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JohnCLeven's rating is 73.70.

  • Score: 185.57 (58th percentile)
  • Accuracy: 60.00% (93rd percentile)

A player's rating indicates his percentile rank in CAPS. JohnCLeven is outperforming 73.70% of all CAPS players. A player's score is the total percentage return of all his picks subtracting out the S&P. A player's accuracy is how often that player has made correct predictions.

To calculate a player's rating, we take 2/3 of his score percentile and 1/3 of his accuracy percentile. For further information, read the Player Ratings section of the Help page.

Average Pick Score is a player's total score divided by the total number of picks (active and closed). It represents the player's average return after subtracting out the market's performance.

Average Pick Rating is the average stock rating of a player's total picks. Underperform picks are flip-flopped, so a underperform call on a one-star stock is treated like an outperform call on a five-star stock. This rating reflects how closely your picks are aligned with CAPS ratings.

Ratings last updated at 5:42 PM 10/30/2014.

JohnCLeven (73.70)

JohnCLeven lost to the market on Thursday

Player Rating CAPS Rating

73.70

Rank: 19744 out of 75058
Score: 185.57 (-21.94)
Accuracy: 60.00%
Average Pick Score: +1.97
Average Pick Rating:
All-Time Best: WAG +100.99
All-Time Worst: COH -94.27

Score Comparison vs. JohnCLeven

Player History

How are these stats calculated?

JohnCLeven's Latest Blog Post

Recs

13

Regarding IBM

October 20, 2014 – Comments (8) | RELATED TICKERS: IBM

Selling divisions? Buybacks? Controversy?

Boy, oh boy, IBM is taking a beating.

Earnings misses, financial “engineering”, and of course PAYING someone to take a business off your hands...WOW. Talk about a train wreck. (No BNSF pun intended)

Those geezers Buffett AND Munger (see below) have clearly made a HUGE “unforced error” with IBM, one their largest equity investments of all time. 

"I was perfectly OK with it. It's a very Buffett-style play. It's simple. They announced what they were going to do and why they thought it was going to work. You could see how entrenched IBM was in many places, including the Burlington railroad. I think our business experience helps our investment judgment, and vice-versa. ... We've always said that what we like best was owning a wonderful business outright, and second best we like good ideas in securities. That has never changed." – Charlie Munger

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2012/05/08/charlie-mun...

Buffett’s and Munger’s dementia is clearly starting to show. After all, they’re violating their own rule about not investing in tech companies.
I mean, come on, Buffett was recently spotted singing Frank Sinatra to 400 women.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0l66YFP7UG0

Clearly, the man needs to retire, reinstate a proper dividend, and break Berkshire up into smaller parts to “unlock value”, right? 

OR wait…perhaps there’s another possibility?

Maybe, just maybe, the old man and his partner are going to go out with one last big victory for the shareholders.

Maybe, after 50 years of reading IBM annual reports, Buffett sees something that the masses have missed?

Maybe, Buffett happened to notice IBM taking a page from the book of Bill Anders, former General Dynamics CEO. GD sold off/exited unprofitable businesses, and bought back a ton of shares. Berkshire owned GD, and did quite well on that investment, if my memory serves.

General Dynamics was thought to be crazy, selling off this business, and that business. They were “manipulating” their earnings by buying back huge blocks of shares. Surely that can’t be considered “real” growth, can it?

http://www2.wiwi.huberlin.de/institute/hns/material/M_Dial_a...

Maybe, Buffett made a GOOD buy betting $10 billion on IBM at 15x earnings in 2011 @$175ish, and now you can make a FANTASTIC bet today buying IBM at 11.3x earnings in 2014 @ $169ish three years after Buffett, and make an absolute killing.

Maybe, the wisdom of the masses is wrong…again...and Buffett spent the day skipping around Kiewit Plaza happily buying MILLIONS of IBM shares. 

Maybe, just maybe, NOW is the time to be greedy when others are fearful?  [more]

JohnCLeven's Stock Picks

Results 1 - 44 of 44  

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches

Top
Pick
Start
Date
TickerCAPS RatingCallTime FrameStart PriceToday (Change)Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
ScorePitch
09/22/14 XOM Outperform 5Y $96.45 $94.45
( -0.15%)
-2.07%-0.06%-2.02
08/04/14 CBI Outperform 5Y $58.99 $53.99
( -0.04%)
-8.48%+3.38%-11.86
08/04/14 DE Outperform 5Y $84.38 $85.23
( +0.09%)
+1.01%+3.38%-2.36
05/09/14 OMC Outperform 5Y $65.00 $70.76
( +0.94%)
+8.86%+6.53%+2.33
04/09/14 TSLA Underperform 5Y $212.99 $238.66
( +0.24%)
+12.05%+7.35%-4.70 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
03/03/14 TUP Outperform 5Y $77.11 $64.08
( +0.31%)
-16.90%+7.94%-24.85
02/20/14 FB Underperform 5Y $67.08 $74.11
( -2.31%)
+10.49%+8.46%-2.02 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
02/18/14 MAT Outperform 5Y $34.95 $30.81
( -0.23%)
-11.84%+8.14%-19.98 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/12/13 PETM Outperform 5Y $71.79 $72.02
( +0.76%)
+0.32%+12.00%-11.67 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/12/13 BAX Outperform 5Y $65.36 $70.06
( -0.50%)
+7.19%+11.94%-4.74 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/07/13 TWTR Underperform 5Y $47.17 $41.80
( -0.67%)
-11.38%+13.41%+24.80 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/06/13 DVA Outperform 5Y $54.06 $77.62
( +0.32%)
+43.58%+12.67%+30.91 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
08/20/13 MKL Outperform 5Y $516.13 $681.25
( +0.76%)
+31.99%+20.33%+11.66 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
08/13/13 BEN Outperform 5Y $48.05 $54.79
( +0.77%)
+14.02%+17.97%-3.95
07/19/13 MSFT Outperform 5Y $30.30 $46.05
( -1.22%)
+51.97%+18.13%+33.84 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/12/13 ORCL Outperform 5Y $31.13 $38.50
( -0.21%)
+23.67%+19.16%+4.51 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/14/13 WMT Outperform 5Y $72.75 $76.45
( +0.08%)
+5.08%+21.90%-16.82
02/26/13 BP Outperform 5Y $37.70 $43.11
( +0.49%)
+14.36%+33.43%-19.06 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
02/14/13 UNH Outperform 5Y $55.31 $93.88
( +0.99%)
+69.74%+31.06%+38.68 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/22/13 BKE Outperform 5Y $43.11 $48.75
( +0.02%)
+13.09%+34.43%-21.34 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/14/13 FRFHF Outperform 5Y $356.92 $453.89
( -0.35%)
+27.17%+35.73%-8.57
12/20/12 BBBY Outperform 5Y $55.27 $66.94
( +1.64%)
+21.11%+38.06%-16.95 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/09/12 KO Outperform 5Y $34.19 $41.40
( +1.07%)
+21.07%+43.84%-22.77 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/09/12 LUK Outperform 5Y $21.04 $23.19
( +0.04%)
+10.23%+44.09%-33.86
11/09/12 L Outperform 5Y $40.46 $43.10
( +0.09%)
+6.53%+44.19%-37.66 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/09/12 WFC Outperform 5Y $31.03 $52.46
( +0.56%)
+69.06%+44.09%+24.97 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/06/12 CSX Outperform 5Y $19.77 $35.29
( -0.31%)
+78.50%+40.13%+38.37 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/01/12 CSCO Outperform 5Y $17.72 $24.08
( -0.08%)
+35.87%+37.96%-2.09 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/01/12 BK Outperform 5Y $22.11 $37.97
( +0.72%)
+71.74%+37.10%+34.65 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/18/12 VIAB Outperform 5Y $50.41 $72.72
( -0.38%)
+44.26%+36.25%+8.01 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
08/17/12 WU Outperform 5Y $16.49 $16.70
( +1.64%)
+1.27%+40.33%-39.06 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
08/09/12 DVN Outperform 5Y $58.90 $58.30
( -2.39%)
-1.02%+41.86%-42.87
08/09/12 APA Outperform 5Y $86.51 $75.81
( -0.76%)
-12.37%+41.86%-54.23
07/10/12 IBM Outperform 5Y $177.89 $164.35
( +0.54%)
-7.61%+48.86%-56.47 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/02/12 PM Outperform 5Y $80.45 $88.35
( +0.50%)
+9.82%+46.77%-36.95 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/21/12 NPK Outperform 5Y $58.77 $61.54
( +0.80%)
+4.71%+49.16%-44.45 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/08/12 NSC Outperform 5Y $61.84 $109.54
( -1.03%)
+77.14%+51.28%+25.86 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/14/12 MCD Outperform 5Y $84.27 $93.38
( +0.70%)
+10.81%+48.57%-37.76 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/14/12 COH Outperform 5Y $63.26 $34.27
( +1.39%)
-45.83%+48.45%-94.27 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/08/12 DTV Outperform 5Y $46.91 $85.38
( +1.11%)
+82.01%+47.45%+34.56 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/08/12 ACN Outperform 5Y $55.42 $80.62
( +1.35%)
+45.47%+47.43%-1.96 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
03/05/12 NOV Outperform 5Y $55.19 $70.76
( -2.71%)
+28.21%+45.43%-17.22
03/05/12 CVX Outperform 5Y $100.39 $117.20
( +0.05%)
+16.75%+45.43%-28.68 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
03/05/12 BRK-B Outperform 5Y $78.49 $139.54
( -0.32%)
+77.78%+45.43%+32.35 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies

Results 1 - 44 of 44  

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