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wax's rating is 96.73.

  • Score: 2457.37 (90th percentile)
  • Accuracy: 60.81% (93rd percentile)

A player's rating indicates his percentile rank in CAPS. wax is outperforming 96.73% of all CAPS players. A player's score is the total percentage return of all his picks subtracting out the S&P. A player's accuracy is how often that player has made correct predictions.

To calculate a player's rating, we take 2/3 of his score percentile and 1/3 of his accuracy percentile. For further information, read the Player Ratings section of the Help page.

Average Pick Score is a player's total score divided by the total number of picks (active and closed). It represents the player's average return after subtracting out the market's performance.

Average Pick Rating is the average stock rating of a player's total picks. Underperform picks are flip-flopped, so a underperform call on a one-star stock is treated like an outperform call on a five-star stock. This rating reflects how closely your picks are aligned with CAPS ratings.

Ratings last updated at 5:41 PM 2/24/2017.

wax (96.73)

wax lost to the market on Friday

Player Rating CAPS Rating

96.73

Rank: 2440 out of 74626
Score: 2,457.37 (-44.97)
Accuracy: 60.81%
Average Pick Score: +31.91
Average Pick Rating:
All-Time Best: DORM +937.42
All-Time Worst: LAYN -154.19

Score Comparison vs. wax

Player History

How are these stats calculated?

wax's Latest Blog Post

Recs

0

The Wax Report - Week Ending 02/24/2017

February 25, 2017 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: CE , CMI , IR

The shabbily managed Wax Ink Portfolio was down 0.7% for the week.

By comparison, the Dow was up 1.0%, the Nasdaq was up 0.1%, the S&P 500 was up 0.7%, the Russell 2000 was down 0.5%, and the Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, was down 0.2%.

With 309 days remaining in 2017, the Wax Ink portfolio is down 0.2%, the Dow is up 5.4%, the Nasdaq is up 8.6%, the S&P 500 is up 5.7%, the Russell 2000 is up 2.6%, and the VIX is lower by 18.3%.

Portfolio Summary
The portfolio breakdown is roughly 52% cash, 48% equities, and 0% bonds. The current value of portfolio cash on a per share basis is $25.41 and the current value of portfolio equities on a per share basis is $22.91, making the average per share price $48.32.

The average baseline valuation estimate of all equities currently held in the Wax Ink Portfolio is $30.62 and the average market closing price of all equities held in the Wax Ink Portfolio is $25.51, making the current portfolio growth potential factor 16.7%.

Hydrocarbon Prices
WTI Crude ended the week at $53.99, up 1.1%, while Brent Crude ended the week at $55.99, up 0.3%, creating a crude price spread of $2.00, a decrease of 17.0%. Distillate RBOB Gasoline ended the week at $1.5148, down 0.1%, and Heating Oil ended the week at $1.6404, up 0.2%, moving the Gulf Coast 3:2:1 Crack Spread (two barrels of gasoline + one barrel of heating oil – three barrels of crude oil) / 3) to $11.39, a decrease of 4.8% for the week. Natural Gas ended the week at $2.79, down 1.4%.

Year to date WTI Crude is higher by 0.5%, Brent Crude is lower by 1.5%, Natural Gas is lower by 25.0%, RBOB Gasoline is lower by 9.3%, Heating Oil is lower by 5.1%, and the Gulf Coast 3:2:1 Crack Spread is lower by 34.0%.

Treasury and Bond Yields
The 5 Year Treasury ended the week at 1.78, down 5.3%, while the 10 Year Treasury ended the week at 2.29, down 4.6%. The 5 Year AAA Municipal Bond ended the week at 1.25, down 11.3%, and the 10 Year AAA Municipal Bond ended the week at 2.07, down 10.0%. Lastly, the 5 Year AAA Corporate closed the week at 1.97, down 3.4%, with the 10 Year AAA Corporate ending the week down 2.6% at 2.96.

Year to date the 5 Year Treasury is down 5.8%, the 10 Year Treasury is down 5.4%, the 5 Year AAA Muni is down 29%, the 10 year AAA Muni is down 19.1%, the 5 Year AAA Corporate is down 4.4%, and the 10 Year AAA Corporate is down 2.3%.

Fair Warning
I am a deep value, long-term buy and hold investor with a minimum holding time for shares in the Wax Ink portfolio of 60 months (1825 days).

Disclosure
I have no position in any stock mentioned in this report.

As companies file their latest SEC 10-K information, I will be updating my baseline valuation worksheets, so expect to see changes in the average per share baseline valuation numbers over the coming few weeks.

Baseline Valuation Estimates and Worksheets
Baseline Valuation Estimates are initial valuations which Accredited Investors, after completing their own due diligence, can either increase or decrease in accordance with their individual risk tolerance or investing philosophy.

Financial data used in the creation of each Baseline Valuation Estimate is the most recent SEC 10-K ANNUAL financial data as reported to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Archived worksheets may be downloaded by going to the Worksheets page at the site and selecting an industry which will move you to all of the worksheets I have updated for the selected industry.

Worksheets
Worksheets were either created or updated during the week for the following companies.

Celanese Corporation (NYSE: CE) - FYE 12/2016
E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company (NYSE: CE) - FYE 12/2016
Cummins, Inc. (NYSE: CE) - FYE 12/2016
Ingersoll-Rand Company, Ltd. (NYSE: IR) - FYE 12/2016

Baseline Valuation Estimates
Baseline valuation estimates are determined through fundamental analysis of the listed company's most recent annual financial information. Because these valuations are never exact, what is presented here is a baseline valuation range. Baseline valuation estimates were either created or updated during the week for the following companies:

Celanese Corporation - $54
E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company - $37
Cummins, Inc. - $88
Ingersoll-Rand Company, Ltd. - $51

Current Growth Estimates
Current growth estimates are determined utilizing current pricing levels, year over year earnings growth, dividend yield, the current PE ratio, and an earnings growth estimate. Because current growth estimates are EXTREMELY volatile, what is presented here is a single current growth estimate. Current growth estimates were either created or updated during the week for the following companies:

Celanese Corporation - $108
E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company - $78
Cummins, Inc. - $149
Ingersoll-Rand Company, Ltd. - $96

Current Momentum Estimates
Current Momentum estimates are determined by utilizing current pricing levels, current earnings, year over year earnings growth, estimated future earnings growth, and current bond yields. The use of future anything makes the estimate result EXTREMELY volatile. Current Momentum estimates were either updated or created during the week for the following companies:

Celanese Corporation - $87
E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company - $44
Cummins, Inc. - $106
Ingersoll-Rand Company, Ltd. - $75

Future Value Estimates
Future Value estimates utilize year over year price changes and year over year dividend payments to determine a stock return on investment. The stock return on investment is then used to advance the recent price year by year for a 5 year period. Future Value estimates contain EXCESSIVE risk because past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Future Value estimates were either updated or created during the week for the following companies:

Celanese Corporation - $125
E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company - $106
Cummins, Inc. - $159
Ingersoll-Rand Company, Ltd. - $109

Investment Summaries
Celanese Corporation - Negative - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) no longer favor investment consideration (Sell)

E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company - Negative - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) no longer favor investment consideration (Sell)

Cummins, Inc. - Negative - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) no longer favor investment consideration (Sell)

Ingersoll-Rand Company, Ltd. - Negative - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) no longer favor investment consideration (Sell)


Have a great week.

Wax

Wax Ink is a baseline equity valuation company not licensed or registered with any government agency
Copyright © 2017 Wax Ink  [more]

wax's Stock Picks

Results 1 - 24 of 24  

picks per page. CHANGE

Top
Pick
Start
Date
TickerCAPS RatingCallTime FrameStart PriceToday (Change)Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
ScorePitch
01/11/16 KMI Outperform 5Y $14.39 $21.24
( -1.39%)
+47.61%+22.66%+24.95
01/11/16 OIS Outperform 5Y $25.99 $36.05
( +2.12%)
+38.71%+22.66%+16.05
01/11/16 WNR Outperform 5Y $35.93 $37.82
( -0.53%)
+5.26%+22.66%-17.40
01/11/16 COP Outperform 5Y $42.01 $47.04
( -0.55%)
+11.98%+22.66%-10.67
01/11/16 APC Outperform 5Y $40.41 $64.77
( -1.83%)
+60.27%+22.66%+37.61
01/11/16 OII Outperform 5Y $32.70 $28.57
( +0.95%)
-12.64%+22.66%-35.30
01/11/16 NOV Outperform 5Y $29.45 $39.79
( +0.20%)
+35.11%+22.66%+12.45
01/11/16 ATW Outperform 5Y $8.36 $10.39
( -4.42%)
+24.28%+22.66%+1.63
01/11/16 HES Outperform 5Y $42.74 $52.49
( -0.06%)
+22.82%+22.66%+0.16
01/11/16 RDS-B Outperform 5Y $40.21 $54.95
( -1.24%)
+36.66%+22.66%+14.00
01/11/16 RDS-A Outperform 5Y $40.48 $51.72
( -1.45%)
+27.77%+22.66%+5.11
01/11/16 APA Outperform 5Y $35.78 $53.41
( +0.81%)
+49.28%+22.66%+26.62
01/11/16 XOM Outperform 5Y $71.15 $81.08
( -0.86%)
+13.96%+22.66%-8.70
01/11/16 ANW Outperform 5Y $7.00 $9.80
( -4.39%)
+39.95%+22.66%+17.29
01/11/16 TDW Outperform 5Y $5.79 $1.34
( -1.47%)
-76.86%+22.66%-99.51
01/11/16 MRO Outperform 5Y $10.19 $15.73
( -1.56%)
+54.41%+22.66%+31.75
01/11/16 MUR Outperform 5Y $18.13 $28.15
( -0.88%)
+55.24%+22.66%+32.58
01/11/16 MDR Outperform 5Y $2.75 $7.49
( -2.47%)
+172.36%+22.66%+149.71
01/11/16 CVX Outperform 5Y $78.58 $110.12
( -0.81%)
+40.14%+22.66%+17.49
01/11/16 INT Outperform 5Y $37.92 $36.48
( -1.75%)
-3.81%+22.66%-26.46
01/11/16 AE Outperform 5Y $38.27 $40.15
( -1.13%)
+4.90%+22.66%-17.76
01/11/16 FTI Outperform 5Y $26.12 $32.30
( -1.76%)
+23.66%+22.66%+1.00
01/11/16 IMO Outperform 5Y $29.68 $31.54
( -3.37%)
+6.25%+22.66%-16.40
01/11/16 HP Outperform 5Y $45.29 $67.53
( -1.80%)
+49.11%+22.66%+26.45

Results 1 - 24 of 24  

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