ExxonMobil Corp (NYSE:XOM)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

From the wells to the pump, Exxon Mobil is all about oil. The company explores, produces, transports, and sells crude oil and natural gas.

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Member Avatar ehabdurzi (91.65) Submitted: 3/26/2015 2:18:59 AM : Outperform Start Price: $85.30 XOM Score: -2.40

ill take it at this price even if dividends don't count

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Member Avatar blesto (30.81) Submitted: 3/25/2015 5:07:18 PM : Outperform Start Price: $85.30 XOM Score: -2.40

Oil won't stay this low forever and XOM seems prepared for this kind of drop in oil prices. Look for them to start acquiring companies that bit off more than they could chew.

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Member Avatar TMFSeeker (45.16) Submitted: 3/25/2015 9:59:10 AM : Outperform Start Price: $85.41 XOM Score: -0.76

Strong balance sheet, robust dividend history. Biggest competitive advantage is that it's a low cost producer. The reserve base is diverse and high quality. Great management with a track record.

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Member Avatar bret14jb (64.02) Submitted: 3/25/2015 2:39:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $85.05 XOM Score: -0.14

King Kong Oil's not going out of business any time soon.

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Member Avatar BLVault (< 20) Submitted: 3/23/2015 10:21:16 PM : Outperform Start Price: $85.30 XOM Score: -0.06

I've held XOM since 2002. It is a high-quality stock with a secure and above-market dividend yield.

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Member Avatar SkepikI (68.47) Submitted: 3/11/2015 9:10:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $84.43 XOM Score: -1.24

The largest war chest for survival and picking up distressed assets in the oil business, XOM might decline due to more bad news in the short...for which I will gleefully add to my position to average down. At 11 P/E and 3.4% div (my prices) I can afford to ride out some more bumps. I look for XOM to apply its cash hord and declining capital project requirements to less well positioned assets that go on sale as the thinly capitalized risk takers get nervous or illiquid or go belly up. Having capital and cash while oil hangs out at $50 or drops further, is the road to more cheap assets at XOM, more cashflow and shareholder smiles

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Member Avatar TMFDeej (99.47) Submitted: 3/10/2015 3:16:38 PM : Underperform Start Price: $84.67 XOM Score: +1.30

Warren Buffett Sold Exxon Mobil And So Should You

I came across a bullish article on Exxon Mobil (XOM) this afternoon. While I do not currently hold any position in the company, it got me thinking about it. I'm more of a small cap guy so I wouldn't consider investing in something like XOM anyhow, having said that if I was a shareholder of XOM, the company's continued investment in the mess that is Russia would concern me greatly.

Exxon Russia Exposure Surges as Long View Outweighs Politics

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-03/exxon-s-russia-exposure-surges-as-long-view-outweighs-sanctions

From the article:

"Exxon Mobil Corp. shook off the chill of sanctions and continued to snap up drilling rights in Russia last year, giving it more exploration holdings in Vladimir Putin’s backyard than in the U.S.

Taking the long view, Exxon boosted its Russian holdings to 63.7 million acres in 2014 from 11.4 million at the end of 2013, according to data from U.S. regulatory filings. That dwarfs the 14.6 million acres of rights Exxon holds in the U.S., which until last year was its largest exploration prospect."

Russia's politicians are morally bankrupt. I don't see why anyone would invest a dime of their hard-earned money (even money that wasn't hard-earned for that matter :) ) in the country or anything that is affiliated with it. I certainly wouldn't and I'm not sure why XOM is other than the fact that it can't find anyplace else to put its cash. If you're a friend of Putin there's plenty of money to be made in Russia, but not so much for foreign investors.

Over the past 5 years, the S&P 500 has gained a little over 75%. Over that same period, the stock of Lukoil as measured by its U.S. ADR has fallen nearly 25%. Similarly, the stock of Gazprom has dropped nearly 60%.

This doesn't even touch upon the morality of giving money to such despicable regime (the politicians and gangsters of Russia, not the citizens). To me, investing in companies that do a ton of business there is akin to investing in a cigarette company. You can do it and it's completely legal, but it doesn't conform to my personal standards.

Exxon traces its roots back to the Standard Oil Company, which was founded in the United States by a number of individuals including John D. Rockefeller. While controversial, there's no debating that Standard Oil and later Exxon were massive, successful American companies that contributed to the growth of the country. That makes it even more painful to read statements from the company like this:

“We don’t take sides in any geopolitical events,” Tillerson said of the conflict in Ukraine in a meeting with reporters a year ago. “We have navigated these kinds of challenges before.”

As an American company I don't think that Exxon has the luxury to not take sides in the conflict between Russia and the West. If Exxon had been managed properly, it would be taking much greater advantage of the drilling renaissance that has occurred in the United States over the past decade, contributing to our country's energy independence rather than giving money to people who hate us.

I know that I said in my previous post that I enjoy purchasing stock in companies that have seen their shares take significant hits. Well, Russian companies are definitely an exception to this rule. Companies in that country are terrible stewards of shareholder capital and the country's leaders have no respect for foreign investors. You can add Exxon to Russian companies and Business Development Companies aka BDCs on the list of stock sectors that I personally wouldn't touch with a ten foot pole.

To tie things back to the title of this post, the world's most famous investor, Warren Buffett, recently sold $3.7 BILLION dollars with of ExxonMobil stock that was owned by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B or BRK-A for you fancy pants folks). He claims that he still thinks that XOM is a wonderful company, but that he had better places to put the money. I think that others do as well, I know that I certainly do.

Jason

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Member Avatar TerryHoodSr (79.83) Submitted: 2/26/2015 12:21:34 PM : Outperform Start Price: $87.91 XOM Score: -2.46

BUY @ 88 TP 93 CAPS 4STAR
2016 EPS 40%

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Member Avatar MLMarkow (43.25) Submitted: 2/26/2015 9:55:57 AM : Outperform Start Price: $88.60 XOM Score: -3.18

oil prices will improve. Massive integrated company

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Member Avatar TMFCheesehead (74.59) Submitted: 2/16/2015 7:53:21 AM : Outperform Start Price: $92.75 XOM Score: -8.14

Simply taking energy advice from those who know the beaten down sector better than I do.

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Member Avatar lkwyatt (52.54) Submitted: 2/10/2015 8:41:52 PM : Outperform Start Price: $90.02 XOM Score: -6.73

Low oil prices have driven integrated oil companies like Exxon Mobile below their true value.

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Member Avatar Harrowing (< 20) Submitted: 1/30/2015 7:47:24 PM : Outperform Start Price: $87.20 XOM Score: -6.99

Price appears good value even factoring in the low price of oil. Estimate a climb back to $95 within a short timeframe.

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Member Avatar bigdividends (84.46) Submitted: 1/16/2015 3:06:22 PM : Outperform Start Price: $90.10 XOM Score: -9.80

long term out perform. Oil near the bottom. They will be able to capitalize on those that were overleveraged.

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Member Avatar SUPERMANSTOCKS (57.94) Submitted: 1/16/2015 8:09:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $88.25 XOM Score: -7.28

Within one year oil will rebound back around 65-70.00 a barrel and thus taking these stocks with it.

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Member Avatar Reddragyn (69.56) Submitted: 1/10/2015 3:16:18 AM : Outperform Start Price: $90.56 XOM Score: -8.36

Dog Test

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Member Avatar RaplhCramden (< 20) Submitted: 1/6/2015 2:46:05 PM : Outperform Start Price: $89.37 XOM Score: -8.94

Oil will come back up in price and XOM will follow it.

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Member Avatar Sparticus501 (< 20) Submitted: 12/30/2014 9:24:05 PM : Outperform Start Price: $91.73 XOM Score: -7.81

Many of the small oil companies will not last the current oil glut. Exxon has the cash and resources to survive longterm cheap oil, maybe even buy up a few of the smaller energy companies that don't survive this current oil glut.

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Member Avatar TMFBuck (91.47) Submitted: 12/19/2014 10:55:32 AM : Outperform Start Price: $90.67 XOM Score: -7.61

A great company that hasn't done well recently. Amazing cash flows will allow them to prosper long into the future. A rising dividend payout and aggressive stock buybacks won't hurt either.

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Member Avatar thelongviewman (40.83) Submitted: 12/18/2014 11:50:46 PM : Outperform Start Price: $89.54 XOM Score: -6.32

Oil prices will rebound by December 2019 (5 year time frame)...WTI at $54b today...I've seen this roller coaster so many times before. This time I'll make some $ on it.

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Member Avatar Staka (96.75) Submitted: 12/14/2014 2:50:03 AM : Outperform Start Price: $86.88 XOM Score: -5.66

Positive:
- The bigger ones and better managed usually win in times of stress -> ExxonMobile should come out well in this oil "crisis"

Negative:
- Their size limits their growth prospects
- In the short term there is a high risk of further crashing oil prices although the already reached $60 are not sustainable in the long run

Category: BV

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