EXCO Resources, Inc. (NYSE:XCO)
An independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, development and exploitation of onshore North American oil and natural gas properties.
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Assets down by a third last three quarters with no significant change in liabilities. Listed as non-recurring, but it happens every quarter. I do assume the balance sheet in general reflects the ongoing reality of drilling.
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natural gas export.
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Natural gas
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Oaktree Capital pick.
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Already had a run, but this one will go higher.
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Natural gas recovery brought on by political initiatives and the exporting of natural gas in the very near future.
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http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2012/05/03/the-ultimate-contrarian-play.aspx
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Buying while natural gas prices have bottomed out
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Natural gas rig counts are back on the rise despite the industry being awash in reserves and prices at their lowest levels in a decade. There's nothing to suggest a turnaround is on the horizon, so EXCO, despite cutting back the number of its own rigs in service, will not receive an help from the industry.
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$100 oil is here to stay.
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Good BV, out at 8.00 or longer term out at 10.00
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I'm hesitant on this because of the high p/e ratio, but it still looks like it could be on sale right now. Hold until 15, excluding act of God.
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EXCO Resources (NYSE: XCO ) : Engages in the exploration, exploitation, development, and production of onshore North American oil and natural gas properties with a focus on shale resource plays. RSI(14) indicator at 38.32. Over the last six months, insiders were net buyers of 5,399,430 shares, which represents about 3.16% of the company's 170.80M share float.
Also like the fact they partner with UPL which I'm really found of...
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Seeing how the natural gas industry is down my best
gest is this stock will not outperform the market for
six months but still a good investment to play long.
To me this stock could return 15 to 21% over a three year period. The near future will be underperform.
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Massive insider buying by Oaktree and WL Ross along with very strong options activity in the Feb. 2012 (one month out) calls has me thinking a nice catalyst is set to occur
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I will expect XCO to announce a good FY11 result with a fair value of $12-14 attained within a year or so.
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Options Predictor Rank #29 on 9/11/11. P/C Ratio 0.058 and Call Sizzle 3.586.
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value
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