Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL)
Designs, builds, markets & arranges financing for single-family detached & attached homes in luxury residential communities. Also involved in projects building, or converting existing rental apartment buildings into, high-, mid- & low-rise luxury homes.
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The housing market is ove and has been since September of 2005. Only true fools are getting in - short the industry - short the market.
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Inventory write downs will be much higher than forecast, especially in Arizona and Florida.
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I agree with Tom. I live in MD. I can "see" why Tom is right.
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houseing is hit the bottom
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The housing market is tired, not dead. Once demand catches back up to supply, this leader in luxury housing will resume its profit making.
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I'm assuming that the housing decline will be deeper than the S&P 500 decline for the near term; however in the longer term, I expect TOL to outperform.
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Over corrected. Can take market share from weaker companies.
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Dont expect a true bottom in housing for 8-15 more months. This stock will go back down to test mid 06 lows
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The problems won't go away but the buyers sure will and TOL will pay the toll, lower, much lower, stock price in the next year.
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Housing still needs price correction.
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Contraian pick and late at that just started.
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Picking a bottom is suicide; that said, when and if the housing market comes out of the doldrums, these guys will be there, strong, and they've been hit pretty hard already - over a long term, they should grow well.
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See DHI, above.
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Everyone needs homes and after a few more months this prime homebuilder should bounce back
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My conversative inventory mark-up to FMV results is a P/S of $50 based on asset value alone. It might take some time for this investment to catch up, but don't see the need for homes going away anytime soon.
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I'm going long the home builders... period. The short game is over.
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Housing market is tough right now
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Lots of talk right now about whether the housing market will have a soft landing or is crashing. Either way, I see house building stocks heading south faster than the S&P. Speculation is high right now and since the economic growth report missed its expected mark, I think the pessimist will win out for most large scale investors.
After so many months of great returns, I think investors are willing to take their profits and look elsewhere, especially if the overall market really turns south.
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