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SpecBear's rating is 100.00.

  • Score: 9522.51 (100th percentile)
  • Accuracy: 81.82% (100th percentile)

A member's rating indicates his percentile rank in CAPS. SpecBear is outperforming 100.00% of all CAPS members. A member's score is the total percentage return of all his picks subtracting out the S&P. A member's accuracy is how often that member has made correct predictions.

To calculate a member's rating, we take 2/3 of his score percentile and 1/3 of his accuracy percentile. For further information, read the Member Ratings section of the Help page.

Average Pick Score is a member's total score divided by the total number of picks (active and closed). It represents the member's average return after subtracting out the market's performance.

Average Pick Rating is the average stock rating of a member's total picks. Underperform picks are flip-flopped, so a underperform call on a one-star stock is treated like an outperform call on a five-star stock. This rating reflects how closely your picks are aligned with CAPS ratings.

Ratings last updated at 11:52 AM 10/13/2008.

SpecBear

Lucky Charms Underdog Blogger Best Returns 5+ Helpful Pitches Top Fool Club Popular 100 in 100 All Star Score Leader Most Helpful Pitcher Score Club 100 Bankruptcy Skeptic
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SpecBear is losing to the market today

Member Rating CAPS Rating

100.00

 Rank: 3 out of 62528
Score: 9,522.51 (-116.06)
Accuracy: 81.82%
Average Pick Score: +19.88
Average Pick Rating:
All-Time Best: RNO.DL +130.76
All-Time Worst: BIDU -205.75

Score Comparison vs. SpecBear

Member History

How are these stats calculated?

SpecBear's Latest Blog Post

Recs

37

Mission Accomplished

October 03, 2008 – Comments (11) | RELATED TICKERS: BF-A , MO

Monday, September 29, 2008: Bailout bill voted down in the House
S&P 500 close: 1106.39

Friday, October 3, 2008: Bailout bill passed, signed into law
S&P 500 close: 1099.23

Like I said before, the crash will happen regardless of whether the bailout happens.  

SpecBear's Stock Picks

Results 1 - 75 of 138 :   1 2 Next »

picks per page. CHANGE

Top
Pick		Start
Date		TickerCAPS RatingCallTime FrameStart
Price		Today (Change)Stock
Gain		S&P
Gain		ScorePitch
10/08/08 MER Underperform NS $17.17$16.62
(+5.52%)		-3.03%-7.05%-4.03
10/08/08 NCC Underperform NS $2.39$2.17
(+8.50%)		-7.95%-6.60%+1.35
10/08/08 XL Underperform NS $8.99$6.85
(+26.15%)		-23.25%-6.60%+16.65
10/08/08 CORS Underperform NS $3.09$3.05
(-4.09%)		-3.24%-6.60%-3.36
10/08/08 WB Underperform NS $5.39$5.37
(+4.27%)		-0.65%-6.60%-5.94
10/08/08 SNE Underperform NS $24.45$23.85
(+13.46%)		-3.11%-6.60%-3.49
10/08/08 AGO Underperform NS $11.10$11.45
(+11.71%)		+1.44%-6.60%-8.04
10/08/08 FIG Underperform NS $6.58$4.68
(+17.00%)		-28.57%-6.60%+21.98
10/08/08 NLY Underperform NS $13.92$12.65
(-2.69%)		-8.55%-6.58%+1.97
09/19/08 AMED Underperform NS $50.53$48.88
(+9.16%)		-5.32%-23.99%-18.67
09/19/08 ZION Underperform NS $49.63$31.44
(-5.78%)		-37.44%-24.01%+13.43
08/20/08 FED Underperform 5Y $10.87$8.90
(+9.47%)		-19.32%-25.55%-6.23
07/28/08 NVR Underperform 5Y $546.00$547.03
(+2.25%)		-0.51%-24.57%-24.06
07/18/08 PNC Underperform 5Y $64.02$65.87
(-3.13%)		+4.51%-24.66%-29.18
07/18/08 STI Underperform 5Y $33.26$34.04
(-6.48%)		+7.42%-24.66%-32.08
07/10/08 CTX Underperform 5Y $12.74$10.03
(-2.15%)		-19.17%-24.22%-5.06
07/10/08 BAC Underperform 5Y $21.69$22.02
(+5.51%)		+1.52%-24.22%-25.74
07/03/08 FITB Underperform 5Y $10.54$10.35
(-0.48%)		-0.99%-25.52%-24.52
07/03/08 LEN Underperform 5Y $11.28$9.62
(-0.93%)		-13.86%-25.52%-11.66
07/03/08 UBS Underperform 5Y $20.49$16.75
(+9.47%)		-18.89%-25.52%-6.63
07/02/08 HBAN Underperform 5Y $5.66$7.41
(+0.27%)		+32.87%-25.06%-57.93
07/02/08 DB Underperform 5Y $86.65$47.38
(+3.72%)		-46.30%-25.62%+20.68
07/01/08 CIT Underperform 5Y $8.43$4.52
(-2.59%)		-44.98%-26.05%+18.94
05/22/08 USNA Underperform 5Y $24.07$42.80
(+2.17%)		+77.54%-32.24%-109.79
03/19/08 CS Underperform NS $48.93$38.91
(+21.59%)		-26.08%-28.53%-2.45
03/19/08 HBC Underperform NS $77.25$73.77
(+7.71%)		-5.60%-28.53%-22.93
03/07/08 REFR Underperform 5Y $6.20$4.27
(+3.64%)		-30.81%-27.01%+3.80
03/07/08 C Underperform NS $20.50$15.06
(+6.73%)		-25.12%-27.01%-1.89
03/07/08 UTEK Underperform 5Y $9.01$10.89
(+3.81%)		+19.59%-27.18%-46.77
01/14/08 RTH Underperform 5Y $87.14$74.34
(+4.40%)		-14.99%-32.93%-17.94
01/14/08 XLF Underperform 5Y $27.62$15.25
(+0.99%)		-45.08%-32.93%+12.15
12/18/07 SKF Outperform 5Y $99.33$146.96
(-6.99%)		+49.15%-34.83%+83.98
12/12/07 KRC Underperform 5Y $53.73$37.58
(-2.24%)		-30.80%-36.31%-5.51
12/12/07 RSC Underperform 5Y $15.38$8.72
(+1.40%)		-44.67%-36.31%+8.35
12/12/07 KBH Underperform 5Y $21.08$15.61
(-1.51%)		-26.15%-36.31%-10.17
12/12/07 DDR Underperform 5Y $40.24$18.88
(-0.63%)		-53.56%-36.31%+17.24
12/12/07 VNO Underperform 5Y $87.70$74.02
(-5.38%)		-15.59%-36.31%-20.73
12/12/07 VLCM Underperform 5Y $26.20$12.75
(+0.87%)		-51.30%-36.31%+14.98
12/12/07 PHM Underperform 5Y $10.88$11.39
(+1.15%)		+4.80%-36.31%-41.12
12/12/07 FSLR Underperform 5Y $241.89$134.94
(+14.89%)		-44.60%-36.24%+8.36
11/12/07 AMZN Underperform 5Y $78.26$58.43
(+3.88%)		-25.64%-34.43%-8.79
11/05/07 SRS Outperform 5Y $103.91$113.40
(+0.08%)		+10.64%-36.37%+47.01
10/24/07 FULT Underperform 5Y $11.55$9.90
(-1.00%)		-15.01%-36.31%-21.30
10/18/07 LOW Underperform 5Y $26.86$18.96
(+5.92%)		-29.38%-38.09%-8.71
10/03/07 GOOG Underperform 1Y $584.05$358.66
(+8.03%)		-39.01%-38.04%+0.97
10/03/07 AAPL Underperform 5Y $157.72$104.29
(+7.74%)		-34.16%-38.04%-3.88
09/25/07 MTH Underperform 5Y $15.14$15.22
(+8.71%)		+0.73%-37.06%-37.79
09/25/07 HD Underperform 5Y $31.94$20.88
(+5.72%)		-34.79%-37.06%-2.27
09/25/07 TOL Underperform 5Y $19.86$19.98
(-1.87%)		+0.50%-37.06%-37.56
09/25/07 RYL Underperform 5Y $21.65$19.67
(-1.21%)		-9.45%-37.06%-27.61
09/06/07 BX Underperform 5Y $20.71$8.70
(+8.89%)		-58.05%-35.78%+22.27
09/06/07 USG Underperform 5Y $37.72$20.75
(+3.23%)		-45.28%-35.78%+9.50
09/06/07 MDC Underperform 5Y $42.14$32.26
(+2.64%)		-23.78%-35.78%-12.01
09/06/07 MTEX Underperform 5Y $6.97$3.80
(+3.83%)		-45.74%-35.78%+9.95
09/06/07 DHI Underperform 5Y $14.21$8.59
(+0.70%)		-39.78%-35.72%+4.06
09/06/07 STT Underperform 5Y $60.86$44.74
(+3.56%)		-26.62%-35.65%-9.02
08/06/07 IFC Underperform 5Y $9.32$2.87
(+42.79%)		-69.32%-34.13%+35.19
08/02/07 HRB Underperform 5Y $19.52$19.14
(+10.13%)		-2.96%-35.13%-32.17
08/02/07 CRM Underperform 5Y $39.99$34.85
(+7.03%)		-13.00%-35.13%-22.12
08/01/07 SDS Outperform 1Y $53.14$99.39
(-10.36%)		+87.94%-34.42%+122.36
08/01/07 SH