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TMFPencils's rating is 99.81.

  • Score: 11315.74 (100th percentile)
  • Accuracy: 71.28% (99th percentile)

A player's rating indicates his percentile rank in CAPS. TMFPencils is outperforming 99.81% of all CAPS players. A player's score is the total percentage return of all his picks subtracting out the S&P. A player's accuracy is how often that player has made correct predictions.

To calculate a player's rating, we take 2/3 of his score percentile and 1/3 of his accuracy percentile. For further information, read the Player Ratings section of the Help page.

Average Pick Score is a player's total score divided by the total number of picks (active and closed). It represents the player's average return after subtracting out the market's performance.

Average Pick Rating is the average stock rating of a player's total picks. Underperform picks are flip-flopped, so a underperform call on a one-star stock is treated like an outperform call on a five-star stock. This rating reflects how closely your picks are aligned with CAPS ratings.

Ratings last updated at 5:41 PM 12/19/2014.

TMFPencils lost to the market on Friday

Player Rating CAPS Rating

99.81

Rank: 145 out of 75070
Score: 11,315.74 (-15.85)
Accuracy: 71.28%
Average Pick Score: +28.58
Average Pick Rating:
All-Time Best: NFLX +1079.78
All-Time Worst: HKTV -902.88

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TMFPencils's Latest Blog Post

Recs

8

GoPro on CAPS

November 24, 2014 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: GPRO , SNE , GRMN

Submitted a CAPS pitch for GoPro today: http://caps.fool.com/Pitch/GPRO/7271742/going-against-the-gr...

Going against the grain here. I think people are underestimating GoPro's brand power, vision, and overall social following. This is, in my opinion, the strongest brand we've seen in consumer electronics since Apple. A few reasons I am optimistic: 

** Nick Woodman, founder and CEO who owns 42.5% (even after selling a portion of his stake at the IPO and secondary following) of the company. It isn't often you have a successful, invested, visionary, and downright passionate leader like Woodman. Not someone I would ever feel comfortable betting against. Also, one of his entrepreneurial principles is "evolve or die" -- GoPro will look much different in 3-5 years as a company. 

** More than a camera. GoPro's cameras, software, and media components represent an entire ecosystem. The company's massive and growing social following is, and will continue to be (in my opinion), the envy of struggling electronics businesses like Polaroid, Sony, and Garmin. What GoPro has will be VERY difficult for anyone else to replicate, just as it has essentially proven impossible for companies to meaningfully penetrate Apple's brand power. 

** Strong financials. After the recent secondary offering, GoPro has close to $350 million in cash with no debt. The company is producing positive free cash flow as well. Very strong financial position for a company growing as fast as GoPro. 

** Record camera sales. The 3Q 2014 represented the first quarter -- outside of the fourth quarter -- that GoPro sold more than one million cameras. The new HERO4 cameras and entry-level HERO should make this holiday season -- and early 2015 -- a great couple quarters for GoPro. This is coming without much focus on international expansion, which represents a huge opportunity for the company. 

** The media strategy is for real. People are quick to write off the media strategy, but GoPro is quickly hiring some impressive names to take the media component of the business to the next level. Tony Bates -- who comes from Microsoft/Skype, LoveFilm, and YouTube -- joined GoPro as president this year to head up the media segment. Zander Lurie -- who comes from CNET and CBS -- just joined as a SVP. The media strategy is still developing, but the cash coming in from camera sales gives the company plenty of time to continue developing the media segment. 

These are just a few of the reasons I think people are underestimating GoPro. Nick Woodman, from what I can tell, is the rare combination of a young (39 years old), invested, passionate, and visionary leader. GoPro is changing how the world communicates by helping people capture and share their passions. GoPro is a social brand, not just a camera company. 

I'm sure the stock will be volatile in the short term, but I also don't think the stock is as massively overvalued as people think. The company has more than $1 billion in sales and is growing the top line at a 40%+ clip (generating positive and increasing free cash flow in the process). This ride will likely have some bumps -- what fun would it be if it didn't? -- but I believe GoPro will be a $20 billion+ company in five years. 

Outperform. Let's check back in 2019 and see how I did with this call.

This will be interesting! 

David K  [more]

TMFPencils's Stock Picks

Results 1 - 75 of 161 :   1 2 3 Next »

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches

Top
Pick
Start
Date
TickerCAPS RatingCallTime FrameStart PriceToday (Change)Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
ScorePitch
12/11/14 SNCR Outperform 5Y $40.91 $42.56
( +0.14%)
+4.03%+0.37%+3.66 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/28/14 CLB Outperform 5Y $127.23 $122.26
( +2.58%)
-3.90%-0.58%-3.33 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/24/14 GPRO Outperform 5Y $71.87 $53.90
( -5.59%)
-25.00%-0.27%-24.73 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/18/14 TRIP Outperform 5Y $69.69 $75.65
( +0.77%)
+8.55%+0.64%+7.91 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/22/14 CSLT Underperform 1Y $11.01 $11.61
( -2.44%)
+5.45%+6.67%+1.22 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/17/14 MA Outperform 5Y $71.05 $86.44
( -0.55%)
+21.66%+9.78%+11.89 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/06/14 RSH Underperform 5Y $0.99 $0.38
( +17.72%)
-61.82%+4.65%+66.47 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/29/14 NDLS Underperform 1Y $18.59 $26.03
( -0.88%)
+40.02%+5.26%-34.76 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/25/14 ANET Outperform 5Y $84.77 $66.53
( -0.36%)
-21.52%+4.94%-26.46 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/16/14 TWTR Outperform 5Y $50.66 $37.08
( +0.95%)
-26.81%+3.59%-30.40 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/31/14 AWAY Outperform 3Y $35.32 $29.79
( +3.12%)
-15.66%+5.56%-21.22 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/25/14 CYNK Underperform 5Y $3.20 $0.05
( 0%)
-98.44%+4.26%+102.69 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/16/07 06/16/14 HAIN Outperform 5Y $29.05 $116.50
( -0.64%)
+301.03%+44.78%+256.25 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
07/14/06 06/16/14 WFM Outperform 5Y $26.84 $48.80
( -0.33%)
+81.84%+78.43%+3.41 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/13/14 CVT Outperform 5Y $26.10 $27.38
( -2.87%)
+4.90%+6.49%-1.59 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/10/14 DVA Outperform 5Y $71.47 $75.94
( +0.98%)
+6.25%+5.71%+0.55 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/05/14 MKTX Outperform 5Y $51.00 $71.54
( -0.96%)
+40.29%+6.89%+33.40 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
06/03/14 KORS Outperform 5Y $93.98 $74.61
( +0.43%)
-20.61%+7.31%-27.92 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/23/14 SALE Outperform 5Y $24.50 $14.99
( +1.28%)
-38.82%+8.84%-47.65 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/19/14 WETF Outperform 5Y $9.70 $14.59
( -3.57%)
+50.41%+10.03%+40.38 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/14/14 UA Outperform 5Y $47.88 $69.09
( -2.61%)
+44.29%+8.93%+35.36 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
05/12/14 UBNT Outperform 3Y $31.10 $30.82
( -8.44%)
-0.90%+9.41%-10.31 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
03/27/14 FB Outperform 5Y $60.96 $79.88
( +1.89%)
+31.04%+11.84%+19.20 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
03/12/14 Z Outperform 5Y $80.38 $108.90
( +1.44%)
+35.48%+10.88%+24.60 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
03/12/14 LNKD Outperform 5Y $199.68 $234.61
( +1.19%)
+17.49%+10.88%+6.61 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
02/26/14 SHLO Outperform 5Y $19.43 $14.39
( -1.37%)
-25.94%+11.82%-37.76 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
02/18/14 PRLB Outperform 5Y $82.14 $65.71
( -3.64%)
-20.00%+12.14%-32.14
02/07/14 AMZN Outperform 5Y $352.86 $299.90
( +0.73%)
-15.01%+16.03%-31.04
02/06/14 AFOP Outperform 3Y $11.91 $14.14
( -3.42%)
+18.74%+16.93%+1.81 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/22/14 NGVC Outperform 5Y $41.83 $26.39
( -0.26%)
-36.90%+12.07%-48.97 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/21/14 STMP Outperform 5Y $38.39 $47.22
( -1.62%)
+23.00%+11.81%+11.19 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/21/14 OLED Outperform 5Y $33.65 $27.63
( +0.56%)
-17.89%+12.69%-30.57 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/17/14 TSLA Outperform 5Y $169.38 $219.29
( +0.47%)
+29.46%+12.15%+17.31 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/16/14 ISRG Outperform 5Y $416.43 $531.96
( +1.61%)
+27.74%+12.03%+15.71
01/15/14 SSYS Outperform 5Y $120.10 $81.15
( +3.19%)
-32.43%+12.19%-44.62
12/26/13 PII Outperform 5Y $141.15 $148.54
( +0.01%)
+5.24%+12.64%-7.41 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/24/13 INVN Outperform 5Y $17.33 $15.32
( -1.29%)
-11.60%+12.91%-24.51 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/24/13 AMBA Outperform 5Y $28.49 $47.85
( -1.46%)
+67.96%+12.91%+55.05 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/24/13 SCTY Outperform 5Y $56.35 $54.80
( +1.95%)
-2.75%+12.99%-15.74 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/23/13 SODA Outperform 5Y $52.44 $20.72
( +0.73%)
-60.49%+13.18%-73.67 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/23/13 ULTA Outperform 5Y $95.17 $129.22
( -0.37%)
+35.78%+13.22%+22.56 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/02/13 DPZ Outperform 5Y $67.79 $95.69
( +1.31%)
+41.15%+14.00%+27.14 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
12/02/13 MELI Outperform NS $110.00 $128.50
( +0.29%)
+16.81%+14.04%+2.77
11/19/13 FF Outperform NS $16.52 $13.16
( +2.41%)
-20.33%+15.03%-35.36
11/19/13 LNN Outperform NS $79.51 $84.17
( -0.12%)
+5.86%+15.03%-9.17
11/05/13 BOFI Outperform 5Y $62.01 $79.63
( -0.83%)
+28.41%+17.25%+11.17
11/05/13 CPSI Outperform 5Y $57.42 $60.77
( -0.26%)
+5.83%+17.25%-11.42
11/04/13 CECE Outperform 5Y $17.58 $14.65
( -0.68%)
-16.68%+16.89%-33.58 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/29/13 DORM Outperform 5Y $48.90 $47.30
( -0.76%)
-3.27%+16.73%-20.00 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/25/13 DDD Outperform 5Y $57.98 $31.71
( -0.22%)
-45.31%+17.67%-62.98 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
10/24/13 NATH Outperform 5Y $51.50 $77.88
( -1.69%)
+51.22%+18.07%+33.16
10/23/13 LGF Outperform 5Y $36.35 $31.27
( -1.94%)
-13.98%+18.14%-32.12 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
09/04/13 BRK-B Outperform 5Y $112.07 $151.56
( -0.73%)
+35.24%+24.55%+10.69
01/25/13 JBSS Outperform 5Y $17.84 $45.85
( -2.05%)
+157.07%+37.76%+119.31
01/25/13 SPB Outperform 5Y $48.27 $96.74
( +1.09%)
+100.43%+37.76%+62.67
01/25/13 YHOO Outperform 5Y $20.32 $50.88
( -0.06%)
+150.39%+38.02%+112.38
01/22/13 CL Outperform 5Y $52.10 $69.98
( +0.72%)
+34.32%+38.73%-4.42
01/22/13 COST Outperform 5Y $99.49 $141.77
( +0.15%)
+42.49%+38.73%+3.76
01/22/13 FDP Outperform 5Y $25.33 $31.90
( +0.47%)
+25.92%+39.23%-13.31
07/26/10 IMAX Outperform NS $14.05 $29.99
( +1.32%)
+113.45%+86.73%+26.73 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
04/28/08 ARII Outperform 5Y $19.44 $51.53
( +0.04%)
+165.13%+52.96%+112.17 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
04/17/08 PRPX Outperform 5Y $11.34 $11.79
( 0%)
+3.93%+57.09%-53.16 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/14/08 SNHY Outperform 5Y $11.66 $38.02
( +0.88%)
+226.14%+52.48%+173.67 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
01/03/08 CCJ Outperform 5Y $37.76 $16.44
( +1.80%)
-56.46%+48.52%-104.99 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/23/07 LNDC Outperform 5Y $11.80 $13.00
( -11.44%)
+10.17%+51.23%-41.06
11/13/07 CRESY Outperform 5Y $18.74 $10.23
( +1.89%)
-45.42%+48.84%-94.26
11/12/07 ARDNA Outperform 5Y $103.44 $126.38
( 0%)
+22.17%+49.00%-26.83 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
11/12/07 MRT Outperform 5Y $12.79 $6.89
( 0%)
-46.13%+49.00%-95.13
11/12/07 ZUMZ Outperform 5Y $26.00 $37.31
( -1.63%)
+43.50%+49.00%-5.50
10/29/07 FCX Outperform 5Y $47.28 $23.40
( +2.54%)
-50.51%+40.57%-91.07
10/22/07 AKO-A Outperform 5Y $16.65 $14.52
( +0.48%)
-12.77%+45.35%-58.12
09/28/07 TSCO Outperform 5Y $10.99 $76.38
( -1.45%)
+595.24%+41.56%+553.67
09/24/07 FLO Outperform 5Y $8.18 $19.18
( +0.89%)
+134.43%+41.96%+92.47
08/03/07 JMBA Outperform NS $37.55 $14.14
( -0.14%)
-62.34%+47.60%-109.95
07/25/07 LOOP Outperform 5Y $22.97 $19.17
( 0%)
-16.54%+43.39%-59.93 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies

Results 1 - 75 of 161 :   1 2 3 Next »

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