Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO)
North America’s largest independent petroleum refiner and marketer, Valero takes fuel from the distiller to the gas pump.
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P/B = 0.79
19.62% 5 year growth estimate
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Energy for cheap/book
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this is a 30 dollar stock...
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Think intrinsic value. Trading at less than book value.
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Largely undervalued. Forward PE of 5.3, PEG of .17, and Book Value under 1.
Forecasted EPS of $4 in 2012 with low end estimations coming in at $2.50. Even if they reported earnings on the low end next year, I still see this as an undervalued company.
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Excellent base to begin with. Growing and expanding wisely.
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4.4x FCF is too cheap for almost any conceivable level of earnings growth at Valero. Buy.
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Rumors of takeover, plus increased demand for oil as Europe delays implementing more expensive renewable energy.
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earnings beat and rising global demand.
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Significant improvement in cash flow from last year
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Back in the black, with quarterly profits up vs a profitable quarter 1 year ago. LT debt is higher than I'd like, but manageable with some moderate growth.
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Somebody has to refine the oil. They ethanol, too. (Also, it's locally based.)
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VLO is undervalued Big Time! Wait & see it rebound back in the mid $30's soon enough.
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P/E in the 8's. Forward P/E in the 4's. P/FCF of 4.83. Long term sector outlook still positive. Great time to get in at 2010 prices.
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Q2 summer more gasoline demand. Check http://www.shinesrooms.com/shinesroomsapp/uploads/reports/Valero%20Energy%20Corp.%20(VLO)%20110711.pdf
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following the leader
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Supplier from refinery to distribution stations can benefit if Valero concentrates on Natural gas conversions. Looks like they are starting in this direction
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Positive:
- Unexpensive, close to tangible book value
- Next years PE is an estimated 8
- Capacity reductions in the industry might keep crack spreads high for longer
- A small improvement in profit margins back to historical averages will go a long way to further bring down the PE (or up the stock price)
Negative:
- Chart looks like roling over
- Cyclical, dependend on crack spreads
Category: MRS+
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