Tesoro Corp (TSO)
An independent petroleum refiners and marketers in the US with two operating segments: refining crude oil and selling refined products in bulk and wholesale markets and selling motor fuels and convenience products in the retail market.
Recs
valuemoney
(99.92)
Submitted: 11/20/2009 12:25:46 AM :
Start Price:
$13.20
TSO Score:
+0.21
roll the dice, short term trade.... hope to get lucky also going with WRN, I myself would never put money into refiners, they are a sad story and always have been
Recs
Recs
CatTrades
(42.53)
Submitted: 11/11/2009 6:08:31 PM :
Start Price:
$14.38
TSO Score:
-11.43
OOPS ! miss click. Seems like a dart board stock would do better.
Recs
sudspark
(< 20)
Submitted: 10/23/2009 11:01:40 AM :
Start Price:
$16.46
TSO Score:
-20.23
Refiners are shutting down. They will create artificial demaind which will cause share prices to rally 10-20% within a few months.
Recs
bh1129
(45.39)
Submitted: 9/15/2009 5:57:22 PM :
Start Price:
$15.11
TSO Score:
-15.94
Access to crude oil reserves in NW US and Canada
Recs
tektan
(86.39)
Submitted: 8/29/2009 5:13:32 PM :
Start Price:
$13.98
TSO Score:
-12.66
The demand for petroleum refineries will soon return. Since very little
capacity is being added in the USA, gasoline and diesel costs may approach new highs.
Recs
gunark
(93.24)
Submitted: 8/27/2009 10:28:38 AM :
Start Price:
$13.88
TSO Score:
-12.04
If the economy dips back down ---> Price of crude drops ---> TSO wins
If the economy stabalizes --> Demand for gasoline increases ---> TSO wins
There's also the chance of a Gulf coast hurricane wrecking havoc on the crude supply chain, increasing the price of gasoline --> TSO wins
Recs
1picks
(79.84)
Submitted: 8/26/2009 1:15:39 AM :
Start Price:
$13.54
TSO Score:
-9.00
Fidelity screen.
Recs
MATTALANKANE
(61.35)
Submitted: 8/11/2009 5:53:23 PM :
Start Price:
$12.27
TSO Score:
-2.49
GET READY FOR THE TSO RIDE TO $20...TSO RIDES A CHART PATTERN BETTER THAN ANY OTHER STOCK I KNOW
Recs
miketgossman
(< 20)
Submitted: 7/20/2009 3:00:56 PM :
Start Price:
$12.12
TSO Score:
-5.32
Price relative to book, recovering economy.
Recs
azman90
(42.70)
Submitted: 7/11/2009 2:56:25 AM :
Start Price:
$10.85
TSO Score:
-2.44
Tesoro has an extremely small P/E due to worried about the oil market. However, even if Tesoro has a rough 2009 and even a 2010 year, at this "bargain bin" price of under $11 / share, long term growth potential is huge. I'm guessing 200% growth or more in five years.
Recs
JBouchard
(99.53)
Submitted: 7/2/2009 10:20:37 AM :
Start Price:
$12.18
TSO Score:
-12.96
Graham formula gives me a fair value of $39 using current numbers (EPS of $2.96 and book value of $23.55). Even using pessimistic earning per share of $1.00 for this year would yield a fair value of $23, so that's a discount between 45% and 65% to the current price of $12.57.
In the meantime, I'll get paid a nice dividend of $0.10 per quarter, for a 3% yield.
Recs
TigerPackFund
(96.57)
Submitted: 6/30/2009 2:21:14 PM :
Start Price:
$12.54
TSO Score:
-14.10
JakilaTheHun - http://caps.fool.com/player/jakilathehun.aspx
Recs
IdiotFoolSavant
(< 20)
Submitted: 6/22/2009 11:17:45 AM :
Start Price:
$12.80
TSO Score:
-18.99
refiners beat down
Recs
mrindependent
(98.85)
Submitted: 6/15/2009 4:53:57 PM :
Start Price:
$14.79
TSO Score:
-29.00
Refiners appear to be a very cyclical business. Right now, Tesoro is available for 0.63 times book value. Someday in the not too distant future (when?), crack spreads will increase enough to get investors excited. Then Tesoro's price will increase above its book value and I will sell. I don't see any significant risk of default. The company is profitable and debt seems manageable.
Recs
osucowboys344
(77.62)
Submitted: 6/7/2009 7:46:35 PM :
Start Price:
$15.43
TSO Score:
-31.97
!!!! looks good
Recs
WF2005
(< 20)
Submitted: 6/2/2009 11:11:27 AM :
Start Price:
$17.51
TSO Score:
-40.85
GB recommendations
Recs
HTownTX
(91.25)
Submitted: 5/22/2009 4:45:47 PM :
Start Price:
$16.01
TSO Score:
-42.41
Refining margins are currently good (~$16 for RBOB), and there may be a cap on the crude price for a while with 366m bbls in storage (according to Tuesday's (May 19th) numbers). Going into the summer distillate costs should rise, further expanding the crack spread.
Recs
JTHokie
(87.06)
Submitted: 5/19/2009 9:22:39 PM :
Start Price:
$17.25
TSO Score:
-43.43
Higher crack spreads
Recs
BSHumphreyII
(90.15)
Submitted: 5/18/2009 11:07:31 AM :
Start Price:
$16.73
TSO Score:
-43.56
TSO is financially healthy, and I like the direction the crack spread seems to be taking for the summer, with crude prices appearing to have peaked for the short term while gasoline prices are steady.
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