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Recs
5/18/12 was an extremely oversold condition in the markets. We will either get a rally or neutral market for the next quarter. Either way a short on volatility will generate alpha.
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vix rises so does this one like tvix, uvxy
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Volatility has bottomed. And when it does, it tends to go vertical right afterword
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It's better this way please.
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Contango kills
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Maybe not tomorrow, or even this year, but my guess is people will get afraid of investing again. This will make 200-300% when they do. No dividend or value play, just a bet on human nature. No one seems to think anything bad can happen.
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even bull markets dont go straight up....this one is due for a correction...
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Market will correct 8-12% down over the next couple of months.Violotility returns with it.
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Because gold and oil are expensive
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Markets are becoming complacent and somewhat tranquil, which often is the atmosphere right before a breakout, in my experience. No visible catalyst for any remotely-justified upwards breakout, though very conspicuous events in Europe and sluggish growth domestically pose immediate threats to market stability.
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This is a great hedging tool, you want to buy this thing below thirty and sell above 40.
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Over time will decay to zero due to contango from purchasing VIX futures
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Things will get a little wild after the super committee turned out to be the super dud.
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Mean reversion, and contango. Further upside is unlikely here and risk:reward ratio is simply not worth it. Be cautious shorting though.
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Chart this ETF and you will know why...
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Volatility will revert to the mean, and then contango will kill it.
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This whole fund makes their (really our) bets using derivatives i.e.futures contracts... if it goes sideways, the time decay still makes it negative. Buy various stock LEAPS and see what happens to the values...Like shorting L-T Gov't Treasuries,depending on your borrowing rate, this is a sure win. I'd bet the farm and my all my neighbors livestock on this going to nothing in the long term(L-T.) Too bad my brokerage won't let me short it!!!!!!!!!!
Recs
Will always go down overtime.
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