Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

North America’s largest independent petroleum refiner and marketer, Valero takes fuel from the distiller to the gas pump.

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Member Avatar TerryB103 (72.75) Submitted: 10/13/2014 2:55:33 PM : Outperform Start Price: $45.40 VLO Score: +3.56

Low P/E, high recent growth on EPS, solid dividend. I'm not an energy stock watcher, but this may change my mind.

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Member Avatar Staka (97.53) Submitted: 9/27/2014 4:19:50 PM : Outperform Start Price: $46.50 VLO Score: +4.44

Positive:
- Based on recent earnings trends they occur cheap
- Correction might give a reasonable entry point
- Good dividend

Negative:
- The shrinking WTI-Brent spread isn’t a good sign because it threatens to take away an advantage VLO currently enjoys

Category: ICIn

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Member Avatar AnsgarJohn (99.06) Submitted: 8/29/2014 10:45:54 AM : Outperform Start Price: $54.10 VLO Score: -8.27

Detailed Analysis   Guru Score: 71%   Find Other Stocks that Pass This Guru

SECTOR: [PASS]

VLO is neither a technology nor financial Company, and therefore this methodology is applicable.

SALES: [PASS]

The investor must select companies of "adequate size". This includes companies with annual sales greater than $340 million. VLO's sales of $139,143.0 million, based on trailing 12 month sales, pass this test.

CURRENT RATIO: [FAIL]

The current ratio must be greater than or equal to 2. Companies that meet this criterion are typically financially secure and defensive. VLO's current ratio of 1.47 fails the test.

LONG-TERM DEBT IN RELATION TO NET CURRENT ASSETS: [PASS]

For industrial companies, long-term debt must not exceed net current assets (current assets minus current liabilities). Companies that meet this criterion display one of the attributes of a financially secure organization. The long-term debt for VLO is $5,784.0 million, while the net current assets are $5,927.0 million. VLO passes this test.

LONG-TERM EPS GROWTH: [FAIL]

Companies must increase their EPS by at least 30% over a ten-year period and EPS must not have been negative for any year within the last 5 years. EPS for VLO were negative within the last 5 years and therefore the company fails this criterion.

P/E RATIO: [PASS]

The Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio, based on the greater of the current PE or the PE using average earnings over the last 3 fiscal years, must be "moderate", which this methodology states is not greater than 15. Stocks with moderate P/Es are more defensive by nature. VLO's P/E of 13.10 (using the 3 year PE) passes this test.

PRICE/BOOK RATIO: [PASS]

The Price/Book ratio must also be reasonable. That is, the Price/Book multiplied by P/E cannot be greater than 22. VLO's Price/Book ratio is 1.42, while the P/E is 13.10. VLO passes the Price/Book test.

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Member Avatar asilverp (37.01) Submitted: 8/28/2014 4:56:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $54.32 VLO Score: -8.49

According to the Stats, they look pretty healthy.

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Member Avatar afewgoodstocks11 (26.28) Submitted: 5/21/2014 5:13:22 PM : Outperform Start Price: $32.70 VLO Score: +26.92

Div. (Yield) $1.00 (1.8%)

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Member Avatar kembs (41.06) Submitted: 5/12/2014 9:44:29 AM : Outperform Start Price: $55.75 VLO Score: -16.57

There is some good expansion going on here......Management is looking for opportunities to make more money & I think they will achieve that.........

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Member Avatar waldhof (53.38) Submitted: 5/10/2014 8:55:46 AM : Outperform Start Price: $55.65 VLO Score: -16.70

fair valuation compared to peers with PE of 10.5, P/CF of 6.56 - keep cap ex spending at reasonable level

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Member Avatar Dividends500 (69.45) Submitted: 4/3/2014 1:02:35 AM : Outperform Start Price: $45.68 VLO Score: -5.43

Dividends500 tracks the 200 strongest dividends in the S&P 500. To qualify as a strong dividend, the company must meet two simple requirements:

- A payout ratio below 50%
- An increasing dividend from the prior year

Because there are more than 200 dividend paying companies in the S&P 500 that meet these requirements, the qualifying companies with the largest dividend yields were chosen.

Dividends500 intends to test this FactSet article, which highlights these strong dividend paying companies and their outperformance versus the S&P 500 as a whole (Page 12).

http://www.factset.com/websitefiles/PDFs/dividend/dividend_12.16.13

If you have questions or see something you think is inaccurate feel free to let me know.

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Member Avatar TheValueDude (30.16) Submitted: 1/9/2014 5:37:13 PM : Outperform Start Price: $52.07 VLO Score: -13.41

Screen: Over $10B, Top 10% EBIT/EV, Z Score >1.81

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Member Avatar streetdan (< 20) Submitted: 12/21/2013 1:56:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $47.15 VLO Score: -4.57

It is the right time for this stock........Oil is plentiful and with the new pipes coming from Canada and the Dakotas Oil should drop in price..... Housing starts are increasing and all those F150's going to work will need to tank up.......

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Member Avatar gr8twhtebuffalo (55.11) Submitted: 12/6/2013 8:04:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $46.37 VLO Score: -3.40

Energy boom.

I purchased positions on 10/11 - 11/18 - and finally on 12/4.

I feel confident it will continue to rise throughout 2014.

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Member Avatar DAG1996MF (< 20) Submitted: 10/14/2013 11:57:01 AM : Outperform Start Price: $33.25 VLO Score: +30.79

I've written a brief pitch here:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1743202-there-are-still-large-cap-values-left-part-1

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Member Avatar SterlingFinlAdvs (< 20) Submitted: 8/11/2013 3:49:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $35.94 VLO Score: +18.70

Stock is trading at a 40% discount to our valuation. Brent/WTI spread has all but disappeared and pipeline infrastructure to gulf improving. VLO is largest Oil/Gas refiner and trades at an +11% earnings yield based on analyst estimates of 2014 earnings. Dividends are increasing.

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Member Avatar HVSTmoon (< 20) Submitted: 8/9/2013 1:16:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $36.15 VLO Score: +18.63

FCF yield = 12%.
Prudent and disciplined dividend paybacks highlights management commitment towards shareholders.
Valero is also able to command higher margins due to its more complex refineries, giving it a cost advantage over the competition.
Coupled with industry-wide recovery, Valero is positioned well to share more returns with shareholders.

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Member Avatar modestus1 (< 20) Submitted: 8/5/2013 12:22:36 AM : Outperform Start Price: $34.17 VLO Score: +27.14

Spinoff coming next year. Bet that will boost shares. In near-term, oil possible peaked.

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Member Avatar DrLinks (< 20) Submitted: 7/29/2013 6:02:38 AM : Outperform Start Price: $35.08 VLO Score: +22.14

America's largest independent Gas producer from ground to the GAS STATION

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Member Avatar WrathofKarl (37.75) Submitted: 7/22/2013 10:34:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $33.98 VLO Score: +27.40

cheap

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Member Avatar betterhere (< 20) Submitted: 6/28/2013 4:53:51 PM : Outperform Start Price: $33.69 VLO Score: +22.51

Great value play. Refinery expansions have been limited in the US. Peak oil will keep prices high.

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Member Avatar backdoorBob (51.92) Submitted: 6/23/2013 8:50:14 PM : Outperform Start Price: $33.89 VLO Score: +18.66

My butt still itches

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Member Avatar ROEoutshinesGOLD (99.03) Submitted: 5/6/2013 12:08:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $37.12 VLO Score: +9.58

S&P 5***** star rating

VLO, currently, has rather low ROE.

Will that metric improve in the future as its geographic competitive advantage suggests?

From the S&P stock report:

Our strong buy opinion reflects our belief that the company is well positioned to benefit from the increasing oil production from shale plays and the Canadian oil sands. Most of this oil is traveling through the Mid-Continent and heading toward the Gulf Coast. We see Valero, as the largest Gulf Coast refiner, benefiting from the increasing supplies, which should lead to lower input costs, creating a cost advantage. We also expect Valero to gain from higher global distillate demand. Its two hydrocracker projects should boost its distillate yields to 39% from 33%.

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