Companhia Vale Ads (NYSE:VALE)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

A leading producer and exporter of iron ore and pellets, Vale has mining operations in 21 countries.

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Member Avatar jmason900 (42.30) Submitted: 8/2/2014 9:21:01 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.98 VALE Score: -10.95

strong company will grow eps as demand moves up slightly

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Member Avatar dunloggin (73.48) Submitted: 7/29/2014 2:11:51 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.81 VALE Score: -13.20

Dividend paying stock, Iron ore prices may rebound, China posted better than normal manufacturing PMI.

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Member Avatar thelongviewman (68.51) Submitted: 7/15/2014 9:04:40 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.25 VALE Score: -9.66

USDollar inflation will lead to higher prices for core commodities priced in USDs, which will ramp up earnings.

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Member Avatar member (< 20) Submitted: 6/7/2014 12:18:14 PM : Underperform Start Price: $13.14 VALE Score: +3.35

Prices of iron are expected to drop down

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Member Avatar jtjdp123 (33.63) Submitted: 5/25/2014 7:45:24 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.26 VALE Score: -6.56

I know its been a dog as of late, but you gotta love the discount the market is giving this little nugget. I'm a value investor at heart and I've spent the past two months watching this poor dog just keep on getting kicked by the market. I thought for sure I was gonna miss out on my opportunity for a cheap valued buy into the minerals/mining sector when I started keeping an eye on VALE a few months ago, but the stock has stayed pretty much flat since I laid my eyes on it and I'm convinced it's time to pull the trigger. Demand for VALE's minerals may be in the doldrums at present but as far as I know China and India have yet to disappear and I know for a fact that these two countries have a very long way to go (and plenty of mineral demand remaining) if they ever wish to raise another billion people out of poverty and into the burgeoning middle classes. Not that VALE is the entire equation but I know that its only a matter of time before it picks up again. If you wanna play it safe, buy some BHP and some peace of mind. As for me, I'm young enough that I don't need a multi-billion market cap mining conglomerate to tuck me in a night. I like to live on the wild side. If you ever plan on beating the market, I suggest you start taking some risks.

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Member Avatar albertthefool (< 20) Submitted: 4/21/2014 3:09:07 PM : Underperform Start Price: $13.78 VALE Score: +12.62

election coming up in Brazil...China cooked the books? This stock is broken.

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Member Avatar MrMonopoly (75.10) Submitted: 3/15/2014 7:37:39 AM : Outperform Start Price: $12.37 VALE Score: -2.56

same same but different

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Member Avatar gkm2864 (< 20) Submitted: 2/6/2014 4:08:31 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.04 VALE Score: -19.56

In a presently depressed industry. Probably the low cost producer in the iron ore industry. Likelihood of a significant recovery in the iron industry sometime in the next five years.

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Member Avatar alphadogg (84.93) Submitted: 1/27/2014 8:54:35 PM : Outperform Start Price: $12.76 VALE Score: -10.31

target 20

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Member Avatar Alpha75 (< 20) Submitted: 1/5/2014 3:44:06 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.82 VALE Score: -14.89

Not to state the obvious, but valuation still matters regardless of the traditional (stock, bond) or alternative (real estate, PE etc.) asset classes when Fools like us invest, While different metrics are used for valuation within the vast stock universe, one I particularly like for a Mining company like VALE (# 1 in global iron ore and # 2 global in Nickel) is the sempiternal EV/EBITDA which: (1) in absolute terms trades at 4.3 times (i.e. CHEAP) and in relative ones to its closest competitor, Rio, trades at a 35% discount which can only lead to arbitrage (i.e. in favor of VALE) by funds investing in this sector. If this metric does not convince you (it objectively should) then take a look at the 2014 Forward PE... which is 8... Either way, it's a BUY based on valuation, particularly in Q1 while Iron ore prices are still expected to hover over $130/ton and not go below $125 on average for 2014.

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Member Avatar a1juice (38.57) Submitted: 1/4/2014 1:31:07 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.82 VALE Score: -14.89

A lot of negative news is built in to current price which limits the downside from here, at the same time, small pieces of good news have the potential to move the share price up quickly.

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Member Avatar Haugurafpeningum (48.23) Submitted: 12/23/2013 12:30:52 AM : Outperform Start Price: $14.13 VALE Score: -17.61

TDRH

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Member Avatar sergiobdamico (< 20) Submitted: 11/1/2013 9:31:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $15.70 VALE Score: -30.69

steady iron ore prices

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Member Avatar SqwiiTrader (< 20) Submitted: 10/28/2013 6:49:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $15.63 VALE Score: -30.55

IHS

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Member Avatar Giveaway (20.78) Submitted: 9/20/2013 5:50:32 AM : Outperform Start Price: $15.80 VALE Score: -33.83

Extremely low priced at steep discount to BHP and RIO. Stays at 2009 levels while economy feels much better. Strong operational performance. Watch out for the recovery.

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Member Avatar chk999 (99.97) Submitted: 9/11/2013 6:33:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $15.53 VALE Score: -34.42

I think this is a cyclical that has been punished more than is warranted.

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Member Avatar antodelucia (< 20) Submitted: 9/10/2013 11:35:41 AM : Outperform Start Price: $15.80 VALE Score: -36.47

this is a huge company

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Member Avatar TheAmerican7676 (< 20) Submitted: 8/14/2013 10:37:17 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.57 VALE Score: -30.24

IMO Iron Ore Bottomed Out And They have byproducts of gold silver platinum copper both precious metals and base metals

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Member Avatar chk999longonly (99.34) Submitted: 7/25/2013 7:18:45 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.67 VALE Score: -23.80

This is getting pretty cheap and the cycle will turn up for the miners sooner or later.

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Member Avatar charlieandi (< 20) Submitted: 7/20/2013 2:03:43 AM : Outperform Start Price: $13.24 VALE Score: -19.80

As the world economy improves, China's economy will begin to grow again. There economy will demand more commodities like iron ore and aluminum and copper. This should impact the bottom line of Vale and its profits. Hence, over the next five years we should see and increase in Vale's stock prive.

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