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Overbought a tad. Far out of the money puts may be in order.
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Charging time and range make this an impractical car for most people and at $11B market cap and 10X revenues there is a ton of growth and optimism already priced in. It's also had a rocket ship ride recently, fueled by the momo's no doubt. I'm betting this one comes back to earth eventually.
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Can it go higher? Sure. And stay there? Probably not.
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Current unsustainable P/E.
Realistic price may be in the 50 - 70 range.
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People were too eager to short this stock, and now the squeeze is propping this up. I am a big believe in Elon Musk and this company in the long run, but in the short term it went up too far too fast and will need to come down some, especially as all of those shorts below 20 have to unwind.
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what goes up so quickly will come down before rising further...sell on good news
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Tesla is going to have very wild swings however this is a company that is completely changing the automotive landscape. By eliminating the need for a franchised auto dealer, Tesla is removing another unnecessary hand from the deals to consumers. By eliminating the middle man Tesla will be able to better control the customer experience, sell the cars in a controlled way, & provide service at a centralized center. With Tesla continuing to invest in charging stations, further models and with the financing of purchases made by clients Tesla will need further capital. However, Elon Musk has shown a great ability to select the correct ways, timing, and structures when it comes to deploying capital.
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This is going to be a great investment a few years down the road when the stock price is significantly lower. Sorry I missed the ludicrous runup, but to say that it's justified would be a stretch, unless you believe that grossly overvalued stocks have good equilibrium.
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It is scary how potential can make people buy so much for a car company that haven't even sell it first car to the public.
P/E is off the chart......growth rate is just too good to be true......and the thing that I worry about is the price of the car, 60k is way too much for an average person, and too low for a luxury car and being in between isn't really what you want.
What worry me also is how much electricity is require to run a Testa car, considering how we're in need for more energy, if Tesla become popular, the surge of demand for energy will drive prices up and leading to more blackout and more charge than owning a regular car.
Add in all that and you got yourself a potential trap that have high P/E, high risk high reward future, and an owner that have a huge liability on his comment on buying back Tesla car. So a lot of high reward and high risk involve that most stable investor will not want to buy until well it go down to say 40.
Recs
Priced too high atm but perhaps in a month or 2 we can see it at +$100, as of now I have it shorted till it touches 85 or lower and then buy back
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Tesla is scheduled to sell 21,000 cars in 2013. At about $60K a pop, that comes to 1.26B. At $10B, the company is valued at about 8x gross revenues. GM with its millions of sales a year is valued at about $45B, only 4X the value of TSLA.
Let's put it this way, I think Elon Musk is an awesome inventor and showman. I however don't buy into his antics and continual press releases. At the end of the day, it's all about the bottom line and I haven't seen a lot of that save for breaking even recently on the back of government subsidies.
Remember Chrysler under Lee Iacocca - The similarities are startling.
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burned before...not at 90 bucks though...this one has a lot of room to correct
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An awful lot of hype here. Maybe it's justified but there's an awful lot of hype. That's usually a red flag.
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horribly overvalued
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Stock price has become detached from reality--short term underperform
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Electrical cars, where you don’t need gas, are the future. Forget the past such as Ford, GM… tsla is a leader in this area. Better buttery life, more electrical stations and tlsa will become a house hold name. Which is better TSLA at value of 10B or FB for value of 60B? TSLA will b0 5b Company in years.
Recs
Critical mass has been reached. Tesla is a real car company with real product that out classes the rest. This company will stumble along the way but they will recover and prevail. This is a long term pick. Buy it then don't look at it for another five year because it will give you an ulcer but your patience will be rewarded.
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The Model S is Tesla's first ground up build. The car is an amazing accomplishment. It accelerates like a Corvette, handles like a Porsche, and rides like a Cadillac Seamlessly integrated into this incredible performance is unbelievable technology. Imagine what Elon Musk would accomplish with the resources of Daimler, Toyota, GM, or Ford.
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Bold statement here, but Elon's ultimate breadwinner will probably carry on even higher once people realize the S sedan is just the start of great things to come. 25%+ profit margins aren't too bad either!
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my score may suffer in the near term, but over five years, we all know where this is going.... typically wallstreet crap. And I actually like these cars, i am just critical of the spike in stock price typical bubble TEXTBOOK
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