carefulinvestor's rating is 41.99.

Score: 11.71 (61st percentile)
Accuracy: 27.78% (8th percentile)

A member's rating indicates his percentile rank in CAPS. carefulinvestor is outperforming 41.99% of all CAPS members. A member's score is the total percentage return of all his picks subtracting out the S&P. A member's accuracy is how often that member has made correct predictions.

To calculate a member's rating, we take 2/3 of his score percentile and 1/3 of his accuracy percentile. For further information, read the Member Ratings section of the Help page.

Average Pick Score is a member's total score divided by the total number of picks (active and closed). It represents the member's average return after subtracting out the market's performance.

Average Pick Rating is the average stock rating of a member's total picks. Underperform picks are flip-flopped, so a underperform call on a one-star stock is treated like an outperform call on a five-star stock. This rating reflects how closely your picks are aligned with CAPS ratings.

Ratings last updated at 5:06 PM 10/10/2008.

carefulinvestor

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carefulinvestor beat the market on Friday

Member Rating 41.99	Rank: 36214 out of 62443
	Score: 11.71 (+21.37)
	Accuracy: 27.78%
	Average Pick Score: +0.32
	Average Pick Rating:
	All-Time Best: AFAM +111.10
	All-Time Worst: CHS -51.68

Score Comparison vs. carefulinvestor

How are these stats calculated?

Personal Info

Boston, MA

carefulinvestor says:
The CAPS results are not a fair reflection of my track record, because I often use limit orders for purchases and trailing stop losses for sales (particularly for stocks that have had a good run).

Investing Approach

Risk Tolerance
Experience

Friday's Top Scorers		Friday's Worst Scorers
CHU	+13.88	TYY	-16.51
AFAM	+11.20	EBAY	-3.87
AVID	+7.75	TNP	-3.83

Score Leaders

The score leader for a stock is the player who has achieved the highest score for that stock. This includes all picks made by a player (active and ended).

The score leader for each stock is displayed in the upper right of that stock’s page.

Score Leader

N/A

What Are Score Leaders?

carefulinvestor's Stock Picks

Results 1 - 19 of 19

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches Collapse All Pitches

Top Pick	Start Date	Ticker	CAPS Rating	Call	Time Frame	Start Price	Today (Change)	Stock Gain	S&P Gain	Score	Pitch
	07/13/07	NGA			1Y	$7.13	$3.69 (-4.16%)	-48.21%	-42.74%	-5.47
	07/10/07	MSFT			1Y	$29.34	$21.50 (-3.59%)	-26.72%	-41.90%	-15.18
	06/27/07	SDA			1Y	$13.73	$5.67 (-3.41%)	-58.69%	-40.26%	-18.43
	06/27/07	KMGB			1Y	$21.92	$5.91 (-4.21%)	-73.04%	-40.26%	-32.79
	04/09/07	EML			1Y	$27.00	$11.52 (-3.68%)	-57.33%	-38.75%	-18.59
	03/30/07	EBAY			3Y	$33.07	$16.73 (+4.82%)	-49.41%	-37.78%	+11.63
	03/12/07	NTRZ.OB			1Y	$2.99	$0.38 (-5.00%)	-87.29%	-37.10%	-50.20
	03/12/07	VTIV			1Y	$36.97	$11.81 (+4.14%)	-68.06%	-37.11%	-30.94
	02/02/07	AFAM			3Y	$20.37	$35.08 (+5.95%)	+72.25%	-38.85%	+111.10
	12/21/06	POOL			1Y	$37.66	$17.34 (-4.04%)	-53.95%	-37.79%	-16.16
	12/12/06	TYY			3M	$25.46	$7.00 (-39.66%)	-72.50%	-37.52%	-34.98
	11/20/06	BBBB			3Y	$29.56	$32.26 (+3.20%)	+9.13%	-36.82%	+45.95
	11/08/06	WCG			3M	$60.22	$24.10 (-6.48%)	-59.98%	-36.06%	-23.92
	11/07/06	CX			3Y	$29.42	$7.10 (-13.10%)	-75.86%	-35.97%	-39.90
	11/07/06	IIVI			1Y	$24.89	$28.47 (+2.01%)	+14.38%	-35.97%	+50.35
	11/07/06	AVID			3Y	$36.35	$21.00 (+11.94%)	-42.23%	-35.97%	-6.26
	11/02/06	TNP			3Y	$20.20	$21.23 (-4.93%)	+5.08%	-35.09%	+40.17
	10/26/06	CHU			5Y	$10.74	$13.04 (+11.26%)	+21.42%	-36.20%	+57.62
	08/22/06	CHS			3Y	$24.20	$3.97 (+9.97%)	-83.60%	-31.92%	-51.68

Results 1 - 19 of 19

Top Fool

dwot
Rating: 100.00
Score: 7,089.47

Next to cause pain is the alt-a mortgages and the commercial real estate. My guess is 6 years from property bubble burst to bottom, only 3 year into it now, Florida burst in 2005.