The S&P 500 has been a wrecking ball, blasting through resistance after resistance over the last two months. In all, the markets are up 15% from their lows in February. A level is now being hit by the $SPY that is more major than many of the last resistance points.
If you connect the highs stretching back to the all-time high on the $SPY from May 2015, it creates a perfect trend line which is now being tagged. Note the chart below. Will this be a level for a pull back? Ultimately, in normal market conditions it would be an epic pull back. However, with the Federal Reserve continuing to wave the white flag and volume remaining near the lowest levels in a decade, it is not as easy to call as usual. Ultimately, as chartists we have to trust the chart and believe a pull back is near.
The $SPY is quickly approaching a trend line shown in the chart below. Notice how it connects through all the highs extending back to the all-time high on the $SPY in May 2015. In other words, the markets are testing a level/trend line that began almost a year ago. [more]
The Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX) has soared in the last few months. The ETF traded as low as $12.40 in January 2016 only to climb to a high today of $23.06. This is a whopping 86% in less than 3 months. While many investors are jumping on board the gold miners there is a dead-on signal they are a short here.
It is one of the simplest chart comparisons out there. All you need to do is compare the SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) (NYSEARCA:GLD) to the $GDX chart. You will clearly see that recently gold ($GLD) has not taken out the recent highs while $GDX has soared to new highs. What does this mean? It means that the gold miners ($GDX) are being squeezed. In other words, a lot of the upside is short covering. Short covering will not last. In fact, a possible doji today on the daily chart of $GDX may spell the top. Note the charts below to understand fully. However, the bottom line is that the $GDX will likely pull back below $20 in the coming weeks. That is an over 10% drop.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) slammed into its daily 200 moving average today. The stock has jumped from $92.65 to a high today of $112.19. That is a gain of 21% in approximately six weeks. [more]
Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl Inc (NYSE:VRX) has had an ugly past 52 weeks. After trading as high as $260 per share, the stock hit a low today of $25.75. So why on earth could it potentially rally 50% in the next month? The answer is surprisingly simple...
The last day of the quarter is today. Hedge funds always sell their biggest losers, especially ones with so much media attention into quarter end. They do this to avoid showing the position on their quarterly statement to clients. This creates added down pressure into quarter end. In addition, no hedge funds would buy prior to the new quarter for the same reason of not wanting the position on their statement to clients. That means, come April 1st, 2016, it is a whole new ball game. The selling from hedge funds should have concluded and there will be some hedge fund buyers taking positions. Assuming no negative news from the company, there is 50% upside in this name over the next month. [more]