Tesoro Corp (NYSE:TSO)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

An independent petroleum refiners and marketers in the US with two operating segments: refining crude oil and selling refined products in bulk and wholesale markets and selling motor fuels and convenience products in the retail market.

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Member Avatar mrgekko (62.67) Submitted: 11/10/2014 9:40:58 AM : Outperform Start Price: $72.16 TSO Score: +6.09

looks well placed to profit from the heavy/light oil issue in the US refining market and potential m&a via citgo sale

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Member Avatar awallejr (79.68) Submitted: 11/15/2013 8:02:03 PM : Outperform Start Price: $53.92 TSO Score: +29.56

Epa ruling should help profits.

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Member Avatar SnowBawl (< 20) Submitted: 10/12/2013 8:39:55 AM : Outperform Start Price: $43.97 TSO Score: +54.66

TSA low payout ratio.

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Member Avatar 2win (< 20) Submitted: 10/4/2013 8:18:56 AM : Outperform Start Price: $42.53 TSO Score: +59.55

oversold, AB buy

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Member Avatar HVSTmoon (< 20) Submitted: 8/9/2013 1:10:18 PM : Outperform Start Price: $51.98 TSO Score: +27.54

2012 FCF Yield: 14%
Oil Industry is recovering from the upstream to the downstream.
Combined with management's commitment to improve profitability, Tesoro will be in for a turnaround.

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Member Avatar senboo (< 20) Submitted: 5/3/2012 8:31:34 PM : Underperform Start Price: $21.31 TSO Score: -215.61

Tesoro is in the middle of difficult negotiations with multiple union units. Two years after a explosion in Anacortes, WA, safety is a major sticking point with the unions. Management seems to be killing morale among the workforce with very, very difficult negotiations, negative pr and a possible strike. See how it turns out.

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Member Avatar Ceg3368319 (< 20) Submitted: 2/29/2012 8:38:39 AM : Outperform Start Price: $25.91 TSO Score: +149.97

Oil will always be in demand.

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Member Avatar mrindependent (39.10) Submitted: 10/28/2011 4:20:17 PM : Outperform Start Price: $25.66 TSO Score: +140.39

value stock

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Member Avatar b15184 (35.18) Submitted: 8/10/2011 11:36:41 AM : Outperform Start Price: $18.32 TSO Score: +242.65

Current P/E ratio (forward) is 6.1. At some point the stock price will reflect its value...

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Member Avatar HardnoseDotCom (69.44) Submitted: 4/25/2011 1:35:09 PM : Outperform Start Price: $26.56 TSO Score: +138.03

low PEG, strong price uptrend

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Member Avatar gunterle (64.76) Submitted: 11/8/2010 11:23:28 AM : Outperform Start Price: $16.83 TSO Score: +296.52

Trendspotter

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Member Avatar Imperial1964 (97.82) Submitted: 10/29/2010 9:23:03 PM : Underperform Start Price: $12.62 TSO Score: -442.45

Piotroski score.

I wouldn't short this in real life, mostly because of the P/B ratio.

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Member Avatar kevinim89 (69.69) Submitted: 5/14/2010 1:04:12 AM : Outperform Start Price: $12.58 TSO Score: +438.37

im a chartist
0.22x debt/assets
0.63x debt/equity

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Member Avatar pbtoau78 (90.63) Submitted: 3/6/2010 2:34:18 PM : Outperform Start Price: $12.96 TSO Score: +418.66

crack spreads are spiking, I feel this sector has room to run over the short term. Less downside at these prices.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=CRK321M1%3AIND

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Member Avatar Option1307 (30.06) Submitted: 3/2/2010 11:37:26 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.55 TSO Score: +487.19

Picking up another refiner on the cheap, they are practically giving these things away today! As I've stated many times the past 6 months, you really can't go wrong buying into the refining sector right now. Things are down and people absolutely hate refiners right now, and you really can't blame them. This whole sector has been loosing massive amounts of money the past 1-2 yrs, crack spreads have not been kind to them lately and the stock price certainly shows it. (For those not familiar with crack spreads, see this blog for a better understanding: http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=219753&t=01002756778892789413).

However, the thing to remember with refiners, is that they may be cyclical in nature, but when they are up, they're up big! They may be loosing money at a high rate now, but this will not continue forever. Eventually they will return to the mega cash machines that they can be.

TSO is priced disgustingly cheap currently with a nice P/B of 0.51 (yes!) and a forward 2011 P/E of 6.95 (super yes!). I don't expect this to double overnight and suddenly resume their EPS of 2-5 (which is more customary), but now is a nice entry point to begin building a position and wait out the tough times. You won't be disappointed.

As with several of the other refiners, there is a significant amount of debt here and I wouldn't rank TSO as my top refiner by any means. But come on, how can you pass up this opportunity!

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Member Avatar halomaster (< 20) Submitted: 1/25/2010 4:00:58 PM : Outperform Start Price: $12.45 TSO Score: +435.10

Whoever thinks oil will be replaced soon needs their head checked. Tesoro is profitable even in tough economic times. At a book value of around $20/share this is a steal because their book value isn't being eroded by losses.

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Member Avatar Daytrader007 (< 20) Submitted: 12/11/2009 11:44:51 AM : Outperform Start Price: $12.19 TSO Score: +450.83

TSO, in Consolidation. Expect this industries to Outperform the indexes when the economy turns.

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Member Avatar bfarzin (< 20) Submitted: 11/23/2009 9:56:26 AM : Outperform Start Price: $12.79 TSO Score: +422.37

TSO's assets are all very valuable refineries and C stores. Most are located in the west, and sepcially CA. Replacemnet value is roughly ten times its current stock price indicates. There is no chance of TSO running into financial problems. Unless people start riding horses to work, this is tremendous value. Buy Buy Buy.

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Member Avatar landmanre (44.43) Submitted: 11/16/2009 10:16:47 AM : Outperform Start Price: $13.32 TSO Score: +397.90

oversold

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Member Avatar tektan (92.07) Submitted: 8/29/2009 5:13:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.41 TSO Score: +376.58

The demand for petroleum refineries will soon return. Since very little
capacity is being added in the USA, gasoline and diesel costs may approach new highs.

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