Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

Designs, builds, markets & arranges financing for single-family detached & attached homes in luxury residential communities. Also involved in projects building, or converting existing rental apartment buildings into, high-, mid- & low-rise luxury homes.

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Member Avatar yippies2 (< 20) Submitted: 12/22/2006 9:21:47 AM : Underperform Start Price: $31.80 TOL Score: +10.31

The housing market is ove and has been since September of 2005. Only true fools are getting in - short the industry - short the market.

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Member Avatar AspenBear (< 20) Submitted: 12/21/2006 1:28:33 PM : Underperform Start Price: $31.80 TOL Score: +10.25

Inventory write downs will be much higher than forecast, especially in Arizona and Florida.

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Member Avatar Junster (< 20) Submitted: 12/21/2006 1:10:38 PM : Underperform Start Price: $31.76 TOL Score: +10.04

I agree with Tom. I live in MD. I can "see" why Tom is right.

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Member Avatar nightsin (< 20) Submitted: 12/20/2006 2:19:05 PM : Outperform Start Price: $31.80 TOL Score: -9.93

houseing is hit the bottom

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Member Avatar designer303 (36.07) Submitted: 12/17/2006 4:30:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $32.64 TOL Score: -11.97

The housing market is tired, not dead. Once demand catches back up to supply, this leader in luxury housing will resume its profit making.

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Member Avatar klokr13 (< 20) Submitted: 12/16/2006 1:57:20 PM : Underperform Start Price: $32.64 TOL Score: +11.97

I'm assuming that the housing decline will be deeper than the S&P 500 decline for the near term; however in the longer term, I expect TOL to outperform.

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Member Avatar akdean (34.40) Submitted: 12/14/2006 4:41:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $32.68 TOL Score: -11.87

Over corrected. Can take market share from weaker companies.

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Member Avatar realinfonly (< 20) Submitted: 12/14/2006 11:56:09 AM : Underperform Start Price: $32.65 TOL Score: +11.81

Dont expect a true bottom in housing for 8-15 more months. This stock will go back down to test mid 06 lows

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Member Avatar wfsautter (< 20) Submitted: 12/7/2006 7:46:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $31.83 TOL Score: -10.77

PE under 9

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Member Avatar skipshaw1313 (< 20) Submitted: 12/7/2006 6:08:13 PM : Underperform Start Price: $31.83 TOL Score: +10.77

The problems won't go away but the buyers sure will and TOL will pay the toll, lower, much lower, stock price in the next year.

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Member Avatar kevrose31 (57.46) Submitted: 12/6/2006 9:36:38 PM : Underperform Start Price: $32.60 TOL Score: +12.19

Housing still needs price correction.

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Member Avatar Carl624 (72.31) Submitted: 12/1/2006 5:46:48 PM : Outperform Start Price: $32.18 TOL Score: -12.34

Contraian pick and late at that just started.

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Member Avatar TallCoz (21.96) Submitted: 11/22/2006 7:28:32 AM : Outperform Start Price: $30.18 TOL Score: -6.11

Picking a bottom is suicide; that said, when and if the housing market comes out of the doldrums, these guys will be there, strong, and they've been hit pretty hard already - over a long term, they should grow well.

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Member Avatar GravityProof (70.56) Submitted: 11/20/2006 12:48:10 PM : Outperform Start Price: $29.58 TOL Score: -4.51

See DHI, above.

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Member Avatar flamesfan (36.61) Submitted: 11/15/2006 7:42:59 PM : Outperform Start Price: $29.02 TOL Score: -2.66

Everyone needs homes and after a few more months this prime homebuilder should bounce back

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Member Avatar DowDestroyer (51.89) Submitted: 11/10/2006 12:18:31 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.35 TOL Score: +1.60

My conversative inventory mark-up to FMV results is a P/S of $50 based on asset value alone. It might take some time for this investment to catch up, but don't see the need for homes going away anytime soon.

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Member Avatar jabmab440 (79.38) Submitted: 11/1/2006 10:25:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $29.20 TOL Score: -4.87

I'm going long the home builders... period. The short game is over.

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Member Avatar cobihills (67.94) Submitted: 10/29/2006 5:00:14 PM : Underperform Start Price: $29.47 TOL Score: +6.20

Housing market is tough right now

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Member Avatar MCKInathan (97.65) Submitted: 10/27/2006 5:10:07 PM : Underperform Start Price: $29.47 TOL Score: +6.20

Lots of talk right now about whether the housing market will have a soft landing or is crashing. Either way, I see house building stocks heading south faster than the S&P. Speculation is high right now and since the economic growth report missed its expected mark, I think the pessimist will win out for most large scale investors.

After so many months of great returns, I think investors are willing to take their profits and look elsewhere, especially if the overall market really turns south.

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Member Avatar nickstompita (76.40) Submitted: 10/17/2006 10:28:24 PM : Outperform Start Price: $29.40 TOL Score: -6.33

quality

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