006 12:18:13 AM : Underperform Start Price: $26.28 TOL Score: +0.31

The housing bubble is bursting. Even TOL will write down its land options as a loss.

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Member Avatar CBENT55 (65.20) Submitted: 8/29/2006 6:10:53 PM : Outperform Start Price: $25.92 TOL Score: +0.50

When investors realize that these guys have LAND and that housing is only part of the story, the sock will appreciate

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