Usec Inc (NYSE:USU)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

A global energy company that supplies low enriched uranium for commercial nuclear power plants.

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Member Avatar pchop12316 (86.71) Submitted: 8/15/2014 10:45:34 AM : Underperform Start Price: $5.82 USU Score: +10.27

likely to continue to be the DOG that it is

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Member Avatar TSIF (99.96) Submitted: 8/14/2014 1:04:19 PM : Underperform Start Price: $6.56 USU Score: +20.65

A 50% 30 minute share price spike could be dangerous. Company has "no comment".

Of course, this is the perfect company, perfect float, short interest, potential catalysts to get a big jagged upturn for no real reason. A burp buy, a day trader, a speculator, a computer algorithm, a short covering, a speculator, a reshort, OR leaked news....which is it? USEC is suppose to be announcing settling with creditors in the next few days, but even if they do, the question remains value left to the common shareholders.

Jed71 and TMFBabo had a good dialogue on this one.
http://caps.fool.com/Pitch/USU/7169111/youre-going-to-have-a-hard-tim.aspx

Shareholders getting 5% in a reorg, as TMFBabo points out is fairly generous. The question now that is settled is 5% of what. One could look at the heavily negative book value and say, that it's 5% of nothing, but then again, one could look at the $1.3B in annual sales and say it's quite a bit. The issue is that USEC has declining revenue and can never seem to book a profit. Costs when handling Uranium are hefty, but there are few places the reactors can go to refuel, so you would think they could price accordingly. With no new reactors except for the Navy, market size isn't going to grow from here.

So if you take the $30M current market cap, multiply by 20 you get $600M. Which is .5 P/S, but still full of debt. Lienholders are giving back about $.50 on the dollar and commons are getting this for "free".

So a few variables. I suspect that since USU can't turn a profit, that no matter where the share price settles when this is done that we will continue to see it erode. Those trading debt for shares will want out. Current volume is another "tell". After the 1:25 reverse split in July 2013, the float is small, yet volume as TMFBabo pointed out is well in excess. This is daytraders, shorts, short covering......will they never learn on a volatile stock with a low float....

I suspect that even if this spikes further that it will decay back down. I wouldn't ride this below $3-4. It will get a new ticker when the dust settles, it will probably drop harder after that happens.

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Member Avatar FoolTheRest (99.92) Submitted: 7/3/2014 10:44:31 AM : Underperform Start Price: $8.83 USU Score: +40.29

"holders of the Company's common stock will receive, on a pro rata basis, 5% of the New Common Stock, subject to dilution on account of a new management incentive plan."

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Member Avatar jed71 (31.30) Submitted: 7/2/2014 3:46:03 PM : Underperform Start Price: $11.08 USU Score: +52.91

You're going to have a hard time convincing me that a bankrupt company with $1.4BB in liabilities and $85MM in cash is worth $56MM to the common shareholders. Shares here shouldn't be over $0.10 right now. When all of this has played out, the company will be going to the creditors - and they're only to get pennies on the dollar.

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Member Avatar bIlluminati (29.85) Submitted: 6/25/2014 5:13:44 PM : Underperform Start Price: $2.71 USU Score: -94.62

Unprofitable.

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Member Avatar MoneyWorksforMe (< 20) Submitted: 12/17/2013 8:12:24 PM : Underperform Start Price: $4.07 USU Score: -19.55

Extremely bearish on JPY. I know it has one helluva move to the downside but Japan, as an economy is doomed. Record trade deficits, enormous debt, aging population, entitlements that have no way of being funded aside from printing more yen, fukushima, a nuclear disaster that is still causing VERY serious problems, and only looks to be getting worse with time. The entire developed world is mired in the same problem, and all are trying to increase their exports. When everyone is trying to export, you have no one to export to!

The JCB has already showed its hand. It's going to try and devalue its way out of this mess. In the end it really doesn't matter as even extreme deflation will cause the same result via default--- a far far weaker JPY. I can see dollar/yen going to 200 easily over the next year or so...

God speed Japan

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Member Avatar dcrednek (79.25) Submitted: 12/11/2013 2:17:52 PM : Outperform Start Price: $8.51 USU Score: -48.36

Very long term play as interest in nuclear power generation gains renewed interest, especially in China.

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Member Avatar SqwiiTrader (22.17) Submitted: 9/26/2013 6:13:43 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.70 USU Score: -67.76

Lion pick

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Member Avatar kevrose31 (85.23) Submitted: 9/14/2013 6:46:41 PM : Underperform Start Price: $11.19 USU Score: +68.68

This is quite possibly the worst company I have ever seen. I have zero confidence this is going anywhere except through the floor.

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Member Avatar Profit12 (27.30) Submitted: 4/21/2012 10:39:11 AM : Outperform Start Price: $24.35 USU Score: -123.84

Looking for a long term rebound in uranium demand/price. No way around it, nuclear power is a no brainer moving forward. Just don't build the damn things on a fault/coast line. Two years from now this stock will be back to its all time high.

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Member Avatar pathfinder7174 (< 20) Submitted: 1/27/2012 6:09:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $43.75 USU Score: -140.26

Its loaded up and trucking!

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Member Avatar NOMNOM (< 20) Submitted: 10/4/2011 10:20:35 AM : Outperform Start Price: $31.25 USU Score: -167.40

Will receive DOE grant for new plant. All up-hill from here. Nuclear energy is our future.

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Member Avatar lmknjb (< 20) Submitted: 3/14/2011 12:38:01 PM : Underperform Start Price: $111.50 USU Score: +149.19

tied in with the fear of nuc dangers , this stock will at best be rangebound

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Member Avatar SymS (< 20) Submitted: 1/16/2011 1:20:33 AM : Outperform Start Price: $147.25 USU Score: -150.37

Uranium will shine in the next few years as oil alternatives will urgently be needed.

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Member Avatar sophieclare (< 20) Submitted: 12/12/2010 8:58:27 AM : Outperform Start Price: $151.25 USU Score: -155.56

usu

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Member Avatar HugeJorgan (< 20) Submitted: 5/25/2010 3:05:34 PM : Underperform Start Price: $128.13 USU Score: +181.96

bad Equity Dec '09 8.17 % -2.52 % -0.18 % 1.79 % 0.84 % 0.09 % 0.09 % -0.47 % -0.78 % -0.21 %
<br />&lt;br /&gt;bad EPS Dec '09 5.71 % -37.26 % -32.81 % 9.22 % 5.73 % 22.41 % 100.00 % 10.21 % -10.16 % 13.98 %
<br />&lt;br /&gt;bad Sales Dec '09 26.15 % 2.78 % 3.28 % 6.91 % 7.52 % 5.99 % 14.68 % 3.82 % 6.26 % 3.18 %
<br />&lt;br /&gt;bad Free Cash Flow Dec '09 100.00 % 100.00 % -79.20 % -66.29 % -42.15 % -46.03 % 100.00 % -44.09 %
<br />&lt;br /&gt;bad Cash from Operation Activities Dec '09 100.00 % 101.51 % 16.82 % 23.78 % 53.17 % 26.17 % 100.00 % 6.78 %
<br />&lt;br /&gt;bad ROIC 2.10 % 3.50 %
<br />&lt;br /&gt;bad Gross Profit Dec '09 -10.53 % -15.62 % -15.30 % -2.82 % 1.07 %
<br />&lt;br /&gt; bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad
<br />&lt;br /&gt;These are all bad numbers
<br />&lt;br /&gt;I would not buy this stock.....

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Member Avatar SCCC2008 (< 20) Submitted: 5/11/2010 11:06:32 AM : Outperform Start Price: $110.25 USU Score: -166.35

Way oversold at this point and due for a serious correction. This company isnt going out of business and when the demand for uranium returns and subsequently explodes with the addition of new nuclear reactors all over the world, the supply squeeze is going to push profits through the roof. Get in while its still cheap.

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Member Avatar jamesfedor (< 20) Submitted: 5/7/2010 6:23:20 AM : Outperform Start Price: $112.25 USU Score: -171.86

wide moat need cheap electricty

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Member Avatar PinochleHead (77.58) Submitted: 5/6/2010 1:07:14 PM : Outperform Start Price: $114.75 USU Score: -167.98

Oil's out. Uranium's in. USEC is cutting edge in America. Currently very cheap on recent earning miss. Get it while it's hot.

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Member Avatar MGWinvestments (39.53) Submitted: 4/28/2010 1:51:10 AM : Outperform Start Price: $146.75 USU Score: -163.46

I only pick winners, and all my research on the company indicates a perfect storm is brewing for the company. I look for undervalued stocks that have great fundementals and are ready to regain some of the lost value we've seen in this economy. This is one I'm buying. Stock is Long.

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