paizon's rating is 28.15.

Score: -102.29 (37th percentile)
Accuracy: 37.33% (16th percentile)

A member's rating indicates his percentile rank in CAPS. paizon is outperforming 28.15% of all CAPS members. A member's score is the total percentage return of all his picks subtracting out the S&P. A member's accuracy is how often that member has made correct predictions.

To calculate a member's rating, we take 2/3 of his score percentile and 1/3 of his accuracy percentile. For further information, read the Member Ratings section of the Help page.

Average Pick Score is a member's total score divided by the total number of picks (active and closed). It represents the member's average return after subtracting out the market's performance.

Average Pick Rating is the average stock rating of a member's total picks. Underperform picks are flip-flopped, so a underperform call on a one-star stock is treated like an outperform call on a five-star stock. This rating reflects how closely your picks are aligned with CAPS ratings.

Ratings last updated at 5:06 PM 10/7/2008.

paizon

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paizon is beating the market today

Member Rating 28.15	Rank: 44712 out of 62244
	Score: -102.29 (+41.08)
	Accuracy: 37.33%
	Average Pick Score: -1.33
	Average Pick Rating:
	All-Time Best: SPF +70.26
	All-Time Worst: MOS -43.65

Score Comparison vs. paizon

How are these stats calculated?

Personal Info

Caleb D. Mutti
St. Petersburg,

paizon says:
Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable. -Mark Twain

Investing Approach

Risk Tolerance
Experience

Today's Top Scorers		Today's Worst Scorers
MTH	+23.74	ENER	-15.54
BAC	+22.63	LVMUY.PK	-14.55
MER	+10.99	MET	-8.76

Score Leaders

The score leader for a stock is the player who has achieved the highest score for that stock. This includes all picks made by a player (active and ended).

The score leader for each stock is displayed in the upper right of that stock’s page.

Score Leader

N/A

What Are Score Leaders?

paizon's Stock Picks

Results 1 - 54 of 54

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches Collapse All Pitches

Top Pick	Start Date	Ticker	CAPS Rating	Call	Time Frame	Start Price	Today (Change)	Stock Gain	S&P Gain	Score	Pitch
	07/11/08	GOOG			5Y	$536.50	$348.26 (-6.18%)	-35.09%	-19.01%	-16.08
	06/09/08	NX			NS	$16.94	$13.56 (-7.25%)	-19.94%	-27.02%	-7.08
	06/06/08	WLB			NS	$19.18	$9.24 (-8.24%)	-51.82%	-28.76%	-23.07
	06/06/08	TNH			NS	$145.48	$76.65 (-5.49%)	-47.31%	-28.76%	-18.55
	06/02/08	HOV			3M	$7.85	$5.47 (-11.63%)	-30.32%	-28.46%	+1.86
	06/02/08	BRK-B			5Y	$4,484.00	$4,125.00 (-6.04%)	-8.01%	-28.46%	+20.46
	06/02/08	SPF			5Y	$3.11	$4.41 (-7.16%)	+41.80%	-28.46%	+70.26
	06/02/08	MTH			3M	$17.31	$15.01 (-23.81%)	-13.29%	-28.46%	-15.18
	05/30/08	ASTI			5Y	$12.83	$4.56 (-10.06%)	-64.45%	-28.83%	-35.62
	05/30/08	ESLR			NS	$10.48	$3.90 (-14.75%)	-62.79%	-28.77%	-34.01
	05/30/08	SOLF			5Y	$22.37	$7.59 (-15.95%)	-66.07%	-28.77%	-37.30
	05/30/08	AKNS			3Y	$6.63	$3.35 (-2.05%)	-49.47%	-28.77%	-20.70
	05/30/08	MAN			5Y	$62.68	$34.42 (-6.77%)	-45.09%	-28.71%	-16.37
	05/30/08	RIG			NS	$153.93	$80.39 (-9.04%)	-47.77%	-28.69%	-19.08
	05/30/08	DO			NS	$136.90	$80.99 (-8.17%)	-40.84%	-28.69%	-12.15
	05/30/08	ATLS			NS	$45.65	$23.59 (-3.60%)	-48.32%	-28.69%	-19.63
	05/30/08	STO			NS	$38.78	$18.70 (-7.38%)	-51.78%	-28.72%	-23.06
	05/29/08	WMT			1Y	$57.45	$54.84 (-5.28%)	-4.54%	-28.34%	+23.80
	05/29/08	HAL			3M	$48.08	$21.79 (-11.57%)	-54.68%	-28.28%	-26.40
	05/29/08	MER			3M	$43.19	$18.00 (-25.62%)	-58.32%	-28.16%	+30.16
	05/29/08	USB			3M	$32.00	$31.80 (-8.62%)	-0.63%	-28.16%	-27.53
	05/29/08	ITU			1Y	$23.48	$10.92 (-10.42%)	-53.50%	-28.16%	-25.34
	05/29/08	SOV			3M	$8.71	$4.77 (-15.12%)	-45.24%	-28.17%	+17.07
	05/29/08	NCC			3M	$5.78	$2.27 (-11.33%)	-60.71%	-28.17%	+32.54
	05/29/08	RF			3M	$17.40	$10.64 (-12.28%)	-38.86%	-28.17%	+10.69
	05/29/08	BBT			3M	$30.74	$33.89 (-4.83%)	+10.26%	-28.17%	-38.43
	05/29/08	BAC			3M	$32.51	$23.77 (-26.23%)	-26.88%	-28.17%	-1.29
	05/29/08	PNC			3M	$64.24	$69.30 (-8.09%)	+7.87%	-28.17%	-36.04
	05/28/08	ENER			5Y	$55.56	$43.52 (-19.45%)	-21.67%	-28.04%	+6.37
	05/27/08	WFC			3M	$27.34	$30.60 (-9.04%)	+11.93%	-27.41%	-39.34
	05/27/08	JPM			3M	$41.53	$39.32 (-10.64%)	-5.32%	-27.41%	-22.09
	05/27/08	STT			1Y	$69.41	$39.95 (-4.88%)	-42.44%	-27.41%	+15.03
	05/27/08	KEY			3M	$21.56	$10.61 (-10.01%)	-50.79%	-27.41%	+23.38
	05/27/08	CTRN			3M	$19.00	$12.88 (-8.00%)	-32.21%	-27.41%	+4.80
	05/27/08	WB			3M	$24.31	$5.25 (-9.17%)	-78.41%	-27.41%	+51.00
	05/27/08	AIG			3M	$36.33	$3.51 (-9.30%)	-90.34%	-27.41%	+62.93
	05/27/08	STI			3M	$52.01	$45.90 (-7.74%)	-11.74%	-27.41%	-15.67
	05/21/08	PGN			3M	$42.10	$43.05 (-2.60%)	+2.26%	-29.33%	+31.59
	05/20/08	KMX			3Y	$20.91	$10.10 (-7.59%)	-51.70%	-29.24%	-22.46
	05/20/08	NVR			1Y	$574.00	$539.20 (-3.72%)	-6.06%	-29.12%	-23.05
	05/19/08	GM			5Y	$21.28	$7.56 (-10.85%)	-64.47%	-30.54%	-33.93
	05/07/08	V			5Y	$88.70	$51.15 (-7.64%)	-42.34%	-29.54%	-12.80
	05/06/08	BRK-A			5Y	$130,500.00	$124,000.00 (-5.20%)	-4.98%	-28.60%	+23.62
	04/10/08	LVMUY.PK			3Y	$36.50	$21.70 ( 0%)	-40.55%	-26.89%	-13.66
	04/02/08	RAVN			1Y	$31.56	$31.02 (-5.74%)	-1.71%	-27.04%	+25.33
	04/01/08	IACI			5Y	$26.06	$16.95 ( 0%)	-34.96%	-25.17%	-9.79
	03/31/08	HA			1Y	$5.98	$6.79 (-5.96%)	+13.55%	-24.38%	+37.93
	03/31/08	SLB			1Y	$87.88	$65.49 (-5.77%)	-25.48%	-24.10%	-1.37
	03/31/08	MOS			3M	$104.22	$33.91 (-8.75%)	-67.46%	-23.81%	-43.65
	03/31/08	MA			1Y	$217.71	$158.70 (-5.20%)	-27.11%	-24.13%	-2.97
	03/31/08	AAPL			3Y	$143.27	$90.01 (-8.29%)	-37.18%	-23.81%	-13.37
	03/28/08	POT			1Y	$160.07	$86.86 (-0.06%)	-45.73%	-23.81%	-21.92
	03/27/08	MET			1Y	$60.66	$36.87 (-16.81%)	-39.22%	-24.86%	-14.36
	03/27/08	SI			NS	$109.26	$70.47 (-7.04%)	-35.50%	-24.98%	-10.53

Results 1 - 54 of 54

Top Fool

dwot
Rating: 100.00
Score: 7,236.65

Next to cause paid is the alt-a mortgages and the commercial real estate. My guess is 6 years from property bubble burst to bottom, only 3 year into it now, Florida burst in 2005.