XBiotech ( (NASDAQ:XBIT)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

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zzlangerhans (99.76)
Submitted June 19, 2016

These days it seems like I can't catch a break on a long and can't go wrong with a short. Who could blame me for being most interested in pessimistic commentary? The other day I saw a nice-looking takedown of a company that wasn't in my database and… More

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Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about XBIT.

Recs

0
Member Avatar MonkeyPick (47.38) Submitted: 6/14/2017 2:36:10 PM : Underperform Start Price: $4.81 XBIT Score: +2.01

8-5 .6.1.75

Recs

0
Member Avatar extremereturns (97.71) Submitted: 7/5/2016 11:28:29 AM : Underperform Start Price: $13.78 XBIT Score: +83.99

Something doesn't smell right.

Recs

2
Member Avatar zzlangerhans (99.76) Submitted: 6/19/2016 12:52:51 PM : Underperform Start Price: $16.80 XBIT Score: +91.20

These days it seems like I can't catch a break on a long and can't go wrong with a short. Who could blame me for being most interested in pessimistic commentary? The other day I saw a nice-looking takedown of a company that wasn't in my database and decided I'd red thumb first and research later.

The takedown can be found here https://www.scribd.com/doc/315865394/XBIT-Red-Flags-Uncovered-Avoid-at-All-Costs-Part-1-of-3

My reading of XBiotech press releases is that they're very high on the sleaze quotient. They're written in a very roundabout, overly conversational way that makes the actual point very hard to understand. There's also a lot of use of biotech buzzwords like "breakthrough", "novel", "unprecedented" that scammy outfits like to use to drum up excitement. I found the primary endpoint that XBiotech used in their European phase III trial to be very weird and "unprecedented". As biotechbbqbeats (ugh) emphasizes in his article, the OS data to be reported on July 2 will provide a much better assessment of whether Xilonix is a viable alternative for colorectal cancer.

The major issue that seems to be ignored in the short thesis is the apparent fact that EMA accepted the Xilonix MAA for some sort of accelerated review in April, which theoretically means the drug could be approved in September. I'd actually never heard of accelerated review for an MAA before, but apparently it's a thing. Either XBiotech management is lying even harder than generally considered acceptable for a biotech, or there's some real potential here. I figure I'll wait until July 2 before making up my mind about XBiotech.

Leaderboard

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Score Leader

usubanas

usubanas (99.70) Score: +158.19

Nice to beat zzlangerhans in one of this crappy bios

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
rhovero 82.77 6/30/2016 Underperform 3M $21.13 -77.43% +18.35% +95.77 0 Comment
zzlangerhans 99.76 6/16/2016 Underperform 1Y $16.80 -71.61% +19.60% +91.20 2 Comments
MMCapitalMgmt 99.89 8/12/2015 Underperform 5Y $15.75 -69.71% +19.31% +89.02 0 Comment
extremereturns 97.71 7/5/2016 Underperform 5Y $13.78 -65.38% +18.60% +83.99 1 Comment
gcaderas 82.04 4/21/2017 Underperform 5Y $10.41 -54.18% +5.04% +59.22 0 Comment
GatitoPeligroso 99.32 12/21/2016 Underperform NS $9.06 -47.35% +9.26% +56.61 0 Comment
WSMOOT19 71.51 6/9/2017 Underperform 1Y $9.31 -48.76% +1.23% +50.00 0 Comment
yosemitebean 34.97 6/12/2017 Outperform 5Y $3.88 +22.94% +1.63% +21.31 0 Comment
cheev 99.95 7/11/2017 Underperform 3W $4.92 -2.95% +1.99% +4.94 0 Comment
usubanas 99.70 6/30/2017 Underperform 5Y $4.86 -1.85% +2.18% +4.03 0 Comment

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