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more downside very likely
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Tranzyme surprised me by embracing their new role as Nasdaq-listed shell company so quickly after completing the failure of their entire pipeline. Nevertheless, I don't think current Tranzyme shareholders will be getting the best of the bailout deal from Ocera. Tranzyme only had 11M at the end of Q1 yet they're sporting a market cap of 15M. In order to complete the merger, Tranzyme will have to effect a reverse split which is unlikely to do their share price good. Finally, current Ocera shareholders will own 75% of the combined company and it isn't exactly clear what they're bringing to the table. As long as CAPS calculates the fair value of current Tranzyme stock in the combined company, I think this red thumb will succeed.
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I expect strong news about partners.
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