StockMarketBeat's rating is 81.36.

Score: 60.64 (74th percentile)
Accuracy: 57.35% (90th percentile)

A member's rating indicates his percentile rank in CAPS. StockMarketBeat is outperforming 81.36% of all CAPS members. A member's score is the total percentage return of all his picks subtracting out the S&P. A member's accuracy is how often that member has made correct predictions.

To calculate a member's rating, we take 2/3 of his score percentile and 1/3 of his accuracy percentile. For further information, read the Member Ratings section of the Help page.

Average Pick Score is a member's total score divided by the total number of picks (active and closed). It represents the member's average return after subtracting out the market's performance.

Average Pick Rating is the average stock rating of a member's total picks. Underperform picks are flip-flopped, so a underperform call on a one-star stock is treated like an outperform call on a five-star stock. This rating reflects how closely your picks are aligned with CAPS ratings.

Ratings last updated at 5:06 PM 10/10/2008.

StockMarketBeat

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StockMarketBeat beat the market on Friday

Member Rating 81.36	Rank: 11638 out of 62443
	Score: 60.64 (+23.29)
	Accuracy: 57.35%
	Average Pick Score: +0.84
	Average Pick Rating:
	All-Time Best: WDC +50.62
	All-Time Worst: FSLR -103.16

Score Comparison vs. StockMarketBeat

How are these stats calculated?

Personal Info

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StockMarketBeat says:
Stock Market Beat editor William A. Trent, CFA, has been an equity analyst since 1996 and is co-author of Understanding and Evaluating Prospectuses, Offering Documents, and Proxy Statements.

Investing Approach

Risk Tolerance
Experience

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Friday's Top Scorers		Friday's Worst Scorers
AAPL	+6.99	HOG	-6.17
ANSS	+5.41	DNA	-6.17
COH	+5.38	CTSH	-5.22

Score Leaders

The score leader for a stock is the player who has achieved the highest score for that stock. This includes all picks made by a player (active and ended).

The score leader for each stock is displayed in the upper right of that stock’s page.

Score Leader

N/A

What Are Score Leaders?

StockMarketBeat's Stock Picks

Results 1 - 42 of 42

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches Collapse All Pitches

Top Pick	Start Date	Ticker	CAPS Rating	Call	Time Frame	Start Price	Today (Change)	Stock Gain	S&P Gain	Score	Pitch
	04/03/08	TECD			1Y	$32.61	$22.57 (-3.34%)	-30.79%	-34.97%	-4.19
	04/03/08	CL			1Y	$77.03	$60.75 (-4.38%)	-21.13%	-34.97%	+13.84
	04/03/08	IM			1Y	$15.94	$12.81 (-2.06%)	-19.64%	-34.97%	+15.34
	03/31/08	ANSS			3Y	$34.48	$28.61 (+4.72%)	-17.02%	-32.96%	+15.94
	03/28/08	HOG			NS	$37.52	$29.54 (+6.07%)	-21.27%	-33.00%	-11.73
	03/28/08	BMC			NS	$32.56	$25.11 (+1.01%)	-22.88%	-33.00%	+10.12
	03/28/08	HRB			NS	$20.75	$17.38 (+3.08%)	-16.25%	-33.00%	-16.75
	03/28/08	F			NS	$5.64	$1.99 (-4.33%)	-64.72%	-33.00%	+31.72
	03/28/08	TLB			NS	$10.13	$9.00 (-3.02%)	-11.14%	-33.00%	+21.86
	03/19/08	OVTI			3M	$17.85	$7.98 (-4.09%)	-55.29%	-33.45%	-21.84
	03/17/08	TPX			1Y	$10.80	$8.29 (+4.28%)	-23.22%	-30.69%	+7.47
	03/17/08	RSH			1Y	$15.05	$15.02 (+2.32%)	-0.20%	-30.69%	+30.49
	03/12/08	MGM			1Y	$63.91	$16.80 (+3.32%)	-73.71%	-33.60%	+40.11
	03/11/08	NTY			1Y	$28.25	$26.43 (-2.51%)	-6.44%	-32.30%	-25.86
	03/05/08	FDX			1Y	$90.39	$68.36 (+2.34%)	-24.37%	-33.77%	-9.40
	03/05/08	UPS			1Y	$70.33	$51.70 (-2.45%)	-26.49%	-33.77%	+7.28
	03/03/08	DF			1Y	$22.13	$19.77 (+0.51%)	-10.66%	-33.28%	-22.62
	02/28/08	LEE			1Y	$10.94	$2.75 (-2.14%)	-74.87%	-35.51%	-39.36
	02/26/08	FTO			1Y	$36.88	$9.76 (-1.71%)	-73.54%	-35.33%	-38.21
	02/22/08	HSY			1Y	$36.12	$34.50 (-1.00%)	-4.49%	-34.43%	+29.94
	02/19/08	CTSH			1Y	$33.43	$17.36 (+7.49%)	-48.07%	-35.25%	+12.82
	02/15/08	ADSK			1Y	$38.29	$24.20 (-4.16%)	-36.80%	-34.18%	-2.62
	02/13/08	HEW			1Y	$38.90	$29.71 (-3.38%)	-23.62%	-34.93%	-11.31
	02/12/08	GOOG			3Y	$528.31	$332.00 (+0.92%)	-37.16%	-34.99%	-2.17
	02/07/08	IBM			3Y	$101.49	$87.75 (-1.40%)	-13.54%	-33.55%	+20.02
	02/06/08	COH			NS	$30.66	$18.35 (+6.69%)	-40.15%	-34.37%	-5.78
	02/06/08	CCL			NS	$40.03	$28.02 (+0.36%)	-29.99%	-34.37%	+4.38
	02/05/08	HANS			NS	$39.00	$24.82 (+6.16%)	-36.36%	-34.82%	-1.54
	10/16/07	INTC			1Y	$25.15	$15.19 (-2.63%)	-39.60%	-42.69%	+3.09
	09/19/07	ODP			3Y	$20.00	$2.92 (+3.55%)	-85.40%	-42.31%	-43.09
	09/18/07	YHOO			1Y	$24.68	$12.29 (-2.85%)	-50.20%	-40.68%	+9.52
	08/06/07	ADBE			1Y	$39.16	$27.12 (-3.11%)	-30.75%	-38.04%	+7.30
	08/02/07	SBUX			1Y	$27.70	$11.08 (+0.64%)	-60.00%	-39.70%	-20.30
	07/31/07	SPN			1Y	$39.85	$16.76 (-4.61%)	-57.94%	-40.34%	-17.61
	07/27/07	YRCW			NS	$35.44	$6.70 (+5.02%)	-81.09%	-40.29%	-40.81
	07/26/07	AAPL			1Y	$145.91	$96.80 (+9.08%)	-33.66%	-41.07%	+7.42
	07/26/07	WFR			NS	$59.75	$22.00 (-2.57%)	-63.18%	-41.07%	-22.11
	07/25/07	CHRW			3Y	$51.49	$41.39 (+3.79%)	-19.62%	-41.78%	+22.17
	07/25/07	PLT			1Y	$27.71	$16.43 (+4.65%)	-40.71%	-41.78%	+1.08
	07/18/07	FLS			1Y	$73.89	$56.32 (-7.70%)	-23.78%	-42.62%	+18.84
	07/16/07	DNA			3Y	$75.69	$73.00 (-7.30%)	-3.55%	-42.90%	+39.35
	07/16/07	LSTR			5Y	$50.54	$37.96 (+4.83%)	-24.90%	-42.90%	+18.00

Results 1 - 42 of 42

Top Fool

dwot
Rating: 100.00
Score: 7,089.47

Next to cause pain is the alt-a mortgages and the commercial real estate. My guess is 6 years from property bubble burst to bottom, only 3 year into it now, Florida burst in 2005.