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$2.03 -0.34 (-14.35%)
10/15/2008 3:58 PM

Xinyuan Real Estate (XIN)

CAPS Rating:
*****

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What the Community Thinks

Total Members

305 Outperforms
12 Underperforms
 

All-Stars

45 Outperforms
4 Underperforms
 

Wall Street

1 Outperforms
0 Underperforms
 

Members bullish on XIN are also bullish on:

Members bearish on XIN are also bearish on:

Ticker Tags

Small Cap (1922), China (200), Real Estate Development (22), IPO in 2007 (239)
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Xinyuan Real Estate At A Glance

Current Price: $2.03
Last Trade Time: 10/15/2008 3:58 PM
Open: $2.32
Previous Close: $2.37
Daily Range: $1.92 - $2.35
52-Week Range: $1.60 - $18.00
Volume: 156,719
Market Cap: $351.70M
P/E Ratio: 0.00
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Stock Trends

XIN VS S&P 500 (SPY)

News & Discussion Boards

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Top Bull Pitch

Recs

3

Xinyuan Real Estate (XIN)

Avatar iwatt (< 20) Submitted: 6/14/08 6:29 PM

98 EPS rating in IBD yet terribly beaten down. I usually don't pick stuff not already in an uptrend, but with that kind of EPS growth, I've gotta thumb this one up.

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Top Bear Pitch

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Recs

1

 (XIN)

Avatar Volibolero (59.13) Submitted: 10/14/08 10:34 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.32 XIN Score: -4.87

Currently, I live in China. Homes are typically purchased with 30% down. In my opinion, there is very little "artificial demand" created by easy money or leverage in the middle income housing market here. As a massive population shift is currently underway in China from rural to urban... housing demand is real, very large, growing fast, and difficult to stop. Ultimately, I am reasonably confident that this source of demand (internal Chinese population migration) is very much uncorrelated (in the long term) with other sources of return currently found in your portfolio, making XIN an ideal diversification addition. However, in the short term, all correlations converge to 1, as fear trumps any other emotion in times of crisis. This creates an opportunity for the disciplined contrarian investor who can now buy a fast growing, operationally profitable firm for price just above cash per share and expected earnings per share and well below book value... in one of the largest future markets in the world. Also, remember that Sam Zell (one of the most successful real estate investors in recent times) is a major equity investor in XIN and has already successfully implemented this "high turnover, assembly-line, middle-income real estate development" strategy before...Homex in Mexico and Gafisa in Brazil. Here is an old article that discusses both: http://www.reuters.com/article/companyNewsAndPR/idUSN2520346020070525. Finally, institutional coverage and investment is currently minimal, but as more money targets China in the future, XIN will surely receive more attention and investors. XIN has simply been pulled down recently, as anything related to China or Real Estate has been destroyed by the unwinding of the housing market bubble and China stock market bubble, but not all homebuilders are the same... and not all Chinese stocks are the same. For long term contrarian thinkers, XIN is a WIN at this price.

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Recs

0

 (XIN)

Avatar beirut (76.12) Submitted: 10/14/08 7:05 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.32 XIN Score: -4.87

Unfortunately, I got in at the wrong time. Bought shares at $4.10. I'm sticking to my gut and riding this one out, I'm more than sure that with the China-Russia-India alliance and the growth of China itself will send this stock back up into the $18 range if not more. But hey do not take it from me, this is just my opinion.

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Recs

0

 (XIN)

Avatar xserver (57.79) Submitted: 10/13/08 10:14 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.19 XIN Score: -9.21

Waiting for a real estate bubble in China.

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Recs

0

 (XIN)

Avatar lawyerguy (91.48) Submitted: 10/13/08 6:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.34 XIN Score: 1.67

Chinese real estate developer. But unlike our real estate developers, they don't need to engineer returns with massive leverage. Way oversold.

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Recs

0

 (XIN)

Avatar CoachKnight (< 20) Submitted: 10/10/08 3:27 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.00 XIN Score: 3.09

This company appears well-positioned and at under 2.00 per share looks like a steal at this point. I got in at $1.88.

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Wall Street

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Pick
Member NameMember RatingStart
Date
CallTime FrameStart
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
ScorePitch
TrackRothCapital 47.55 07/01/08 Outperform NS $5.80-65.00%-29.45%-35.55

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