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chk999's rating is 99.99.

  • Score: 11905.26 (100th percentile)
  • Accuracy: 84.11% (100th percentile)

A member's rating indicates his percentile rank in CAPS. chk999 is outperforming 99.99% of all CAPS members. A member's score is the total percentage return of all his picks subtracting out the S&P. A member's accuracy is how often that member has made correct predictions.

To calculate a member's rating, we take 2/3 of his score percentile and 1/3 of his accuracy percentile. For further information, read the Member Ratings section of the Help page.

Average Pick Score is a member's total score divided by the total number of picks (active and closed). It represents the member's average return after subtracting out the market's performance.

Average Pick Rating is the average stock rating of a member's total picks. Underperform picks are flip-flopped, so a underperform call on a one-star stock is treated like an outperform call on a five-star stock. This rating reflects how closely your picks are aligned with CAPS ratings.

Ratings last updated at 5:39 PM 11/6/2009.

chk999 beat the market on Friday

Member Rating CAPS Rating

99.99

Rank: 7 out of 68901
Score: 11,905.26 (+11.40)
Accuracy: 84.11%
Average Pick Score: +6.64
Average Pick Rating:
All-Time Best: ACH +105.66
All-Time Worst: SPWRA -241.10

Score Comparison vs. chk999

Member History

How are these stats calculated?

chk999's Latest Blog Post

Recs

13

Even Buffett isn't perfect, but then neither is this book.

October 20, 2009 – Comments (3)

So while I was at the library looking for something else, I noticed a book on the shelf titled "Even Buffett isn't perfect" by Vahan Jangigian. I grabbed it hoping for some really good analysis of Buffett's mistakes, with some real insight into the behavioral financial aspects of the bad investments. No such luck. What I got was a beginner level book that advocated momentum investing as a valid strategy. (Which it is, but not doing it is not one of Buffett's mistakes.)

One thing that the author kept mentioning was that Buffett used DCF calculations as part of his determination of intrinsic value. The reason this is weird is that Charlie has mentioned never having seen Warren perform a DCF. And if Charlie hasn't then the author sure hasn't either. Likewise, Alice Schroeder, who as part of writing The Snowball had complete access to the Berkshire files, never found much in the way of calculation, just some scribbled notes about the various acquisitions.

Another thing I found particularly annoying was when the author tried to refute Buffett's views on taxes without mentioning the ovarian lottery argument at all. Usually if you try to attack someone's conclusion, you have to show where in their argument they went wrong. Instead the author simply asserts that Buffett is wrong. Even though I disagree with Buffett on taxes, the author's attack on Buffett's position is amazingly lame.

Bottom line? Skip this book and read one of the Chairman's letters from the Berkshire website. You'll be happier and learn more.

I did learn one useful thing from the book though.
Steve Forbes wrote the forward and is fulsomly praised by the author. (Who is an employee of Forbes.) After reading the forward, Forbes looks like a bigger tool than I thought. And I thought he was a pretty big tool to start with.  [more]

chk999's Stock Picks

Results 1 - 75 of 192 :   1 2 3 Next »

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches

Top
Pick
Start
Date
TickerCAPS RatingCallTime FrameStart
Price
Today (Change)Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
ScorePitch
11/06/09 TUP Outperform 5Y $45.52$45.75
( +0.79%)
+0.51%+0.18%+0.32 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/06/09 NEU Outperform 5Y $104.31$103.74
( -0.34%)
-0.55%+0.18%-0.72 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/30/09 GRO Outperform 5Y $2.51$2.69
( +0.67%)
+7.09%+2.93%+4.16 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/29/09 GRRF Underperform 5Y $4.51$4.35
( +2.11%)
-3.55%+0.45%+4.00 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 TWQ Underperform 5Y $27.29$28.63
( 0%)
+4.92%-0.47%-5.40 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 DPTR Outperform 5Y $1.51$1.16
( +1.75%)
-23.08%-0.99%-22.09 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 TYP Underperform 5Y $10.89$11.40
( -0.70%)
+4.68%-1.89%-6.57 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 EPV Underperform 5Y $21.92$22.98
( -0.52%)
+4.84%-1.89%-6.72 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 BGZ Underperform 5Y $19.15$20.13
( -0.84%)
+5.12%-1.89%-7.00 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 DEE Underperform 5Y $48.02$54.90
( +3.64%)
+14.33%-1.96%-16.29 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 RSW Underperform 5Y $60.67$62.52
( -0.51%)
+3.05%-1.96%-5.00 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 MWN Underperform 5Y $28.32$31.07
( -0.13%)
+9.71%-1.96%-11.67 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/26/09 RMS Underperform 5Y $33.48$35.51
( +0.54%)
+6.06%-1.78%-7.84 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SIJ Underperform 5Y $27.20$26.91
( -1.86%)
-1.07%-1.31%-0.24 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SSG Underperform 5Y $23.07$24.89
( -0.01%)
+7.88%-1.31%-9.18 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SMN Underperform 5Y $9.72$10.08
( -0.49%)
+3.68%-1.32%-5.00 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SZK Underperform 5Y $46.32$45.95
( -0.73%)
-0.80%-1.32%-0.52 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 RXD Underperform 5Y $41.35$40.30
( -0.59%)
-2.54%-1.32%+1.22 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 EFU Underperform 5Y $39.31$40.65
( -0.17%)
+3.41%-1.10%-4.51 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 FXP Underperform 5Y $8.09$8.05
( -0.12%)
-0.49%-1.10%-0.60 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SKK Underperform 5Y $22.39$23.46
( -0.59%)
+4.77%-1.02%-5.79 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SJH Underperform 5Y $29.78$32.27
( +0.06%)
+8.36%-1.02%-9.38 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SJL Underperform 5Y $28.68$31.12
( -0.22%)
+8.51%-1.02%-9.52 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SJF Underperform 5Y $55.79$57.46
( -0.40%)
+2.99%-1.02%-4.01 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 SDK Underperform 5Y $29.22$30.45
( -0.33%)
+4.21%-1.02%-5.23 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/23/09 QID Underperform 5Y $21.88$22.29
( -1.28%)
+1.86%-1.02%-2.88 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/22/09 LPIH.OB Outperform 5Y $2.16$1.68
( -2.33%)
-22.22%-1.03%-21.19 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 SDP Underperform 5Y $23.29$24.78
( +0.73%)
+6.40%-1.53%-7.93 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 SDD Underperform 5Y $28.92$31.64
( -0.19%)
+9.40%-1.53%-10.94 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 SCC Underperform 5Y $40.77$42.52
( -1.59%)
+4.30%-1.53%-5.84 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 SFK Underperform 5Y $39.02$39.64
( -0.58%)
+1.59%-1.53%-3.12 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 TZA Underperform 5Y $11.45$12.89
( -0.54%)
+12.58%-1.53%-14.11 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 REW Underperform 5Y $26.54$26.69
( -0.23%)
+0.56%-1.53%-2.10 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 SDS Underperform 5Y $37.67$38.72
( -0.56%)
+2.78%-1.67%-4.45 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 MZZ Underperform 5Y $23.99$25.55
( +0.35%)
+6.50%-1.67%-8.17 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 FAZ Underperform 5Y $18.96$21.51
( +0.99%)
+13.45%-1.67%-15.12 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 EEV Underperform 5Y $12.17$12.51
( +0.24%)
+2.79%-1.67%-4.47 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 SKF Underperform 5Y $23.72$26.02
( +0.77%)
+9.70%-1.67%-11.37 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 EDZ Underperform 5Y $5.99$6.18
( -0.16%)
+3.17%-1.67%-4.84 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 DXD Underperform 5Y $32.80$32.43
( -0.34%)
-1.13%-1.67%-0.54 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 DUG Underperform 5Y $12.19$12.84
( +0.39%)
+5.32%-1.67%-6.99 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/20/09 ERY Underperform 5Y $10.83$11.72
( +1.38%)
+8.22%-1.67%-9.89 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/19/09 FXC Outperform 5Y $96.80$92.75
( -0.87%)
-4.19%-2.53%-1.66 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/15/09 ATW Outperform 5Y $39.70$37.61
( -1.31%)
-5.26%-2.21%-3.06 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/15/09 AUXVF.PK Outperform 5Y $2.94$2.91
( +0.53%)
-0.89%-2.09%+1.20 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/08/09 AOI Outperform 5Y $4.80$4.56
( -0.22%)
-5.00%+0.33%-5.33 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/07/09 CPSL Outperform 5Y $2.65$2.38
( +4.39%)
-10.19%+1.70%-11.89 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/07/09 ATVI Outperform 5Y $12.42$11.25
( +3.50%)
-9.42%+1.69%-11.11 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/02/09 EWZ Outperform 5Y $67.27$74.39
( -0.39%)
+10.58%+4.25%+6.33 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/02/09 DDRX Underperform 5Y $21.14$26.40
( +1.58%)
+24.88%+4.22%-20.66 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/21/09 TWM Underperform 5Y $27.58$29.98
( -0.40%)
+8.70%+0.61%-8.09 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/21/09 SRS Underperform 5Y $9.35$10.20
( +3.13%)
+9.09%+0.66%-8.43 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/14/09 FNCB.OB Outperform 5Y $7.00$6.05
( +3.42%)
-13.57%+2.85%-16.42 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/10/09 HLXW.OB Underperform 5Y $2.83$2.83
( -1.74%)
0%+3.70%+3.70 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/08/09 EZA Outperform 5Y $54.21$53.73
( +0.54%)
-0.89%+4.63%-5.51 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
08/27/09 RDK Outperform 5Y $26.51$27.48
( -0.07%)
+3.65%+4.38%-0.73 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
08/27/09 BSTC.OB Underperform 5Y $25.90$30.87
( +1.51%)
+19.19%+4.39%-14.80 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
08/07/09 NTES Outperform 5Y $43.60$40.68
( +2.68%)
-6.70%+6.09%-12.79 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
08/06/09 FXA Outperform 5Y $83.40$91.85
( +0.87%)
+10.13%+7.82%+2.31 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/29/09 NGS Underperform 5Y $13.12$17.69
( +1.55%)
+34.83%+10.65%-24.19 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/24/09 WSC Outperform 5Y $300.22$334.00
( +0.62%)
+11.25%+10.41%+0.85 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/17/09 HOG Underperform 5Y $18.77$25.73
( -0.66%)
+37.06%+14.44%-22.62 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/09/09 AIG Underperform 5Y $10.98$35.48
( -9.67%)
+223.13%+21.74%-201.39 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/07/09 NILE Underperform 5Y $37.40$61.10
( +4.05%)
+63.37%+21.02%-42.35 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/23/09 MO Outperform 5Y $15.94$18.54
( -0.70%)
+16.28%+20.34%-4.06 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/23/09 ALVR Outperform 5Y $4.32$3.75
( -0.27%)
-13.19%+20.30%-33.49 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/09/09 GU Outperform 5Y $2.48$1.47
( +4.26%)
-40.73%+14.32%-55.05 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/09/09 LTON Outperform 5Y $2.85$2.09
( -1.42%)
-26.67%+14.32%-40.99 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/09/09 DNN Outperform 5Y $1.85$1.46
( -3.95%)
-21.08%+14.32%-35.40 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/09/09 ANAD Outperform 5Y $4.41$3.18
( -1.24%)
-27.89%+14.32%-42.21 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/05/09 FPIC Outperform 5Y $33.59$34.15
( -1.24%)
+1.67%+14.27%-12.61 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/03/09 GDFZY.PK Outperform 5Y $38.80$42.95
( -0.81%)
+10.70%+16.46%-5.77 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/03/09 DYY Outperform 5Y $7.41$7.87
( -3.28%)
+6.26%+16.25%-9.99 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/03/09 POT Outperform 5Y $113.17$96.25
( +0.63%)
-14.95%+15.39%-30.34 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/01/09 WFC Outperform 5Y $25.67$27.12
( -0.62%)
+5.66%+15.56%-9.90 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies

Results 1 - 75 of 192 :   1 2 3 Next »

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