SPDR S&P Retail (ETF) (XRT)

JLR1102 (< 20) Submitted: 11/23/2009 3:06:09 PM : Start Price: $35.15 XRT Score: -1.02

The consumer is tapped out...main street is hurting while Wall Street seems to be oblivious to this fact.

tgauchat (77.78) Submitted: 10/22/2009 3:54:44 PM : Start Price: $36.52 XRT Score: +4.26

The retail sector's stock prices are WAY ahead of the real recovery. Joblessness != shopping.

Lituus (89.81) Submitted: 10/19/2009 4:21:41 PM : Start Price: $36.82 XRT Score: +4.48

See 19Oct2009 blog entry. Retail down as US consumers de-leverage.

lepant (87.83) Submitted: 10/15/2009 11:20:45 AM : Start Price: $36.38 XRT Score: -4.26

With savings rates up this should hurt retailers, but with people saying things like "this is a new paradigm" or "it's different this time", in reference to the higher savings rate. With Sir John Templeton having said the four most expensive words in the english language are "it's different this time"; I'm inclined to believe that it in fact is not different this time. With that savings rate will again drop and consumer spending will further increase with the eventual income growth that is to come, making for an ultimately profitable experience for retailers.

jaygatsby49 (99.20) Submitted: 10/5/2009 1:42:07 PM : Start Price: $33.58 XRT Score: +1.22

I am betting on a not-very-marry Christmas retail season. The existing economic fundamentals to not justify the current valuations (10% unemployment and a consumer already in a de-leveragin process for starters.

Check back in January to see how my Christmas went.

Note: Walmart will be the exception here.

TMFmrquakeroats (87.01) Submitted: 9/8/2009 9:43:17 AM : Start Price: $31.04 XRT Score: -3.81

Rated one star. Also, I think the retail sector has jumped the gun in this rally and is due for a pullback or at least under-performance relative to other sectors in the short term.

ttboydxb (98.90) Submitted: 8/25/2009 7:00:51 AM : Start Price: $31.45 XRT Score: -5.11

Is there a recovery when no one is buying?

JerryDreamer (< 20) Submitted: 8/17/2009 1:14:59 AM : Start Price: $30.28 XRT Score: -4.53

When the overly optimistic FOMC says that household spending will be "constrained" by sluggish income growth, ongoing job losses, lower household wealth, and tight credit AND Shanghai stocks hit a seven-week low, then you know this bear market rally is finally over!

Paramnesia1930 (97.38) Submitted: 8/12/2009 11:32:07 PM : Start Price: $31.93 XRT Score: -1.13

QUICK! Pick a reason to exit a market that has risen too fast and gotten too expensive. Here are three to choose from: buying power is getting exhausted according to DeMark indicators; daily sentiment indicators are 88% bullish; RSI’s and oscillators are over extended.

TheGarcipian (99.21) Submitted: 5/5/2009 2:37:38 PM : Start Price: $28.11 XRT Score: -1.83

Overbought. Tough times are still ahead for many a retailer.

rassoodock (78.74) Submitted: 4/7/2009 2:27:58 PM : Start Price: $23.97 XRT Score: -12.82

Seems like a total gimme to me. Market is overbought and retail is especially overbought. Lots of good co's are going out of business, and we can expect existing businesses to struggle for a while as the credit-cloud that the consumer has increasingly relied upon slowly evaporates.

HansHauge (92.62) Submitted: 12/23/2008 12:09:45 PM : Start Price: $19.08 XRT Score: -55.88

If the economy is as bad as I think it is, retail is in real trouble. This will be a good time to short this after the false christmas rally, I bet we have a sorely dissappointing christmas shopping season.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?

pid=newsarchive&sid=a8KouqOVVQVU

motleyism (< 20) Submitted: 11/30/2008 6:30:26 AM : Start Price: $17.69 XRT Score: +70.91

Most retailers will get a temporary holiday bounce at least until the new administration takes office.

supercoffee (81.01) Submitted: 8/4/2008 4:26:02 PM : Start Price: $29.43 XRT Score: +29.95

COSUMER ARE COMING BACK

MBfool (50.64) Submitted: 4/29/2008 10:44:08 PM : Start Price: $32.41 XRT Score: +27.38

The mortgage crisis appears to be manageable finally. Fed cuts and other innovative measures by Bernanke et al helped the banks and financials. The recession appears to be mild (despie the Oracle's pronouncements to the contrary), unemployment is still low and the fed appears poised to take measures to contain inflation and strengthen dollar, which would make the oil and commodity prices to recede. With the federal government sending out the tax rebate checks starting Monday, I expect more buying in the retail stores of clothing, shoes, household goods, electronics and such. Unemployment still is relatively low and the fed tax rebates should help. Sector approach may be better in the current scenario of beaten down companies than picking individual stocks. XRT has names like Target, JC Penny, TJX, Tween Brands, Urban Outfitters, Wal-Mart, Zales, etc. It is the right time to buy retail (along with financials and tech of course!).

abitare (99.59) Submitted: 12/13/2007 9:57:50 AM : Start Price: $34.28 XRT Score: -26.42

Yes, there is a recession. The consumer will cut back and / or bankrupt.
Here is a great video by SNL on how to help you get out of debt:

http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-726450075131909113&q=snl+debt&total=4&start=0&num=10&so=0&type=search&plindex=1