Ultra DJ-AIG Crude Oil (NYSE:UCO)

I'm guessing oil prices are more likely to go up than down this summer.

Oil is over extended. Should come down to at least $75 a barrel. I will end this position when oil reaches $75.

Ultra ETF's tend to underperform in the long run.

I have green thumbed several oil companies, which I expect to do well in the long run, because of inflation. This red thumb serves as a short term hedge against those picks.

Oil prices will suffer a big short term drop, if we go into a double dip recession, before growth and inflation resumes.

Aside from the obvious reasons for the negative decay in leverage ETFs especially during times of sideways movement and volatility, I find that deflationary sentiment will continue to grow and as profit taking occurs in the short dollar carry trades the bias is on the negative side for oil.

Ultra-shorts and Ultra-pros are all bad investments due to daily rebalancing

Oil will remain range bound. As a result, this ETF will underperform.

But must it be petrolelum?

Corn ethanol demonstrated the worst possible alternative, but isn't that where we always start when learning new technology.

Biodiesel produces the same carbon chains & can be refined into any current petro based product. The question is, how do we produce enough & at what cost?

Have you looked at algae? Of all the oil producing organisms, algae is , by FAR, the most productive. It can be grown on non-ariable land, and in a closed loop system uses very little water of any kind. It's required nutreints are primarily sunlight and CO2, and was first explored as a method of power plant CO2 reduction.

It also produces up to 50% of its' dry body weight in lipids which can be specific strains tailored to meet the requirements of the final product.

The CO2 it releases when burned is the CO2 it asorbed when growing, making it net 0 system.

The oil we burn now is the algae deposits of a billion years ago.

The projected profitable price is $60-70 barrel. I don't see oil going below that again.

I ran across VALCENT PRODUCTS(VCTPF) -(otcbb) & Greenfuels Technologies, as well as several others & this looks like it could be a part of the answer.

Go to VALCENT PRODUCTS(VCTPF) home page, click om Media coverage and see Bloomberg (BLTV), Mike Schneider's 6/11 interview with Glen Kurtz. His proposals sound reasonable.

I'd appreciate any feedback.

Oil has been retreating in the last few weeks. However, it is now confirmed that it's making a higher low and is on an uptrend. UCO will benefit nicely from oil's bullish movement.

Tick, tick, tick... The well is drying up.

Energy will spike, but oil is on a downward trend

Summer time is coming and families will do road trips once again.

Oil has bottomed and will only increase this year and this company is positioned to make a move with the price.

Generally bearish on commodities. I expect the US Gov't won't be able to increase the money supply adequately to account for the tremendous loss of credit-based purchasing power. A reduction in the real money supply (including credit) will reduce economic demand and drive prices down. Commodities should correlate more with the dropping prices than companies of the S&P who have more to offer than just a particular asset. This should equal points in CAPS.

Marginal Cost of oil is $50-$60 barrell depending on how you calculate it. Long term demand will drive this higher. Shorter term (Q1 2009) watch for lots of volatility - trade in and out in small spreads - as the Contango curve flattens. Despite recession that is deep and will last until at least end of 2010, see this a nice dollar hedge and long term winner

Because Ultras Suck

Holding on to this bad boy tight as soon as i can save up some more $$$ to buy it. I bought USO today at $33.50 and looking to buy UCO in the next few days as it may drop a bit further. Oil is very low right now and even if crude hits $30, it will rebound to way above 60-70 by end of 2009. Sounds like it's almost a sure bet, especially since truck sales are up these days due to the price cuts at the dealers.

Crude oil. Even at 46 it's WAY to cheap. if you want to read more about crude oil go to peakoil.net

Do you remember those analysts who said oil would touch $200 as early as in Q3/2008? The analysts now say oil would drop to $25. Do you really believe these wall street analysts opinions that change by the wind or apply your own common sense? How could a gallon of oil could cost less than a gallon of milk or in some cases less than a gallon of drinking water. I think oil prices will rebound again between $60-$80 once the stimulus packages are full gear in new year.