Vanguard Energy ETF (AMEX:VDE)

Oil stays even or goes up. Any economic increase leads to increased demand for energy.

Energy sector will struggle short-term, but longer term will outperform S&P 500 as the the Europe crisis is resolved and the economy picks up further.

Vanguard Energy ETF

If you don't know, then I'm not going to tell you.

Energy costs will continue to rise in a global economic recovery.

do a bear poop in the woods

Energy ETF. Diversified play in the energy market.

Peak energy has arrived with no alternatives. People's addiction to energy combined with the increasing demand for energy will cause the value of energy stocks to increase.

energy is lower than it should be. This may not be the bottom, but we will be higher in a year. Much higher in 3 years.

Vanguard is almost a guaranteed winner

Oil with hit triple digits in next year and half.

This is a way to play the energy sector which i'm bullish on.

Energy prices are very low, but the population is growing, and manufacturing is beginning to pick up again.

Energy ETF.

Oil and related service and exploration companies will increase in value when the economy begins to grow again within the few years.

oil will rise again

Strong energy sector fund.

OPEC will cut production

I just now checked my portfolio, and I already own VDE.
Bought it a while back, after due diligence on my part, and so I paid exactly US$70 each for my shares.

Naturally, shortly after I bought the stock, as is my history, it began to slide down in price. So, when business opens tomorrow, 03/12/2009, I'll buy an equal number of shares as close to US$56 as I can, which will place my shares at US$63 each.

I, along with most other reality based Fools, understand that no matter how desperately the world *wants* to go alternative (green), it's going to take several years before the start starts. Even IF, governments everywhere had any money (which they don't) ,switching from coal, and other fossil fuels, over to more environmentally friendly energy sources, is going to take years.

VDE is a sound company, a leader in fossil fuel funds, and so, when OPEC (which now includes Russia makes its next scheduled production cutbacks, sooner, rather than later, a bbl of crude will begin to rise until it reaches an acceptable profit level to them.

Prediction? OK, crude will hit US$75 per barrel before the end of Q2 2010.
And, prices will only go upwards from there. OPEC *needs* at least US$90 a barrel to sustain its self. And, they know what to do to achieve their goal.

Despite the fact that most people have eliminated luxury driving, or at least reduced it, people everywhere still need to drive to work, or drive to look for work, and that's just a fact of today's fossil fuel raised population.

In fact, long before everyone everywhere has enrolled in renewable alternative energy programs, which don't yet exist, US$140 per barrel crude will seem cheap.

I am not interested in 52 week moving averages, and other such mechanisms for assessing a stock, because while such information makes for interesting collateral reading, the politics of economy, and the logistics involved, are vastly more important to me in picking a sector, and a company within that sector, in which to invest.

I'm not buying a stock, or a price, as much as I'm buying a tiny piece of the company.
So I need to know how much debt the company has, and how it plans to pay down the debt.

I need to know where it does its physical business, and how volatile that region is currently, and how riotous it may become in the future.

Let's face it, even a well managed company can get into financial trouble; however, if indeed the management is good, they will have a plan to get out from under that debt, hopefully.

Even if all of that is solid, if a company is making its product(s) in a region that is likely to explode politically, how is the product going to get to the transportation centers from which it is transported to its customers?

That's my new approach because the old measuring mechanisms don't work as well as they did in the past.
The old tried and true mechanisms are still informative, but as DII approaches, who/what/where/when/why, become more important than, how much/stops/when/long, short?.

That's my Foolish 2 cents, for whatever it's worth.
--=Fastman=--