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Z and Trla both look good to me. Until it becomes clear which is the better business I am happy to have both.
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really?
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I believe this stock does not have much room for growth. Its only a matter of time before we see a decline in valuation.
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I'm a real estate agent.. Trulia Bad... not only have they never been profitable.. well.. on top of that they've never been profitable. I just wish there were puts I could buy.
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Consolidation of Real Estate information provided directly to consumers.
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Everybody wants to do a Facebook.
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If there's money to be made these days in housing, it will be in real estate information providers like Trulia, Zillow, and Core Logic, but ultimately they're still tied to the housing market and that is not ready to recover yet and in fact has further to fall. Trulia's 40% pop on its IPO gives a good entry point to bet on the fall.
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Yes, tons of consumers flock to real estate websites and get valuable information on it. But these websites have very little influence on what house a consumers ends up buying, what agent they engage with, what services they hire/purchases they make downstream etc. (unlike say google search advertising, where choice of vendors is huge, differentiation between them little and cost of a "mistake" minimal). The agent controls the transaction and Trulia can't do jack about it. All they can do is make some money off the agent's advertising budget and round it off with some small change advertising from the likes of Home depot and Lowes. Can't see any ecommerce, consumer subscription or transaction fee revenue in this setup either. Which leaves you with just the advertising piece that's barely profitable - take a look at move.com. that's trulia in steady state if it hit it out of the park 'cus there's no one else to displace.
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