$34.25 -0.77 (-2.20%)
7/2/2009 4:25 PM

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

Quick service restaurant company comprised of the worldwide operations of A&W All-American Food Restaurants, KFC, Long John Silver's, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell.

Current Price $34.25 Mkt Cap $16.16B
Open $0.00 P/E Ratio 17.69
Prev. Close $35.02 Div. (Yield) 0.76 (2.30%)
Daily Range $34.25 - $34.90 Volume 0
52-Wk Range $21.50 - $40.25 Avg. Daily Vol. 0

YUM News and Articles

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Caps

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All Members

1,943 Outperform
109 Underperform
 

All-Star Members

588 Outperform
38 Underperform
 

Wall Street

13 Outperform
1 Underperform
 

Top YUM Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

sandvig (99.68)
Submitted January 14, 2009

Chicken, pizza, tacos. Pretty darn simple.

America is the undisputed world leader in junk food. The opportunity is ripe to take our expertise abroad. YUM has the equivalent of three Michelin stars- one for KFC, one for Pizza Hut, and one… More

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JakilaTheHun (99.89)
Submitted June 17, 2009

Despite some positive catalysts for Yum, such as the Colonel's (i.e. KFC's) new grilled chicken, this is looking overvalued to me at the moment. Yum's balance sheet is propped up by a large amount of goodwill and intangibles. After discounting the… More

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YUM VS S&P 500 (SPY)

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Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from members about YUM.

Recs

0
Member Avatar MrBearsReturn (95.62) Submitted: 6/18/2009 9:46:48 AM : Outperform Start Price: $33.88 YUM Score: +2.37

Double Down!

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Recs

3
Member Avatar JakilaTheHun (99.89) Submitted: 6/17/2009 2:07:50 PM : Underperform Start Price: $34.29 YUM Score: -2.57

Despite some positive catalysts for Yum, such as the Colonel's (i.e. KFC's) new grilled chicken, this is looking overvalued to me at the moment. Yum's balance sheet is propped up by a large amount of goodwill and intangibles. After discounting the goodwill, Yum has negative equity.

For the most recent fiscal year, YUM had net income of $961 million and free cash flows of $586 million. Even if I use a $1 billion figure for a discounted cash flow analysis with a 3% constant growth rate, I still end up with a price around the $29 - $33 range. The stock is currently selling at $34. I'm not sure if this is a terrific short, but it does seem like a good underperform pick at the current price levels since the market as a whole is somewhat undervalued and YUM is somewhat overvalued.

Btw, there also seems to be an extraordinarily large amount of insider sells on YUM recently. That would be the thing that tipped me over the edge on going with the red thumb.

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Recs

0
Member Avatar givitsound (31.04) Submitted: 6/11/2009 8:31:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $34.08 YUM Score: +5.36

I don't like to invest in restaraunts as they are very cyclical and tend to grow to fast for their capital but this one has a good global growth strategy.

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View All 346 Pitches »

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in YUM.

Score Leader

GON2GET

GON2GET (92.71) Score: +88.91

The Score Leader is the member with the highest score across all their picks in YUM.

Top
Pick 		Member Name Member
Rating 		Start
Date 		Call Time
Frame 		Start
Price 		Stock
Gain 		S&P
Gain 		Score Commentary
GON2GET 92.71 8/2/2006 Outperform 3M $21.50 +59.31% -29.60% +88.91
TheFerrisWheel < 20 8/28/2006 Outperform 3Y $22.62 +51.41% -30.74% +82.15
bronzoulis < 20 8/28/2006 Outperform 1Y $22.62 +51.41% -30.74% +82.15
molly108 97.28 8/28/2006 12/31/2008 Outperform 3Y $22.62 +51.41% -30.74% +82.15
jbyrn32 29.52 8/28/2006 Outperform 1Y $22.62 +51.41% -30.74% +82.15
gecu 78.72 8/28/2006 Outperform 5Y $22.62 +51.41% -30.74% +82.15
buttersdad 74.13 8/28/2006 Outperform 1Y $22.62 +51.41% -30.74% +82.15 1 Comment
Gollux 62.88 8/28/2006 Outperform 1Y $22.62 +51.41% -30.74% +82.15
hereinhawaii 76.59 8/28/2006 Outperform 5Y $22.73 +50.68% -30.99% +81.67
pilot277 32.86 8/26/2006 Outperform 3M $22.72 +50.77% -30.69% +81.46
View Complete Scorecard »

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Member Name Member
Rating		 Start
Date		 Call Time
Frame		 Start
Price		 Stock
Gain		 S&P
Gain		 Score End Date Commentary
TrackBillAckman 74.74 5/26/2009 Outperform 1Y $34.00 +0.74% +1.66% -0.93 1 Comment
TrackCreditSuiss 89.18 4/24/2009 Outperform NS $34.80 -1.58% +4.16% -5.74
TrackZacks 75.50 4/23/2009 Outperform 3M $34.52 -0.78% +5.20% -5.98 1 Comment
TrackJPMorgan 82.92 4/15/2009 Outperform NS $30.00 +14.17% +7.06% +7.11
TrackUBS 86.07 11/17/2008 Outperform NS $24.70 +38.67% +4.10% +34.56
TrackWachovia 75.72 7/18/2008 Outperform NS $34.09 +0.46% -28.86% +29.32
TrackBofASec 95.34 7/11/2008 Outperform NS $33.83 +1.24% -27.29% +28.53
TrackChrisDavis < 20 6/3/2008 Outperform 1Y $38.13 -10.17% -35.53% +25.35 1 Comment
TrackZacks 75.50 5/27/2008 Outperform 3M $38.50 -24.46% -28.74% +4.28 10/21/2008 @ $29.08 1 Comment
TrackUBS 86.07 2/25/2008 Outperform NS $35.44 +12.89% +2.28% +10.61 5/1/2008 @ $40.01
TrackJohnRogers < 20 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $32.82 -14.98% -49.52% +34.54 2/25/2009 @ $27.90 4 Comments
TrackBillNygren 90.29 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $32.61 +5.04% -41.14% +46.18 3 Comments
TrackSoros 79.40 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $33.43 +10.89% -13.94% +24.83 3/31/2008 @ $37.07 1 Comment
TrackMHawkins 46.93 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $32.61 +5.04% -41.14% +46.18 4 Comments
TrackHAndW < 20 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $33.43 +11.59% -11.42% +23.00 6/13/2008 @ $37.30 1 Comment
TrackUBS 86.07 7/11/2007 Outperform NS $33.65 +14.40% +0.31% +14.09 11/2/2007 @ $38.50
TrackFBRCapitalM 79.95 7/3/2007 Outperform NS $32.44 +5.57% -40.98% +46.56
TrackJimCramer 64.82 6/14/2007 Outperform 3W $32.53 +5.29% -41.25% +46.54
TrackJimCramer 64.82 12/22/2006 Underperform 3W $29.23 +15.98% +8.48% -7.49 6/15/2007 @ $33.90
TrackTobinSmith < 20 11/7/2006 Outperform 1Y $27.84 +23.04% -35.21% +58.25
TrackDeutscheSec 85.14 10/17/2006 Outperform NS $28.27 +19.58% -1.41% +20.99 1/31/2008 @ $33.80
TrackMatrix 88.79 10/16/2006 Underperform NS $27.61 +24.06% -34.21% -58.27
TrackRBCCapMkts 88.51 9/14/2006 Outperform NS $26.17 +14.80% +6.60% +8.20 12/8/2006 @ $30.05
TrackJimCramer 64.82 5/10/2006 Outperform 3W $26.83 +9.54% +6.65% +2.90 12/23/2006 @ $29.39
TrackJimCramer 64.82 3/28/2006 Underperform 3W $24.42 +9.83% +2.29% -7.54 5/10/2006 @ $26.83

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